Kaluga - Iskra Smolensk
Cup
August 12, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Kaluga
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Iskra Smolensk
3.02
1.05
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.79%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kaluga a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Iskra Smolensk. Expected goals are 3.0 for Kaluga and 1.1 for Iskra Smolensk (total 4.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.79% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Kaluga
Iskra Smolensk →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
Playing profile
Kaluga
Attack
43
Defence
60
Form
57
Iskra Smolensk
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk?
The model gives Kaluga a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Iskra Smolensk win.
How many goals are expected in Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk?
Expected goals: Kaluga 3.0, Iskra Smolensk 1.1 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.79%.