← Ettan - Norra

Karlberg - Järfälla

Ettan - Norra May 16, 2026 13:00
Karlberg
#7 · 11 pts
vs
Järfälla
#13 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.13%
Win
Karlberg
29.68%
Draw
28.19%
Win
Järfälla
1.45
Expected xG
0.89

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Karlberg a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Järfälla. Expected goals are 1.5 for Karlberg and 0.9 for Järfälla (total 2.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.0% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Karlberg Järfälla →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6% 8.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% —
1 14.0% 12.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 4.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% — —
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Karlberg Karlberg
D Arlanda 1–1
D IF Karlstad 0–0
L Umeå FC 2–1
W Gefle IF 3–2
W Assyriska FF 3–4
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
Järfälla Järfälla
L Enköping 0–3
L FBK Karlstad 2–0
D Assyriska FF 3–3
W Piteå 1–0
L IF Karlstad 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 16%
Playing profile
Karlberg Karlberg
Attack
39
Defence
61
Form
49
Järfälla Järfälla
Attack
21
Defence
56
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 7 18
2 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 7 16
3 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 7 16
4 Arlanda Arlanda 7 15
5 Enköping Enköping 7 15
6 Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 7 11
7 Karlberg Karlberg 7 11
8 Umeå FC Umeå FC 7 10
9 Sollentuna Sollentuna 7 9
10 Vasalund Vasalund 7 8
11 Gefle IF Gefle IF 7 7
12 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 7 5
13 Järfälla Järfälla 7 5
14 Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 7 5
15 Piteå Piteå 7 3
16 Stocksund Stocksund 7 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Karlberg vs Järfälla?
The model gives Karlberg a 42% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an Järfälla win.
How many goals are expected in Karlberg vs Järfälla?
Expected goals: Karlberg 1.5, Järfälla 0.9 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Karlberg vs Järfälla?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.0%.