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J1 League · Regular Season - 9 October 09, 2026 12:00 Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Kashima
#8 · 20 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Gamba Osaka
#15 · 11 pts
Léo Ceará (ast. Rikuto Hirose) 45'+7
Yuma Suzuki (ast. Kento Misao) 60'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Gamba Osaka 24%). The final result was Kashima 2–0 Gamba Osaka.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
1
Corners
4
12
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
37'
⚽Léo Ceará · ast. Rikuto Hirose
45'+7
55'
Welton
↕ Rikuto Hirose / Keisuke Tsukui
55'
↕ Minato Yoshida / Aleksandar Čavrić
55'
57'
Deniz Hümmet / Yusei Toshida ↕
57'
Issam Jebali / Takashi Usami ↕
⚽Yuma Suzuki · ast. Kento Misao
60'
64'
Shinya Nakano / Ryo Hatsuse ↕
64'
Koshiro Sumi / Welton ↕
73'
Takeru Kishimoto / Rin Mito ↕
Kim Tae-hyeon
76'
↕ Léo Ceará / Haruki Hayashi
79'
↕ Gaku Shibasaki / Matheus Bueno
79'
Ryoya Ogawa
84'
↕ Yuma Suzuki / Homare Tokuda
88'
Pre-match prediction
47.42%
Kashima ←
27.9%
X
24.68%
Gamba
we assigned to the actual result (Kashima) 47.42% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kashima
1.54
—
—
Gamba
0.68
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Kashima Kashima 4-4-2
1 T. Hayakawa T. Hayakawa G 7.61
7 R. Ogawa R. Ogawa D 6.61
3 Kim Tae-Hyeon Kim Tae-Hyeon D 7.25
55 N. Ueda N. Ueda D 7.40
37 R. Hirose R. Hirose 1 👟 55' D 7.35
30 M. Yoshida M. Yoshida 55' M 6.87
6 K. Misao K. Misao 1 👟 M 7.70
10 G. Shibasaki G. Shibasaki 79' M 6.34
27 Y. Matsumura Y. Matsumura M 6.44
9 Léo Ceará Léo Ceará 1 ⚽ 79' F 8.00
40 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 88' F 8.08
Bench
77 A. Čavrić A. Čavrić 35' F 6.71
17 Élber Élber F 0.00
24 H. Hayashu H. Hayashu 11' M 6.71
34 H. Tokuda H. Tokuda 2' F 6.47
4 K. Chida K. Chida D 0.00
23 K. Tsukui K. Tsukui 35' D 7.00
8 Matheus Bueno Matheus Bueno 11' M 6.83
19 S. Omori S. Omori D 0.00
21 T. Yamada T. Yamada G 0.00
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
22 J. Ichimori J. Ichimori G 5.62
21 R. Hatsuse R. Hatsuse 64' D 6.30
2 S. Fukuoka S. Fukuoka D 6.75
4 S. Nakatani S. Nakatani D 6.41
28 S. Fujiwara S. Fujiwara D 5.86
27 R. Mito R. Mito 73' M 5.60
13 S. Abe S. Abe M 6.46
97 Welton Felipe Welton Felipe 64' M 5.85
7 T. Usami T. Usami 57' M 5.73
17 R. Yamashita R. Yamashita M 5.96
41 Y. Toshida Y. Toshida 57' F 6.23
Bench
23 D. Hümmet D. Hümmet 33' F 6.24
11 I. Jebali I. Jebali 33' F 6.10
39 K. Sumi K. Sumi 26' M 6.10
18 R. Araki R. Araki G 0.00
8 R. Meshino R. Meshino F 0.00
47 S. Nakano S. Nakano 26' D 6.59
67 S. Sasaki S. Sasaki D 0.00
15 T. Kishimoto T. Kishimoto 17' D 6.32
16 T. Suzuki T. Suzuki M 0.00
Best on the pitch
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
F · Kashima
8.08
1 ⚽
3 shots · 44 pass
Léo Ceará
Léo Ceará
F · Kashima
8.00
1 ⚽
5 shots · 21 pass
K. Misao
K. Misao
M · Kashima
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
T. Hayakawa
T. Hayakawa
G · Kashima
7.61
· 27 pass
N. Ueda
N. Ueda
D · Kashima
7.40
· 58 pass
R. Hirose
R. Hirose
D · Kashima
7.35
1 👟
· 34 pass
Kashima Kashima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Hayakawa G 90 7.61 — — 0 27 14% 0 — —
R. Ogawa D 90 6.61 — — 0 37 28% 2 1 —
Kim Tae-Hyeon D 90 7.25 — — 0 47 40% 0 1 —
N. Ueda D 90 7.40 — — 0 58 47% 0 — —
R. Hirose D 55 7.35 — 1 0 34 25% 3 — —
M. Yoshida M 55 6.87 — — 1 30 24% 0 — —
K. Misao M 90 7.70 — 1 1 41 35% 0 — —
G. Shibasaki M 79 6.34 — — 0 40 27% 0 — —
Y. Matsumura M 90 6.44 — — 3 25 17% 2 — —
Léo Ceará F 79 8.00 1 — 5 21 17% 0 — —
Y. Suzuki F 88 8.08 1 — 3 44 36% 2 — —
A. Čavrić F 35 6.71 — — 1 12 8% 1 — —
H. Hayashu M 11 6.71 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
H. Tokuda F 2 6.47 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
K. Tsukui D 35 7.00 — — 0 16 11% 2 — —
Matheus Bueno M 11 6.83 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Ichimori G 90 5.62 — — 0 32 17% 1 — —
R. Hatsuse D 64 6.30 — — 0 22 16% 1 — —
S. Fukuoka D 90 6.75 — — 2 45 34% 0 — —
S. Nakatani D 90 6.41 — — 0 51 39% 0 — —
S. Fujiwara D 90 5.86 — — 0 35 26% 0 — —
R. Mito M 73 5.60 — — 0 32 21% 3 — —
S. Abe M 90 6.46 — — 1 54 41% 3 — —
Welton Felipe M 64 5.85 — — 1 12 8% 1 1 —
T. Usami M 57 5.73 — — 2 21 17% 0 — —
R. Yamashita M 90 5.96 — — 1 27 21% 0 — —
Y. Toshida F 57 6.23 — — 1 10 6% 0 — —
D. Hümmet F 33 6.24 — — 3 3 2% 0 — —
I. Jebali F 33 6.10 — — 0 7 2% 1 — —
K. Sumi M 26 6.10 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
S. Nakano D 26 6.59 — — 0 15 13% 1 — —
T. Kishimoto D 17 6.32 — — 0 5 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
The final score was Kashima 2–0 Gamba Osaka.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Kashima win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Gamba Osaka win.