Kashima - Newcastle Jets
AFC Champions League
September 15, 2026 12:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Kashima
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Newcastle Jets
2.27
1.53
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.18%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kashima a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Newcastle Jets. Expected goals are 2.3 for Kashima and 1.5 for Newcastle Jets (total 3.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.18% probability.
Season Stats
8W
2D
5L
8W
5D
2L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.1
1.5
Conceded
1.1
4.3
Shots OT
5.2
4.1
Corners
5.0
61%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
67%
53%
BTTS
80%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
8W
1D
1L
· at home
6W
3D
1L
· away
1.6
gls/g
1.9
0.6
Conceded
1.2
80%
Win %
60%
90%
Win or Draw
90%
60%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
70%
10%
O 3.5
50%
40%
BTTS
80%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Kashima
Newcastle Jets →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Kashima
Attack
52
Defence
64
Form
63
Newcastle Jets
Attack
46
Defence
58
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
East Region
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kashima
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Vissel Kobe
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Jeonbuk Motors
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Daejeon Citizen
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Pohang Steelers
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Buriram United
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Port FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Ratchaburi
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
SHANGHAI SIPG
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Beijing Guoan
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Newcastle Jets
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Johor Darul Takzim FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Gamba Osaka
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Công An Nhân Dân
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · East Region
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #13 |
| → Kashima | #1 | #13 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Newcastle Jets | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kashima vs Newcastle Jets?
The model gives Kashima a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Newcastle Jets win.
How many goals are expected in Kashima vs Newcastle Jets?
Expected goals: Kashima 2.3, Newcastle Jets 1.5 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Kashima vs Newcastle Jets?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.18%.