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← Serie A

Juventus - Napoli

Serie A November 01, 2026 20:45
#7 · 14 pts
vs
#10 · 11 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.62%
Win
Juventus
30.93%
Draw
32.45%
Win
Napoli
1.0
Expected xG
0.98

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.15%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 31%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
✓ 85.5% hit rate (83 picks)
Over 2.5 53%
✓ 60.3% hit rate (73 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Juventus a 36% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Napoli. Expected goals are 1.0 for Juventus and 1.0 for Napoli (total 2.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.15% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Juventus have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Napoli.

Season Stats

Juventus
7W 5D 3L
Napoli
6W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.6
0.9
Conceded
1.1
5.2
Shots OT
5.2
6.7
Corners
5.9
59%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
73%
20%
O 2.5
47%
33%
BTTS
40%
53%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Juventus
5W 3D 2L · at home
Napoli
4W 3D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.3
0.8
Conceded
0.9
50%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
70%
100%
O 1.5
70%
20%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
10%
30%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Juventus Napoli →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8% 13.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.9% 6.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

W Lecce 0–2
L Lazio 0–3
D Cagliari 1–1
W Atalanta 2–0
L Sassuolo 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 41%
D AS Roma 3–3
L Venezia 1–0
W Frosinone 3–0
D Fiorentina 1–1
W Bologna 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Juventus Juventus
Attack
42
Defence
76
Form
54
Napoli Napoli
Attack
54
Defence
66
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
The model gives Juventus a 36% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 32% for an Napoli win.
How many goals are expected in Juventus vs Napoli?
Expected goals: Juventus 1.0, Napoli 1.0 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Juventus vs Napoli?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.15%.