Super League
· Regular Season - 1
August 22, 2026 19:00
J. Bolivar
(ast. A. Mendes Moreira)
41'
K. Vargas
(ast. J. Cataldi)
60'
(pen.)
45'
U. Racic
88'
(ast. B. Garre)
Fabiano
90'+3
(ast. O. Boussaid)
Fabiano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aris Thessalonikis a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Kalamata 32%). The final result was Kalamata 2–3 Aris Thessalonikis.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
7
1.41
Actual xG
2.69
37%
Possession
63%
1
Corners
10
Match Events
⚽J. Bolivar
· ast. A. Mendes Moreira
41'
P. Kaloutsikidis
44'
Rodrigues
44'
45'+2
Fabiano
45'
(pen.)
U. Racic⚽
⚽K. Vargas
· ast. J. Cataldi
60'
66'
M. Alfarela
/
S. Palacios
66'
O. Boussaid
/
G. Gianniotas
P. Kaloutsikidis
/ I. Chatzitheodoridis
68'
K. Vargas
/ J. Bonetto
68'
J. Alonso
/ U. Ignjatovic
68'
J. Cataldi
/ A. Liatsikouras
75'
I. Chatzitheodoridis
79'
81'
L. Moron
/
T. Dele-Bashiru
Rodrigues
/ A. Guessand
82'
83'
J. Petris
84'
U. Racic
J. Bolivar
85'
88'
ast. B. Garre ·
Fabiano⚽
90'+3
ast. O. Boussaid ·
Fabiano⚽
90'+5
K. Galanopoulos
/
R. Mir
Pre-match prediction
32.2%
Kalamata
32.94%
X
34.86%
Aris ←
we assigned to the actual result (Aris Thessalonikis)
34.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.00
1.41
-1.59
1.04
2.69
+1.65
Aris Thessalonikis dominated by xG (2.69 vs 1.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?
The final score was Kalamata 2–3 Aris Thessalonikis.
What did the model predict before Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Kalamata win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Aris Thessalonikis win.