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J1 League · Regular Season - 14 May 03, 2026 09:00 Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Kashima
#16 · 0 pts
1 – 1
Final score
pens 4–2
Machida Zelvia
#19 · 0 pts
Leo Ceara (ast. G. Shibasaki) 50'
K. Tagawa 120'+1 (pen.)
Y. Suzuki 120'+2 (pen.)
R. Ogawa 120'+3 (pen.)
Leo Ceara 120'+4 (pen.)
53' (ast. Na Sang-Ho) T. Yengi
(pen.) 120'+2 I. Dresevic
(pen.) 120'+3 K. Tani
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Machida Zelvia 21%). The final result was Kashima 1–1 Machida Zelvia. In 1 previous meetings, Kashima have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Machida Zelvia.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
5
13
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
41'
T. Yengi
48'
N. Lavi
⚽Leo Ceara · ast. G. Shibasaki
50'
53'
ast. Na Sang-Ho · T. Yengi⚽
57'
K. Hayashi
↕ K. Chinen / Y. Higuchi
62'
↕ Y. Matsumura / S. Morooka
62'
↕ A. Cavric / K. Tagawa
62'
67'
K. Sento / Erik ↕
67'
F. Tokumura / Na Sang-Ho ↕
↕ G. Shibasaki / R. Araki
83'
↕ S. Mizoguchi / R. Ogawa
83'
83'
H. Mochizuki / H. Nakamura ↕
83'
I. Dresevic / Y. Nakayama ↕
89'
H. Shimoda / N. Lavi ↕
90'+3
H. Mae
120'+1
(missed pen.) H. Shimoda⚽
⚽K. Tagawa (pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(pen.) I. Dresevic⚽
⚽Y. Suzuki (pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.) K. Tani⚽
⚽R. Ogawa (pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(missed pen.) H. Mae⚽
⚽Leo Ceara (pen.)
120'+4
Pre-match prediction
53.3%
Kashima
24.99%
X ←
21.72%
Machida
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kashima
1.78
—
—
Machida
0.74
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 0 0
2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0 0
3 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0 0
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0 0
5 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0 0
6 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0 0
7 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 0 0
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0 0
9 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0 0
10 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0 0
11 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 0 0
12 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0 0
13 Urawa Urawa 0 0
14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 0
15 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0 0
16 Kashima Kashima 0 0
17 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0 0
18 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0 0
19 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0 0
20 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 0 0
Lineups
Kashima Kashima 4-4-2
1
G 7.00
16
Shuhei Mizoguchi 83' D 6.30
3 Kim Tae-hyeon Kim Tae-hyeon D 6.50
55
D 7.30
22 Kimito Nono Kimito Nono D 6.70
40 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 1 ⚽ M 5.90
13 Kei Chinen Kei Chinen 62' M 6.70
10 G. Shibasaki G. Shibasaki 1 👟 83' M 7.90
27 Yuta Matsumura Yuta Matsumura 62' M 6.30
77 Aleksandar Čavrić Aleksandar Čavrić 62' F 7.00
9 Léo Ceará Léo Ceará 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
24 Haruki Hayashi Haruki Hayashi M
11
K. Tagawa 1 ⚽ 35' F 6.90
71 Ryotaro Araki Ryotaro Araki 14' M 6.60
7 Ryoya Ogawa Ryoya Ogawa 1 ⚽ 14' D 6.30
25 Ryuta Koike Ryuta Koike D
19 Shu Morooka Shu Morooka 35' F 6.60
14 Yuta Higuchi Yuta Higuchi 35' M 6.50
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1 Kosei Tani Kosei Tani 1 ⚽ G 6.60
19 Yuta Nakayama Yuta Nakayama 83' D 6.30
50 D. Okamura D. Okamura D 6.90
3 Gen Shoji Gen Shoji D 6.70
26 Kotaro Hayashi Kotaro Hayashi M 6.50
31 Neta Lavi Neta Lavi 89' M 6.90
16 H. Mae H. Mae M 6.90
88 Hotaka Nakamura Hotaka Nakamura 83' M 6.90
10 Sang-Ho Na Sang-Ho Na 1 👟 67' F 6.50
27 Erik Erik 67' F 6.70
99 Tete Yengi Tete Yengi 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
11 Asahi Masuyama Asahi Masuyama M
34 Futa Tokumura Futa Tokumura 30' F 6.30
6 Henry Heroki Mochizuki Henry Heroki Mochizuki 14' D 6.50
18 Hokuto Shimoda Hokuto Shimoda 8' M 6.20
5 Ibrahim Drešević Ibrahim Drešević 1 ⚽ 14' D 6.90
8 Keiya Sento Keiya Sento 30' M 6.30
9 Shota Fujio Shota Fujio F
Best on the pitch
Léo Ceará
Léo Ceará
F · Kashima
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
G. Shibasaki
G. Shibasaki
M · Kashima
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
Tete Yengi
Tete Yengi
F · Machida
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
D · Kashima
7.30
· 96 pass
G · Kashima
7.00
· 43 pass
Aleksandar Čavrić
Aleksandar Čavrić
F · Kashima
7.00
1 shots · 9 pass
Kashima Kashima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 7.00 — — — 43 29% — — —
Shuhei Mizoguchi D 83 6.30 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
Kim Tae-hyeon D 97 6.50 — — — 69 64% — — —
D 97 7.30 — — — 96 88% — — —
Kimito Nono D 97 6.70 — — 1 67 51% 1 — —
Y. Suzuki M 97 5.90 1 — 2 39 23% — — —
Kei Chinen M 62 6.70 — — — 41 33% 2 — —
G. Shibasaki M 83 7.90 — 1 1 39 36% — — —
Yuta Matsumura M 62 6.30 — — 1 9 7% 2 — —
Aleksandar Čavrić F 62 7.00 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Léo Ceará F 97 8.30 2 — 2 22 15% 3 — —
K. Tagawa F 35 6.90 1 — — 3 3% — — —
Ryotaro Araki M 14 6.60 — — — 17 15% — — —
Ryoya Ogawa D 14 6.30 1 — — 11 8% — — —
Shu Morooka F 35 6.60 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
Yuta Higuchi M 35 6.50 — — — 16 16% 1 — —
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kosei Tani G 97 6.60 1 — — 30 16% — — —
Yuta Nakayama D 83 6.30 — — 1 37 29% 1 — —
D. Okamura D 97 6.90 — — — 43 40% 5 — —
Gen Shoji D 97 6.70 — — — 41 29% 2 — —
Kotaro Hayashi M 97 6.50 — — 1 31 25% 1 1 —
Neta Lavi M 89 6.90 — — — 34 27% 6 1 —
H. Mae M 97 6.90 — — 1 33 30% 1 1 —
Hotaka Nakamura M 83 6.90 — — — 25 17% — — —
Sang-Ho Na F 67 6.50 — 1 2 11 11% 1 — —
Erik F 67 6.70 — — 1 17 16% — — —
Tete Yengi F 97 7.50 1 — 2 17 14% — 1 —
Futa Tokumura F 30 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
Henry Heroki Mochizuki D 14 6.50 — — — 4 1% — — —
Hokuto Shimoda M 8 6.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
Ibrahim Drešević D 14 6.90 1 — — 1 — — — —
Keiya Sento M 30 6.30 — — 1 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Kashima 1–1 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Kashima win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Machida Zelvia win.