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Kashima - Jeonbuk Motors

AFC Champions League November 25, 2026 11:00
Kashima
#1 · 9 pts
vs
Jeonbuk Motors
#10 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.04%
Win
Kashima
23.35%
Draw
21.62%
Win
Jeonbuk Motors
1.65
Expected xG
0.9
Most likely outcome
Kashima
55.04%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 3 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.52%)
1X2 Result
1 55%
X 23%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 45%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kashima a 55% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Jeonbuk Motors. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kashima and 0.9 for Jeonbuk Motors (total 2.5), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.52% probability.

Season Stats

Kashima
3W 0D 0L
Jeonbuk Motors
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
3.7
Goals
1.3
0.3
Conceded
1.7
5.7
Shots OT
4.0
2.7
Corners
4.3
58%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
67%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Kashima
2W 0D 0L · at home
Jeonbuk Motors
0W 1D 1L · away
5.0
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kashima Jeonbuk Motors →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8% 7.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 12.9% 11.6% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.9% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Kashima Kashima
W Pohang Steelers 3–0
W Công An Nhân Dân 0–1
W Newcastle Jets 7–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors
D Beijing Guoan 2–2
L Vissel Kobe 2–0
W Kashiwa Reysol 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Kashima Kashima
Attack
52
Defence
69
Form
70
Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors
Attack
40
Defence
58
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

East Region

# Team G Pts
1 Kashima Kashima 3 9
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3 9
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3 7
4 Johor Darul Takzim FC Johor Darul Takzim FC 3 7
5 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3 7
6 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3 4
8 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 3 4
9 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3 4
10 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3 4
11 Công An Nhân Dân Công An Nhân Dân 3 3
12 Buriram United Buriram United 3 2
13 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3 1
14 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3 0
15 Port FC Port FC 3 0
16 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3 0

What's at stake · East Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Kashima Jeonbuk Motors
Current #1 #10
→ Kashima #1 #10
→ Draw #1 #7
→ Jeonbuk Motors #1 #6

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kashima vs Jeonbuk Motors?
The model gives Kashima a 55% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 21% for an Jeonbuk Motors win.
How many goals are expected in Kashima vs Jeonbuk Motors?
Expected goals: Kashima 1.6, Jeonbuk Motors 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Kashima vs Jeonbuk Motors?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.52%.