Serie A · Regular Season - 30 March 21, 2026 21:45

Juventus

#3 · 68 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Sassuolo

#11 · 49 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Juventus, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juventus a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Sassuolo 19%). The final result was Juventus 1–1 Sassuolo. In 1 previous meetings, Juventus have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sassuolo.

Match statistics

8

Shots on target

1

2.13

Actual xG

0.48

66%

Possession

34%

9

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

58.91%

Juventus

21.31%

X ←

19.78%

Sassuolo

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.31% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Juventus

2.05

2.13

+0.08

Sassuolo

1.28

0.48

-0.8

Juventus dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Inter	36	85
2	Napoli	36	70
3	Juventus	36	68
4	AC Milan	36	67
5	AS Roma	36	67
6	Como	36	65
7	Atalanta	36	58
8	Bologna	36	52
9	Lazio	36	51
10	Udinese	36	50
11	Sassuolo	36	49
12	Torino	36	44
13	Parma	36	42
14	Genoa	36	41
15	Fiorentina	36	38
16	Cagliari	36	37
17	Lecce	36	32
18	Cremonese	36	31
19	Hellas Verona	36	20
20	Pisa	36	18