Serie A
· Regular Season - 37
May 17, 2026 12:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Juventus, result Fiorentina wins
34'
(ast. M. Solomon)
C. Ndour
83'
R. Mandragora
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juventus a 65% win probability (draw 22%, Fiorentina 12%). The final result was Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina. In 1 previous meetings, Juventus have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fiorentina.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
7
9
Shots on target
4
1.94
Actual xG
0.47
2
Saves
9
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
2
16
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
22'
M. Pongracic
32'
J. Harrison
/
F. Parisi
34'
ast. M. Solomon ·
C. Ndour⚽
Bremer
45'
T. Koopmeiners
/ J. Boga
46'
64'
R. Mandragora
/
M. Brescianini
64'
P. Comuzzo
/
L. Ranieri
64'
A. Gudmundsson
/
N. Fagioli
A. Cambiaso
/ K. Thuram
69'
F. Conceicao
/ E. Zhegrova
69'
70'
72'
L. Ranieri
74'
L. Balbo
/
R. Gosens
L. Kelly
/ F. Gatti
81'
83'
R. Mandragora⚽
85'
J. Harrison
90'+1
A. Gudmundsson
K. Yildiz
/ F. Miretti
90'
Pre-match prediction
65.11%
Juventus
22.89%
X
12.0%
Fiorentina ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Fiorentina)
12.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.69
1.94
+0.25
0.57
0.47
-0.1
Juventus dominated by xG (1.94 vs 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
Michele Di Gregorio
G
Michele Di Gregorio
G
27
Andrea Cambiaso
69'
D
Andrea Cambiaso
69'
D
6
L. Kelly
81'
D
L. Kelly
81'
D
3
Bremer
D
Bremer
D
15
Pierre Kalulu
D
Pierre Kalulu
D
8
Teun Koopmeiners
45'
M
Teun Koopmeiners
45'
M
5
M. Locatelli
M
M. Locatelli
M
10
K. Yıldız
89'
M
K. Yıldız
89'
M
22
Weston McKennie
M
Weston McKennie
M
7
Francisco Conceição
69'
M
Francisco Conceição
69'
M
9
Dušan Vlahović
F
Dušan Vlahović
F
Bench
14
Arkadiusz Milik
F
Arkadiusz Milik
F
23
Carlo Pinsoglio
G
Carlo Pinsoglio
G
11
Edon Zhegrova
21'
F
Edon Zhegrova
21'
F
2
E. Holm
D
E. Holm
D
21
Fabio Miretti
1'
M
Fabio Miretti
1'
M
4
Federico Gatti
9'
D
Federico Gatti
9'
D
18
Filip Kostić
M
Filip Kostić
M
30
J. David
F
J. David
F
13
Jérémie Boga
45'
F
Jérémie Boga
45'
F
32
Juan Cabal
D
Juan Cabal
D
19
Khéphren Thuram
21'
M
Khéphren Thuram
21'
M
20
Loïs Openda
F
Loïs Openda
F
1
Mattia Perin
G
Mattia Perin
G
17
Vasilije Adžić
M
Vasilije Adžić
M
43
David De Gea
G
David De Gea
G
21
Robin Gosens
74'
D
Robin Gosens
74'
D
6
L. Ranieri
64'
D
L. Ranieri
64'
D
5
M. Pongračić
D
M. Pongračić
D
2
Dodô
D
Dodô
D
4
Marco Brescianini
64'
M
Marco Brescianini
64'
M
44
Nicolò Fagioli
64'
M
Nicolò Fagioli
64'
M
27
C. Ndour
1 ⚽
M
C. Ndour
1 ⚽
M
19
M. Solomon
1 👟
F
M. Solomon
1 👟
F
91
Roberto Piccoli
F
Roberto Piccoli
F
65
Fabiano Parisi
32'
F
Fabiano Parisi
32'
F
Bench
10
A. Guðmundsson
26'
F
A. Guðmundsson
26'
F
3
Daniele Rugani
D
Daniele Rugani
D
80
Giovanni Fabbian
M
Giovanni Fabbian
M
17
Jack Harrison
58'
F
Jack Harrison
58'
F
22
Jacopo Fazzini
M
Jacopo Fazzini
M
1
Luca Lezzerini
G
Luca Lezzerini
G
62
Luís Balbo
16'
D
29
Niccolò Fortini
D
Niccolò Fortini
D
53
Oliver Christensen
G
Oliver Christensen
G
15
Pietro Comuzzo
26'
D
Pietro Comuzzo
26'
D
61
Riccardo Braschi
F
Riccardo Braschi
F
8
Rolando Mandragora
1 ⚽
26'
M
Rolando Mandragora
1 ⚽
26'
M
Best on the pitch
Jérémie Boga
F · Juventus
8.70
2 shots
· 29 pass
M. Locatelli
M · Juventus
8.50
3 shots
· 94 pass
David De Gea
G · Fiorentina
8.50
· 40 pass
C. Ndour
M · Fiorentina
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
M. Pongračić
D · Fiorentina
8.00
· 33 pass
Rolando Mandragora
M · Fiorentina
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Juventus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Di Gregorio | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Andrea Cambiaso | D | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kelly | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Bremer | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pierre Kalulu | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Teun Koopmeiners | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Locatelli | M | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | 3 | 94 | 78% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Yıldız | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Weston McKennie | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Conceição | M | 69 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Dušan Vlahović | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Edon Zhegrova | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Miretti | M | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Federico Gatti | D | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jérémie Boga | F | 45 | 8.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Khéphren Thuram | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Fiorentina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David De Gea | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Robin Gosens | D | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| L. Ranieri | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | 1 |
| M. Pongračić | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Dodô | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| C. Ndour | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Solomon | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Fabiano Parisi | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Guðmundsson | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Jack Harrison | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 16 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pietro Comuzzo | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rolando Mandragora | M | 26 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juventus vs Fiorentina?
The final score was Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina.
What did the model predict before Juventus vs Fiorentina?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Juventus win, 22% to a draw, and 12% to an Fiorentina win.