AFC Champions League
· League Phase - 1
September 15, 2026 12:00
A. Cavric
(ast. H. Tokuda)
11'
A. Cavric
(ast. Y. Matsumura)
16'
J. Delianov
19'
(og)
H. Tokuda
(ast. R. Ogawa)
40'
A. Cavric
(ast. Yan)
42'
H. Tokuda
56'
K. Tagawa
(ast. H. Hayashu)
73'
79'
(ast. J. Lolley)
P. Wood
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Newcastle Jets 29%). The final result was Kashima 7–1 Newcastle Jets.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
10
Shots on target
1
1.85
Actual xG
0.30
0
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
4
6
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Cavric
· ast. H. Tokuda
11'
⚽A. Cavric
· ast. Y. Matsumura
16'
⚽J. Delianov
(og)
19'
⚽H. Tokuda
· ast. R. Ogawa
40'
⚽A. Cavric
· ast. Yan
42'
Y. Matsumura
/ H. Hayashu
46'
46'
X. Bertoncello
/
W. Dobson
K. Misao
/ K. Tsukui
46'
A. Cavric
/ Y. Suzuki
46'
⚽H. Tokuda
56'
62'
P. Wood
/
Z. Clough
R. Ogawa
70'
Yan
/ K. Tagawa
72'
⚽K. Tagawa
· ast. H. Hayashu
73'
75'
P. Wood
79'
ast. J. Lolley ·
P. Wood⚽
R. Ogawa
/ R. Koike
84'
Kim Tae-Hyeon
87'
90'
J. Recchia
/
N. Vergos
Pre-match prediction
41.04%
Kashima ←
29.7%
X
29.26%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Kashima)
41.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.18
1.85
-0.33
1.46
0.30
-1.16
Kashima dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.30).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Hayakawa
G
T. Hayakawa
G
7
R. Ogawa
1 👟
84'
D
R. Ogawa
1 👟
84'
D
3
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D
55
N. Ueda
D
N. Ueda
D
37
R. Hirose
D
R. Hirose
D
27
Y. Matsumura
1 👟
45'
M
Y. Matsumura
1 👟
45'
M
6
K. Misao
45'
M
K. Misao
45'
M
10
G. Shibasaki
M
G. Shibasaki
M
18
Yan Matheus
1 👟
72'
M
Yan Matheus
1 👟
72'
M
77
A. Čavrić
3 ⚽
45'
F
A. Čavrić
3 ⚽
45'
F
34
H. Tokuda
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
H. Tokuda
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
24
H. Hayashu
1 👟
47'
M
H. Hayashu
1 👟
47'
M
5
I. Sekigawa
D
I. Sekigawa
D
4
K. Chida
D
K. Chida
D
11
K. Tagawa
1 ⚽
20'
F
K. Tagawa
1 ⚽
20'
F
23
K. Tsukui
47'
D
K. Tsukui
47'
D
9
Léo Ceará
F
Léo Ceará
F
8
Matheus Bueno
M
Matheus Bueno
M
30
M. Yoshida
F
M. Yoshida
F
25
R. Koike
8'
D
R. Koike
8'
D
21
T. Yamada
G
T. Yamada
G
28
Y. Okawa
D
Y. Okawa
D
40
Y. Suzuki
47'
F
Y. Suzuki
47'
F
1
J. Delianov
1 ⚽
G
J. Delianov
1 ⚽
G
23
D. Wilmering
D
D. Wilmering
D
61
Angus Reid
D
Angus Reid
D
5
J. Shaughnessy
D
J. Shaughnessy
D
22
J. Bertolissio
D
J. Bertolissio
D
14
M. Burgess
M
M. Burgess
M
6
Z. Schreiber
M
Z. Schreiber
M
10
Zach Clough
62'
M
Zach Clough
62'
M
28
W. Dobson
45'
M
W. Dobson
45'
M
11
J. Lolley
1 👟
M
J. Lolley
1 👟
M
9
N. Vergos
F
N. Vergos
F
Bench
20
Alex Nassiep
G
Alex Nassiep
G
24
A. Nunes
M
A. Nunes
M
46
E. Debono
F
E. Debono
F
64
Jesse Hill
F
Jesse Hill
F
27
Julian Recchia
2'
M
Julian Recchia
2'
M
65
Kaiden Walshe
D
Kaiden Walshe
D
26
Oscar Gonzalez
F
Oscar Gonzalez
F
8
P. Wood
1 ⚽
30'
F
P. Wood
1 ⚽
30'
F
43
X. Bertoncello
47'
F
X. Bertoncello
47'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Čavrić
F · Kashima
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots
· 9 pass
H. Tokuda
F · Kashima
9.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D · Kashima
7.70
1 shots
· 91 pass
Yan Matheus
M · Kashima
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
K. Tagawa
F · Kashima
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
G. Shibasaki
M · Kashima
7.30
· 76 pass
Kashima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayakawa | G | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Ogawa | D | 84 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kim Tae-Hyeon | D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 87% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Ueda | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 97 | 90% | — | — | — |
| R. Hirose | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Matsumura | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Misao | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 35% | — | — | — |
| G. Shibasaki | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Yan Matheus | M | 72 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Čavrić | F | 45 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 4 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| H. Tokuda | F | 92 | 9.30 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| H. Hayashu | M | 47 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| K. Tagawa | F | 20 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| K. Tsukui | D | 47 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Koike | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Newcastle Jets — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Delianov | G | 92 | 4.00 | 1 | — | — | 64 | 60% | — | — | — |
| D. Wilmering | D | 92 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Angus Reid | D | 92 | 4.60 | — | — | — | 89 | 86% | — | — | — |
| J. Shaughnessy | D | 92 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | — | — | — |
| J. Bertolissio | D | 92 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Burgess | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Z. Schreiber | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Zach Clough | M | 62 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Dobson | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Lolley | M | 92 | 6.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Vergos | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Julian Recchia | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Wood | F | 30 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| X. Bertoncello | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kashima vs Newcastle Jets?
The final score was Kashima 7–1 Newcastle Jets.
What did the model predict before Kashima vs Newcastle Jets?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Kashima win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Newcastle Jets win.