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J1 League · Regular Season - 18 May 23, 2026 10:30 Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Kashima
#6 · 23 pts
1 – 0
Final score
FC Tokyo
#1 · 33 pts
S. Morooka (ast. K. Chinen) 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 37% win probability (draw 26%, FC Tokyo 36%). The final result was Kashima 1–0 FC Tokyo. In 2 previous meetings, Kashima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Tokyo.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
0
50%
Possession
50%
1
Corners
6
12
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
39'
S. Muroya
↕ Leo Ceara / S. Morooka
62'
↕ A. Cavric / H. Hayashu
62'
66'
T. Ko / K. Hashimoto ↕
↕ G. Shibasaki / K. Chinen
74'
↕ R. Araki / R. Koike
74'
76'
F. Yamada / R. Sato ↕
76'
K. Tawaratsumida / K. Endo ↕
⚽S. Morooka · ast. K. Chinen
79'
84'
T. Nakagawa / Marcelo Ryan ↕
84'
L. Nozawa / K. Sato ↕
↕ K. Anzai / K. Tsukui
87'
Y. Suzuki
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.07%
Kashima ←
26.27%
X
36.65%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Kashima) 37.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kashima
1.16
—
—
FC
1.29
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 14 33
2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 14 31
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 14 30
4 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 29
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 14 27
6 Kashima Kashima 14 23
7 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 14 22
8 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 14 22
9 Urawa Urawa 14 22
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 14 17
11 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 14 17
12 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 14 16
13 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 14 14
14 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 14 14
15 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 14 14
16 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 14 13
17 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 14 13
18 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 14 12
19 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 14 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 14 8
Lineups
Kashima Kashima 4-2-3-1
29 Y. Kajikawa Y. Kajikawa G 6.90
2 Koki Anzai Koki Anzai 87' D 7.00
5 I. Sekigawa I. Sekigawa D 7.50
55 N. Ueda N. Ueda D 7.00
22 K. Nono K. Nono D 7.30
6 K. Misao K. Misao M 7.20
10 G. Shibasaki G. Shibasaki 74' M 6.60
77 A. Čavrić A. Čavrić 62' M 6.30
71 Ryotaro Araki Ryotaro Araki 74' M 6.30
40 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki M 6.50
9 Léo Ceará Léo Ceará 62' F 6.20
Bench
24 H. Hayashu H. Hayashu 28' M 6.30
13 K. Chinen K. Chinen 1 👟 16' M 7.20
23 K. Tsukui K. Tsukui 9' D 6.60
25 R. Koike R. Koike 16' D 6.60
7 R. Ogawa R. Ogawa D
19 S. Morooka S. Morooka 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.70
21 T. Yamada T. Yamada G
14 Y. Higuchi Y. Higuchi M
27 Y. Matsumura Y. Matsumura M
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-4-2
1 Hayate Tanaka Hayate Tanaka G 6.20
42 K. Hashimoto K. Hashimoto D 7.00
17 H. Inamura H. Inamura D 6.60
24 A. Scholz A. Scholz D 7.50
2 S. Muroya S. Muroya D 6.50
22 K. Endo K. Endo 76' M 6.60
27 Kyota Tokiwa Kyota Tokiwa M 6.70
18 K. Hashimoto K. Hashimoto 66' M 6.30
16 K. Sato K. Sato 84' M 6.30
23 Ryunosuke Sato Ryunosuke Sato 76' F 6.90
9 Marcelo Ryan Marcelo Ryan 84' F 6.20
Bench
71 F. Yamada F. Yamada 14' M 6.20
37 K. Koizumi K. Koizumi M
33 K. Tawaratsumida K. Tawaratsumida 14' M 6.30
28 Leon Nozawa Leon Nozawa 12' F 6.60
31 Masataka Kobayashi Masataka Kobayashi G
3 M. Morishige M. Morishige D
15 R. Omori R. Omori D
8 T. Ko T. Ko 24' M 6.60
39 T. Nakagawa T. Nakagawa 12' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
S. Morooka
S. Morooka
F · Kashima
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
A. Scholz
A. Scholz
D · FC
7.50
· 63 pass
I. Sekigawa
I. Sekigawa
D · Kashima
7.50
· 62 pass
K. Nono
K. Nono
D · Kashima
7.30
· 34 pass
K. Misao
K. Misao
M · Kashima
7.20
· 52 pass
K. Chinen
K. Chinen
M · Kashima
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 12 pass
Kashima Kashima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Kajikawa G 90 6.90 — — — 34 25% — — —
Koki Anzai D 87 7.00 — — — 38 32% — — —
I. Sekigawa D 90 7.50 — — — 62 54% 1 — —
N. Ueda D 90 7.00 — — — 53 44% 1 — —
K. Nono D 90 7.30 — — — 34 31% 2 — —
K. Misao M 90 7.20 — — — 52 39% 2 — —
G. Shibasaki M 74 6.60 — — 2 47 36% — — —
A. Čavrić M 62 6.30 — — — 25 17% 2 — —
Ryotaro Araki M 74 6.30 — — 1 29 21% — — —
Y. Suzuki M 90 6.50 — — — 33 27% — 1 —
Léo Ceará F 62 6.20 — — 1 10 8% — — —
H. Hayashu M 28 6.30 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
K. Chinen M 16 7.20 — 1 1 12 12% 2 — —
K. Tsukui D 9 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
R. Koike D 16 6.60 — — — 6 6% — — —
S. Morooka F 28 7.70 1 — 1 9 6% 1 — —
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hayate Tanaka G 90 6.20 — — — 38 33% — — —
K. Hashimoto D 90 7.00 — — 1 48 32% 5 — —
H. Inamura D 90 6.60 — — 1 78 65% 1 — —
A. Scholz D 90 7.50 — — — 63 58% 3 — —
S. Muroya D 90 6.50 — — 1 38 31% 2 1 —
K. Endo M 76 6.60 — — 1 24 16% — — —
Kyota Tokiwa M 90 6.70 — — — 59 57% 1 — —
K. Hashimoto M 66 6.30 — — 1 24 19% 3 — —
K. Sato M 84 6.30 — — 3 23 16% 2 — —
Ryunosuke Sato F 76 6.90 — — 1 22 20% — — —
Marcelo Ryan F 84 6.20 — — 2 10 7% — — —
F. Yamada M 14 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
K. Tawaratsumida M 14 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Leon Nozawa F 12 6.60 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
T. Ko M 24 6.60 — — — 21 20% 1 — —
T. Nakagawa F 12 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
The final score was Kashima 1–0 FC Tokyo.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Kashima win, 26% to a draw, and 36% to an FC Tokyo win.