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Kalamata - Larisa

Cup September 17, 2026 15:30
Kalamata
vs
Larisa
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.89%
Win
Kalamata
27.85%
Draw
27.26%
Win
Larisa
2.22
Expected xG
1.43

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.45%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 28%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 55%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kalamata a 44% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Larisa. Expected goals are 2.2 for Kalamata and 1.4 for Larisa (total 3.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.45% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Kalamata have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Larisa.

Season Stats

Kalamata
1W 1D 1L
Larisa
3W 1D 4L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.6
2.0
Conceded
1.9
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
88%
100%
O 2.5
88%
100%
BTTS
63%
0%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 3.5
90%
BTTS
Kalamata
1W 0D 1L · at home
Larisa
3W 1D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.4
2.0
Conceded
1.6
50%
Win %
60%
50%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
80%
100%
BTTS
80%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kalamata Larisa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6% 3.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 5.8% 8.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.8% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Kalamata Kalamata
D Volos NFC 2–2
W Panetolikos 4–2
L Larisa 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Larisa Larisa
L Olympiakos Piraeus 0–4
W Kallithea 1–3
W Trikala 0–4
L Atromitos 0–1
L PAOK 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Kalamata Kalamata
Attack
48
Defence
62
Form
60
Larisa Larisa
Attack
42
Defence
63
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Kalamata
0
Draw
1
Larisa
19 Aug 2025 Cup 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kalamata vs Larisa?
The model gives Kalamata a 44% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 27% for an Larisa win.
How many goals are expected in Kalamata vs Larisa?
Expected goals: Kalamata 2.2, Larisa 1.4 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Kalamata vs Larisa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.45%.