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Kashiwa Reysol - Daejeon Citizen

AFC Champions League November 03, 2026 11:00
Kashiwa Reysol
#7 · 4 pts
vs
Daejeon Citizen
#9 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.53%
Win
Kashiwa Reysol
26.95%
Draw
30.52%
Win
Daejeon Citizen
1.25
Expected xG
1.03

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.44%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 27%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 58%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kashiwa Reysol a 42% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Daejeon Citizen. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.0 for Daejeon Citizen (total 2.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.44% probability.

Season Stats

Kashiwa Reysol
1W 1D 1L
Daejeon Citizen
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.7
1.0
Conceded
0.7
3.3
Shots OT
3.7
6.0
Corners
5.3
62%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Kashiwa Reysol Daejeon Citizen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2% 10.5% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.2% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.3% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% — —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
D Ratchaburi 0–0
W Port FC 5–1
L Jeonbuk Motors 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen
L Vissel Kobe 0–1
D SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1
W Kyoto Sanga 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
Attack
49
Defence
67
Form
56
Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen
Attack
42
Defence
69
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

East Region

# Team G Pts
1 Kashima Kashima 3 9
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3 9
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3 7
4 Johor Darul Takzim FC Johor Darul Takzim FC 3 7
5 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3 7
6 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3 4
8 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 3 4
9 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3 4
10 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3 4
11 Công An Nhân Dân Công An Nhân Dân 3 3
12 Buriram United Buriram United 3 2
13 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3 1
14 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3 0
15 Port FC Port FC 3 0
16 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3 0

What's at stake · East Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Kashiwa Reysol Daejeon Citizen
Current #7 #9
→ Kashiwa Reysol #6 #9
→ Draw #7 #8
→ Daejeon Citizen #8 #6

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen?
The model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 42% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 30% for an Daejeon Citizen win.
How many goals are expected in Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen?
Expected goals: Kashiwa Reysol 1.3, Daejeon Citizen 1.0 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.44%.