Kalamata 4–3 OFI — pre-match prediction — Super League — October 18, 2026

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Super League · Regular Season - 7 October 18, 2026 15:00 Dimotiko Stadio Paralias, Kalamata

Kalamata

#8 · 10 pts

4 – 3

Final score

OFI

#6 · 13 pts

David Kurminowski (ast. Petros Kaloutsikidis) 14'

David Kurminowski (ast. Petros Kaloutsikidis) 18'

David Kurminowski (ast. Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro) 59'

Arnór Sigurðsson (ast. Julián Bonetto) 90'+4

58' (ast. Borja González) Thiago Nuss

75' (ast. Thiago Nuss) Kenan Kodro

84' (ast. Lorenzo Dickmann) Thiago Nuss

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kalamata a 41% win probability (draw 32%, OFI 25%). The final result was Kalamata 4–3 OFI.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.79

Actual xG

1.98

Saves

38%

Possession

62%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽David Kurminowski · ast. Petros Kaloutsikidis

14'

Djibril Diarra

15'

⚽David Kurminowski · ast. Petros Kaloutsikidis

18'

↕ Djibril Diarra / Argyrios Liatsikouras

37'

45'+1

45'

Klidman Lilo / Nikolaos Christogeorgos ↕

45'

Achilleas Poungouras / Dimitris Nikolaou ↕

45'

Athanasios Androutsos / Georgios Kanellopoulos ↕

58'

ast. Borja González · Thiago Nuss⚽

⚽David Kurminowski · ast. Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro

59'

David Kurminowski

61'

↕ Ahmad Mendes Moreira / Arnór Sigurðsson

63'

↕ David Kurminowski / Jovanny Bolivar

63'

64'

Lorenzo Dickmann / Konstantinos Kostoulas ↕

Gonzalo Agustín Piñeiro

70'

75'

ast. Thiago Nuss · Kenan Kodro⚽

↕ Erik Hamza / J. Cataldi

76'

↕ Kenneth Vargas / Julián Bonetto

76'

78'

Giannis Theodosoulakis / Anastasios Chatzigiovanis ↕

84'

ast. Lorenzo Dickmann · Thiago Nuss⚽

85'

Giannis Theodosoulakis

87'

Zisis Karachalios

Julio Alonso

90'+2

⚽Arnór Sigurðsson · ast. Julián Bonetto

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

41.35%

Kalamata ←

32.97%

25.67%

OFI

we assigned to the actual result (Kalamata) 41.35% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Kalamata

1.26

1.79

+0.53

OFI

0.42

1.98

+1.56

xG dominance was balanced (1.79 – 1.98). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	8	21
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	19
3	AEK Athens FC	7	17
4	Aris Thessalonikis	8	16
5	PAOK	8	15
6	OFI	8	13
7	Kifisia	8	11
8	Kalamata	8	10
9	Iraklis 1908	8	9
10	Panetolikos	8	9
11	Asteras Tripolis	8	6
12	Levadiakos	8	3
13	Atromitos	7	2
14	Volos NFC	8	0

