M. Broschinski
(ast. M. Wanitzek)
35'
M. Broschinski
(ast. M. Wanitzek)
78'
80'
(ast. I. Young)
M. Mehlem
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arminia Bielefeld a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Karlsruher SC 33%). The final result was Karlsruher SC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld. In 2 previous meetings, Karlsruher SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arminia Bielefeld.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
5
1.37
Actual xG
1.16
4
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
5
18
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
S. Schreck
⚽M. Broschinski
· ast. M. Wanitzek
35'
D. Ofli
45'
M. Franke
/ P. Scholl
46'
L. Egloff
/ K. Wiethaup
46'
46'
B. Boakye
/
S. Schreck
64'
A. Sicker
/
T. Handwerker
64'
M. Mehlem
/
M. Worl
D. H. Zor
/ S. Vaananen
65'
D. Ofli
/ V. Bergh
65'
75'
R. Uldrikis
/
S. Russo
R. Pinto Pedrosa
/ T. Civeja
78'
⚽M. Broschinski
· ast. M. Wanitzek
78'
79'
I. Young
/
T. Momuluh
80'
ast. I. Young ·
M. Mehlem⚽
T. Civeja
89'
Pre-match prediction
33.66%
Karlsruher ←
32.31%
X
34.03%
Arminia
we assigned to the actual result (Karlsruher SC)
33.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
1.37
-0.38
1.75
1.16
-0.59
xG dominance was balanced (1.37 – 1.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
H. Bernat
G
H. Bernat
G
3
D. Ofli
65'
D
D. Ofli
65'
D
28
M. Franke
45'
D
M. Franke
45'
D
22
C. Kobald
D
C. Kobald
D
2
S. Jung
D
S. Jung
D
26
D. H. Zor
65'
M
D. H. Zor
65'
M
25
L. Egloff
45'
M
L. Egloff
45'
M
10
M. Wanitzek
2 👟
M
M. Wanitzek
2 👟
M
36
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
78'
M
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
78'
M
11
N. Eichinger
F
N. Eichinger
F
9
M. Broschinski
2 ⚽
F
M. Broschinski
2 ⚽
F
Bench
7
K. Wiethaup
48'
M
K. Wiethaup
48'
M
19
Louey Ben Farhat
M
Louey Ben Farhat
M
15
Paul Scholl
48'
D
Paul Scholl
48'
D
30
R. Himmelmann
G
R. Himmelmann
G
6
S. Väänänen
28'
M
S. Väänänen
28'
M
23
T. Civeja
15'
M
T. Civeja
15'
M
33
V. Bergh
28'
D
V. Bergh
28'
D
1
J. Kersken
G
J. Kersken
G
29
T. Handwerker
64'
D
T. Handwerker
64'
D
19
M. Großer
D
M. Großer
D
5
M. Bauer
D
M. Bauer
D
7
H. Koudossou
D
H. Koudossou
D
10
J. Rochelt
M
J. Rochelt
M
21
S. Russo
75'
M
S. Russo
75'
M
8
S. Schreck
45'
M
S. Schreck
45'
M
14
M. Momuluh
79'
M
M. Momuluh
79'
M
38
M. Wörl
64'
F
M. Wörl
64'
F
11
J. Grodowski
F
J. Grodowski
F
Bench
17
A. Sicker
29'
D
A. Sicker
29'
D
27
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
48'
F
Benjamin Bediako Boakye
48'
F
2
Felix Hagmann
D
Felix Hagmann
D
30
I. Young
1 👟
14'
F
I. Young
1 👟
14'
F
3
J. Felix
D
J. Felix
D
18
L. Oppermann
G
L. Oppermann
G
6
M. Mehlem
1 ⚽
29'
M
M. Mehlem
1 ⚽
29'
M
28
R. Uldriķis
18'
F
R. Uldriķis
18'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Broschinski
F · Karlsruher
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
M. Wanitzek
M · Karlsruher
8.50
2 👟
5 shots
· 52 pass
M. Mehlem
M · Arminia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
N. Eichinger
F · Karlsruher
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
H. Bernat
G · Karlsruher
7.20
· 36 pass
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
M · Karlsruher
7.20
1 shots
· 17 pass
Karlsruher SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Bernat | G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. Ofli | D | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Franke | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| C. Kobald | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Jung | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| D. H. Zor | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Egloff | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Wanitzek | M | 93 | 8.50 | — | 2 | 5 | 52 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Pinto Pedrosa | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Eichinger | F | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Broschinski | F | 93 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Wiethaup | M | 48 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul Scholl | D | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Väänänen | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Civeja | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Bergh | D | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Arminia Bielefeld — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kersken | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| T. Handwerker | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Großer | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Bauer | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Koudossou | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rochelt | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| S. Russo | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Schreck | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Momuluh | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Wörl | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Grodowski | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sicker | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Bediako Boakye | F | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| I. Young | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Mehlem | M | 29 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Uldriķis | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The final score was Karlsruher SC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld.
What did the model predict before Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Karlsruher SC win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Arminia Bielefeld win.