Kairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos — pre-match prediction — Conference League — October 22, 2026

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Conference League · League Stage - 2 October 22, 2026 16:30

Kairat Almaty

#31 · 1 pts

1 – 5

Final score

Panathinaikos

#1 · 6 pts

I. Bekbolat (ast. A. Shirobokov) 79'

6' (ast. G. Kyriakopoulos) V. Taborda

(pen.) 24' C. Dessers

47' (ast. A. Tetteh) C. Dessers

57' K. Kangwa

75' E. Rastoder

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Panathinaikos a 42% win probability (draw 32%, Kairat Almaty 25%). The final result was Kairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.83

Actual xG

2.52

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. G. Kyriakopoulos · V. Taborda⚽

24'

(pen.) C. Dessers⚽

E. Tapalov

25'

29'

↕ O. Baybek / A. Shirobokov

32'

45'+1

E. Palmer-Brown

A. Mrynskiy

45'+2

↕ Edmilson / O. Jukkola

46'

47'

ast. A. Tetteh · C. Dessers⚽

56'

E. Rastoder / C. Dessers ↕

56'

K. Kangwa / E. Camara ↕

57'

K. Kangwa⚽

↕ L. Mata / L. Kurgin

65'

↕ M. Gual / I. Bekbolat

65'

↕ J. Oksanen / D. Kasabulat

65'

F. Pellistri / S. Andino ↕

65'

P. Chirivella / I. Louza ↕

75'

E. Rastoder⚽

75'

G. Katris / S. de Vrij ↕

77'

K. Kangwa

⚽I. Bekbolat · ast. A. Shirobokov

79'

Pre-match prediction

25.08%

Kairat

32.02%

42.9%

Panathinaikos ←

we assigned to the actual result (Panathinaikos) 42.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Kairat

0.41

0.83

+0.42

Panathinaikos

1.19

2.52

+1.33

Panathinaikos dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	6
2	FC Lugano	2	6
3	Brann	2	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	6
5	Twente	2	6
6	Monaco	2	6
7	St. Truiden	2	6
8	HNK Hajduk Split	2	6
9	Brighton	2	4
10	FC Copenhagen	2	4
11	Universitatea Craiova	2	4
12	Mjallby AIF	2	4
13	Ajax	2	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	3
15	Atalanta	2	3
16	SC Braga	2	3
17	Gent	2	3
18	SC Freiburg	2	3
19	FC Nordsjaelland	2	2
20	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2	2
21	Riga	2	2
22	FK Crvena Zvezda	2	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	1
24	FK Jablonec	2	1
25	FC Midtjylland	2	1
26	Aarhus	2	1
27	Pafos	2	1
28	Heart Of Midlothian	2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	2	1
30	Getafe	2	1
31	Kairat Almaty	2	1
32	FC Thun	2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps FC	2	0
34	KuPS	2	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	2	0

Lineups

Kairat Almaty 4-2-3-1

Temirlan Anarbekov G 4.90

Luís Mata 65' D 5.60

Olzhas Baibek 32' D 5.90

Aleksandr Martynovich D 5.30

Erkin Tapalov D 5.70

Jaakko Oksanen 65' M 6.30

Gustavo Mendonca M 6.60

Azamat Tuyakbayev M 6.60

Marc Gual 65' M 6.00

Aleksandr Mrynskiy M 6.30

Edmilson 45' F 7.00

Bench

Adilet Sadybekov M

Aleksandr Shirobokov 1 👟 58' D 6.50

Damir Kasabulat 25' D 6.30

Ismail Bekbolat 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.70

Lev Kurgin 25' D 6.30

Mansur Birkurmanov F

Oiva Jukkola 45' M 6.30

Sherkhan Kalmurza G

Panathinaikos 4-2-3-1

Iñaki Peña G 6.20

G. Kiriakopoulos 1 👟 D 7.20

S. de Vrij 75' D 7.20

E. Palmer-Brown D 6.90

T. Tsapras D 6.20

I. Louza 65' M 7.20

E. Camara 56' M 6.60

Santino Andino 65' M 6.30

A. Tetteh 1 👟 M 6.70

V. Taborda 1 ⚽ M 7.00

C. Dessers 2 ⚽ 56' F 9.20

Bench

Christos Gitonas G

D. Calabria D

E. Rastoder 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.70

F. Pellistri 25' M 6.30

Georgios Katris 15' D 5.90

Iason Nempis F

K. Kangwa 1 ⚽ 34' M 7.50

K. Kotsaris G

L. García F

Pedro Chirivella 25' M 6.30

R. van Drongelen D

S. Kontouris M

Best on the pitch

C. Dessers

F · Panathinaikos

9.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

E. Rastoder

F · Panathinaikos

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

Ismail Bekbolat

F · Kairat

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

K. Kangwa

M · Panathinaikos

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 30 pass

I. Louza

M · Panathinaikos

7.20

· 46 pass

S. de Vrij

D · Panathinaikos

7.20

· 51 pass

Kairat Almaty — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Temirlan Anarbekov	G	90	4.90	—	—	—	22	11%	1	—	—
Luís Mata	D	65	5.60	—	—	—	24	17%	1	—	—
Olzhas Baibek	D	32	5.90	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
Aleksandr Martynovich	D	90	5.30	—	—	1	40	33%	1	—	—
Erkin Tapalov	D	90	5.70	—	—	1	52	41%	2	1	—
Jaakko Oksanen	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
Gustavo Mendonca	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	40	34%	5	—	—
Azamat Tuyakbayev	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	31	22%	1	—	—
Marc Gual	M	65	6.00	—	—	3	14	11%	—	—	—
Aleksandr Mrynskiy	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	19	13%	2	1	—
Edmilson	F	45	7.00	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
Aleksandr Shirobokov	D	58	6.50	—	1	1	30	25%	2	—	—
Damir Kasabulat	D	25	6.30	—	—	—	9	8%	1	—	—
Ismail Bekbolat	F	25	7.70	1	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—
Lev Kurgin	D	25	6.30	—	—	—	14	8%	—	—	—
Oiva Jukkola	M	45	6.30	—	—	2	15	12%	1	—	—

Panathinaikos — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Iñaki Peña	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	60	43%	—	—	—
G. Kiriakopoulos	D	90	7.20	—	1	—	50	37%	1	—	—
S. de Vrij	D	75	7.20	—	—	—	51	48%	—	—	—
E. Palmer-Brown	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	50	46%	3	1	—
T. Tsapras	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	39	33%	1	—	—
I. Louza	M	65	7.20	—	—	—	46	42%	2	—	—
E. Camara	M	56	6.60	—	—	—	26	22%	3	—	—
Santino Andino	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	18	11%	2	—	—
A. Tetteh	M	90	6.70	—	1	—	14	10%	—	—	—
V. Taborda	M	90	7.00	1	—	1	40	34%	1	—	—
C. Dessers	F	56	9.20	2	—	3	14	11%	—	—	—
E. Rastoder	F	34	7.70	1	—	1	12	9%	—	—	—
F. Pellistri	M	25	6.30	—	—	2	9	9%	—	—	—
Georgios Katris	D	15	5.90	—	—	—	9	9%	1	—	—
K. Kangwa	M	34	7.50	1	—	1	30	24%	1	1	—
Pedro Chirivella	M	25	6.30	—	—	—	29	29%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

The final score was Kairat Almaty 1–5 Panathinaikos.

What did the model predict before Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

The model assigned 25% probability to a Kairat Almaty win, 32% to a draw, and 42% to an Panathinaikos win.