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Kairat Almaty - Levski Sofia

Champions League August 11, 2026 17:00
Kairat Almaty
vs
Levski Sofia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.03%
Win
Kairat Almaty
34.0%
Draw
36.98%
Win
Levski Sofia
0.49
Expected xG
0.94

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.22%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 34%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 71%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 45%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Levski Sofia a 36% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Kairat Almaty. Expected goals are 0.5 for Kairat Almaty and 0.9 for Levski Sofia (total 1.4), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.22% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Kairat Almaty have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Levski Sofia.

Season Stats

Kairat Almaty
3W 3D 9L
Levski Sofia
3W 2D 0L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.8
1.7
Conceded
0.6
2.6
Shots OT
4.0
2.5
Corners
7.0
40%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Kairat Almaty
5W 2D 3L · at home
Levski Sofia
0W 2D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
0%
70%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
50%
20%
BTTS
100%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
40%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kairat Almaty Levski Sofia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 24.1% 22.5% 10.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1%
1 11.8% 11.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
L Levski Sofia 1–0
W Omonia Nicosia 1–0
L Omonia Nicosia 1–0
W Sutjeska 0–2
W Sutjeska 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
W Kairat Almaty 1–0
D Universitatea Craiova 2–2
W Universitatea Craiova 1–0
W Borac Banja Luka 4–0
D Borac Banja Luka 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
Attack
23
Defence
79
Form
62
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Attack
49
Defence
88
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Kairat Almaty
0
Draw
1
Levski Sofia
4 Aug 2026 Champions League 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives Kairat Almaty a 29% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 36% for an Levski Sofia win.
How many goals are expected in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
Expected goals: Kairat Almaty 0.5, Levski Sofia 0.9 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.22%.