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J1 League · Regular Season - 14 May 03, 2026 09:00 Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima
Kashima
#7 · 12 pts
1 – 1
Final score
pens 4–2
Machida Zelvia
#1 · 17 pts
Leo Ceara (ast. G. Shibasaki) 50'
K. Tagawa 120'+1 (pen.)
Y. Suzuki 120'+2 (pen.)
R. Ogawa 120'+3 (pen.)
Leo Ceara 120'+4 (pen.)
53' (ast. Na Sang-Ho) T. Yengi
(pen.) 120'+2 I. Dresevic
(pen.) 120'+3 K. Tani
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Machida Zelvia 21%). The final result was Kashima 1–1 Machida Zelvia. In 1 previous meetings, Kashima have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Machida Zelvia.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
5
13
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
41'
T. Yengi
48'
N. Lavi
⚽Leo Ceara · ast. G. Shibasaki
50'
53'
ast. Na Sang-Ho · T. Yengi⚽
57'
K. Hayashi
↕ K. Chinen / Y. Higuchi
62'
↕ Y. Matsumura / S. Morooka
62'
↕ A. Cavric / K. Tagawa
62'
67'
K. Sento / Erik ↕
67'
F. Tokumura / Na Sang-Ho ↕
↕ G. Shibasaki / R. Araki
83'
↕ S. Mizoguchi / R. Ogawa
83'
83'
H. Mochizuki / H. Nakamura ↕
83'
I. Dresevic / Y. Nakayama ↕
89'
H. Shimoda / N. Lavi ↕
90'+3
H. Mae
120'+1
(missed pen.) H. Shimoda⚽
⚽K. Tagawa (pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(pen.) I. Dresevic⚽
⚽Y. Suzuki (pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.) K. Tani⚽
⚽R. Ogawa (pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(missed pen.) H. Mae⚽
⚽Leo Ceara (pen.)
120'+4
Pre-match prediction
53.3%
Kashima
24.99%
X ←
21.72%
Machida
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kashima
1.78
—
—
Machida
0.74
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 7 17
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 7 16
3 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 7 15
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 14
5 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 7 14
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 7 12
7 Kashima Kashima 7 12
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 7 11
9 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 6 10
10 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 7 10
11 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 7 9
12 Urawa Urawa 6 9
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 7 7
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 7 7
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 7 6
16 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 7 6
17 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 7 5
18 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 7 4
19 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 6 3
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 6 3
Lineups
Kashima Kashima 4-4-2
1
G 7.00
16 S. Mizoguchi S. Mizoguchi 83' D 6.30
3 Kim Tae-Hyeon Kim Tae-Hyeon D 6.50
55
D 7.30
22 K. Nono K. Nono D 6.70
40 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 1 ⚽ M 5.90
13 K. Chinen K. Chinen 62' M 6.70
10 G. Shibasaki G. Shibasaki 1 👟 83' M 7.90
27 Y. Matsumura Y. Matsumura 62' M 6.30
77 A. Čavrić A. Čavrić 62' F 7.00
9 Léo Ceará Léo Ceará 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
24 H. Hayashu H. Hayashu M
11 K. Tagawa K. Tagawa 1 ⚽ 35' F 6.90
71 R. Araki R. Araki 14' M 6.60
25 R. Koike R. Koike D
7 R. Ogawa R. Ogawa 1 ⚽ 14' D 6.30
19 S. Morooka S. Morooka 35' F 6.60
14 Yuta Higuchi Yuta Higuchi 35' M 6.50
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1 K. Tani K. Tani 1 ⚽ G 6.60
19 Y. Nakayama Y. Nakayama 83' D 6.30
50 D. Okamura D. Okamura D 6.90
3 G. Shōji G. Shōji D 6.70
26 K. Hayashi K. Hayashi M 6.50
31 N. Lavi N. Lavi 89' M 6.90
16 H. Mae H. Mae M 6.90
88 H. Nakamura H. Nakamura 83' M 6.90
10 Na Sang-Ho Na Sang-Ho 1 👟 67' F 6.50
27 Erik Erik 67' F 6.70
99 T. Yengi T. Yengi 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
11 A. Masuyama A. Masuyama M
34 Futa Tokumura Futa Tokumura 30' F 6.30
6 H. Mochizuki H. Mochizuki 14' D 6.50
18 H. Shimoda H. Shimoda 8' M 6.20
5 I. Drešević I. Drešević 1 ⚽ 14' D 6.90
8 K. Sento K. Sento 30' M 6.30
9 S. Fujio S. Fujio F
Best on the pitch
Léo Ceará
Léo Ceará
F · Kashima
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
G. Shibasaki
G. Shibasaki
M · Kashima
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
T. Yengi
T. Yengi
F · Machida
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
D · Kashima
7.30
· 96 pass
G · Kashima
7.00
· 43 pass
A. Čavrić
A. Čavrić
F · Kashima
7.00
1 shots · 9 pass
Kashima Kashima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 7.00 — — — 43 29% — — —
S. Mizoguchi D 83 6.30 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
Kim Tae-Hyeon D 97 6.50 — — — 69 64% — — —
D 97 7.30 — — — 96 88% — — —
K. Nono D 97 6.70 — — 1 67 51% 1 — —
Y. Suzuki M 97 5.90 1 — 2 39 23% — — —
K. Chinen M 62 6.70 — — — 41 33% 2 — —
G. Shibasaki M 83 7.90 — 1 1 39 36% — — —
Y. Matsumura M 62 6.30 — — 1 9 7% 2 — —
A. Čavrić F 62 7.00 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Léo Ceará F 97 8.30 2 — 2 22 15% 3 — —
K. Tagawa F 35 6.90 1 — — 3 3% — — —
R. Araki M 14 6.60 — — — 17 15% — — —
R. Ogawa D 14 6.30 1 — — 11 8% — — —
S. Morooka F 35 6.60 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
Yuta Higuchi M 35 6.50 — — — 16 16% 1 — —
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tani G 97 6.60 1 — — 30 16% — — —
Y. Nakayama D 83 6.30 — — 1 37 29% 1 — —
D. Okamura D 97 6.90 — — — 43 40% 5 — —
G. Shōji D 97 6.70 — — — 41 29% 2 — —
K. Hayashi M 97 6.50 — — 1 31 25% 1 1 —
N. Lavi M 89 6.90 — — — 34 27% 6 1 —
H. Mae M 97 6.90 — — 1 33 30% 1 1 —
H. Nakamura M 83 6.90 — — — 25 17% — — —
Na Sang-Ho F 67 6.50 — 1 2 11 11% 1 — —
Erik F 67 6.70 — — 1 17 16% — — —
T. Yengi F 97 7.50 1 — 2 17 14% — 1 —
Futa Tokumura F 30 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
H. Mochizuki D 14 6.50 — — — 4 1% — — —
H. Shimoda M 8 6.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
I. Drešević D 14 6.90 1 — — 1 — — — —
K. Sento M 30 6.30 — — 1 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Kashima 1–1 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Kashima win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Machida Zelvia win.