Lineups

Kalamata 4-2-3-1

N. Vasiljević G 5.84

Julio Alonso D 5.50

Rodrigues D 6.34

S. Stroungis D 7.07

P. Kaloutsikidis 2 👟 D 8.28

D. Diarra 37' M 5.68

G. Piñeiro 1 👟 M 6.84

A. Mendes Moreira 63' M 6.38

E. Hamza 76' M 6.11

K. Vargas 76' M 6.23

D. Kurminowski 3 ⚽ 63' F 9.01

Bench

A. Guessand D 0.00

A. Liatsikouras 53' M 6.18

A. Sigurðsson 1 ⚽ 27' M 7.04

I. Chatzitheodoridis D 0.00

I. Gelios G 0.00

J. Bolívar 27' F 6.48

J. Bonetto 1 👟 14' F 6.71

J. Cataldi 14' M 6.12

Josete Miranda F 0.00

M. J. Bakayoko D 0.00

P. Ginis G 0.00

U. Ignjatović D 0.00

OFI 3-4-2-1

N. Christogeorgos 45' G 4.94

K. Krizmanić D 5.93

D. Nikolaou 45' D 6.11

K. Kostoulas 64' D 6.54

N. Athanasiou M 5.85

G. Kanellópoulos 45' M 6.26

Z. Karachalios M 6.22

Borja González 1 👟 M 6.56

T. Chatzigiovanis 78' M 6.02

T. Nuss 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.10

K. Kodro 1 ⚽ F 7.31

Bench

A. Bouchalakis M 0.00

A. Poungouras 45' D 5.96

G. Apostolakis M 0.00

G. Theodosoulakis 12' F 6.14

K. Lilo 45' G 5.24

L. Dickmann 1 👟 26' D 5.94

Pavlos Kenourgiakis D 0.00

P. Katsikas G 0.00

T. Androutsos 45' M 5.80

Thanasis Sitmalidis F 0.00

T. Romano F 0.00

Best on the pitch

D. Kurminowski

F · Kalamata

9.01

3 ⚽

3 shots · 11 pass

P. Kaloutsikidis

D · Kalamata

8.28

2 👟

2 shots · 39 pass

T. Nuss

M · OFI

8.10

2 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 27 pass

K. Kodro

F · OFI

7.31

1 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

S. Stroungis

D · Kalamata

7.07

1 shots · 43 pass

A. Sigurðsson

M · Kalamata

7.04

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

Kalamata — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Vasiljević	G	90	5.84	—	—	0	21	14%	0	—	—
Julio Alonso	D	90	5.50	—	—	0	30	20%	3	1	—
Rodrigues	D	90	6.34	—	—	0	27	21%	2	—	—
S. Stroungis	D	90	7.07	—	—	1	43	37%	5	—	—
P. Kaloutsikidis	D	90	8.28	—	2	2	39	30%	4	—	—
D. Diarra	M	37	5.68	—	—	0	12	7%	2	1	—
G. Piñeiro	M	90	6.84	—	1	0	34	29%	2	1	—
A. Mendes Moreira	M	63	6.38	—	—	2	15	12%	1	—	—
E. Hamza	M	76	6.11	—	—	0	18	17%	0	—	—
K. Vargas	M	76	6.23	—	—	2	17	14%	2	—	—
D. Kurminowski	F	63	9.01	3	—	3	11	6%	0	1	—
A. Liatsikouras	M	53	6.18	—	—	1	23	18%	1	—	—
A. Sigurðsson	M	27	7.04	1	—	1	4	2%	0	—	—
J. Bolívar	F	27	6.48	—	—	0	11	7%	0	—	—
J. Bonetto	F	14	6.71	—	1	0	5	4%	0	—	—
J. Cataldi	M	14	6.12	—	—	1	8	5%	0	—	—

OFI — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Christogeorgos	G	45	4.94	—	—	0	12	10%	0	—	—
K. Krizmanić	D	90	5.93	—	—	0	55	46%	3	—	—
D. Nikolaou	D	45	6.11	—	—	0	32	31%	0	—	—
K. Kostoulas	D	64	6.54	—	—	1	55	44%	1	—	—
N. Athanasiou	M	90	5.85	—	—	0	45	31%	1	—	—
G. Kanellópoulos	M	45	6.26	—	—	1	14	13%	1	—	—
Z. Karachalios	M	90	6.22	—	—	0	59	47%	0	1	—
Borja González	M	90	6.56	—	1	0	59	48%	2	—	—
T. Chatzigiovanis	M	78	6.02	—	—	0	17	13%	1	—	—
T. Nuss	M	90	8.10	2	1	3	27	18%	1	—	—
K. Kodro	F	90	7.31	1	—	2	28	21%	1	—	—
A. Poungouras	D	45	5.96	—	—	0	47	43%	0	—	—
G. Theodosoulakis	F	12	6.14	—	—	1	0	0%	0	1	—
K. Lilo	G	45	5.24	—	—	0	8	7%	0	—	—
L. Dickmann	D	26	5.94	—	1	0	19	18%	0	—	—
T. Androutsos	M	45	5.80	—	—	0	33	25%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Kalamata vs OFI?

The final score was Kalamata 4–3 OFI.

What did the model predict before Kalamata vs OFI?

The model assigned 41% probability to a Kalamata win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an OFI win.