Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 27
April 25, 2026 16:00
20'
M. Sevcik
75'
C. Kabongo
77'
(ast. C. Kabongo)
R. Macek
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Karviná 30%). The final result was Karviná 0–3 Mlada Boleslav. In 1 previous meetings, Karviná have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mlada Boleslav.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
5
0.61
Actual xG
1.08
2
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
3
29
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
J. Fiala
12'
D. Samko
19'
20'
M. Sevcik⚽
28'
M. Sevcik
40'
45'+1
R. Macek
E. Ayaosi
/ L. Ezeh
46'
S. Camara
/ A. Traore
46'
J. Chytry
/ S. Bohac
46'
63'
D. Kostka
/
M. Subert
63'
J. Kolarik
/
S. John
Kahuan Vinicius
/ F. Konate
64'
75'
C. Kabongo⚽
77'
ast. C. Kabongo ·
R. Macek⚽
F. Prebsl
/ J. Fleisman
78'
83'
M. Krulich
/
C. Kabongo
83'
J. Zika
/
M. Sevcik
83'
D. Donat
/
O. Karafiat
90'+1
M. Krulich
Pre-match prediction
30.15%
Karviná
26.57%
X
43.28%
Mlada ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mlada Boleslav)
43.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
0.61
-0.49
1.62
1.08
-0.54
Mlada Boleslav dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Vladimir Neuman
G
Vladimir Neuman
G
19
Nino Milić
D
Nino Milić
D
49
S. Camara
45'
D
44
Y. Skyba
D
Y. Skyba
D
24
Jan Chytrý
45'
D
Jan Chytrý
45'
D
8
Jakub Křišťan
M
Jakub Křišťan
M
99
Filip Prebsl
78'
M
Filip Prebsl
78'
M
14
E. Ayaosi
45'
M
E. Ayaosi
45'
M
10
Denny Samko
M
Denny Samko
M
29
Jan Fiala
M
Jan Fiala
M
20
Kahuan
64'
F
Kahuan
64'
F
Bench
4
Aboubacar Traore
45'
M
Aboubacar Traore
45'
M
25
J. Fleišman
12'
D
J. Fleišman
12'
D
26
Lucky Ezeh
45'
F
Lucky Ezeh
45'
F
6
Sebastian Boháč
45'
M
Sebastian Boháč
45'
M
59
G
11
D
44
Ondrej Karafiat
83'
D
Ondrej Karafiat
83'
D
3
Martin Králik
D
Martin Králik
D
32
Filip Matoušek
D
Filip Matoušek
D
19
David Kozel
M
David Kozel
M
7
R. Macek
1 ⚽
M
R. Macek
1 ⚽
M
20
S. John
63'
M
S. John
63'
M
22
M. Ševčík
1 ⚽
82'
M
M. Ševčík
1 ⚽
82'
M
21
63'
M
25
Christophe Kabongo
1 ⚽
1 👟
82'
F
Christophe Kabongo
1 ⚽
1 👟
82'
F
Bench
28
Daniel Langhamer
M
Daniel Langhamer
M
31
D. Kostka
27'
D
10
Filip Lehký
F
Filip Lehký
F
49
Josef Kolářík
27'
M
Josef Kolářík
27'
M
37
Matouš Krulich
8'
F
Matouš Krulich
8'
F
Best on the pitch
Christophe Kabongo
F · Mlada
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 20 pass
R. Macek
M · Mlada
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
M. Ševčík
M · Mlada
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Martin Králik
D · Mlada
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
Ondrej Karafiat
D · Mlada
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
D · Mlada
7.20
1 shots
· 41 pass
Karviná — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Neuman | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Nino Milić | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Camara | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| Y. Skyba | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Chytrý | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Křišťan | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Filip Prebsl | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ayaosi | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Denny Samko | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jan Fiala | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Kahuan | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Aboubacar Traore | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Fleišman | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucky Ezeh | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Boháč | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — | |
| Ondrej Karafiat | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Martin Králik | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Filip Matoušek | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| David Kozel | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Macek | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. John | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Ševčík | M | 82 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| Christophe Kabongo | F | 82 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kostka | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Josef Kolářík | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Matouš Krulich | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Karviná vs Mlada Boleslav?
The final score was Karviná 0–3 Mlada Boleslav.
What did the model predict before Karviná vs Mlada Boleslav?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Karviná win, 26% to a draw, and 43% to an Mlada Boleslav win.