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Kalamata - Larisa

Cup September 16, 2026 17:00
Kalamata
vs
Larisa
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.73%
Win
Kalamata
29.98%
Draw
31.29%
Win
Larisa
2.15
Expected xG
1.47

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.8%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 30%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 61%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kalamata a 38% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Larisa. Expected goals are 2.1 for Kalamata and 1.5 for Larisa (total 3.6), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Kalamata have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Larisa.

Season Stats

Kalamata
1W 1D 1L
Larisa
3W 1D 4L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.6
2.0
Conceded
1.9
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
88%
100%
O 2.5
88%
100%
BTTS
63%
0%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 3.5
90%
BTTS
Kalamata
1W 0D 1L · at home
Larisa
3W 1D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.4
2.0
Conceded
1.6
50%
Win %
60%
50%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
80%
100%
BTTS
80%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kalamata Larisa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.8% 8.5% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.5% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Kalamata Kalamata
D Volos NFC 2–2
W Panetolikos 4–2
L Larisa 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Larisa Larisa
L Olympiakos Piraeus 0–4
W Kallithea 1–3
W Trikala 0–4
L Atromitos 0–1
L PAOK 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Kalamata Kalamata
Attack
43
Defence
64
Form
55
Larisa Larisa
Attack
44
Defence
58
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Kalamata
0
Draw
1
Larisa
19 Aug 2025 Cup 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kalamata vs Larisa?
The model gives Kalamata a 38% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 31% for an Larisa win.
How many goals are expected in Kalamata vs Larisa?
Expected goals: Kalamata 2.1, Larisa 1.5 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Kalamata vs Larisa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.