✗Model wrong — prediction Galatasaray, result Kasımpaşa wins
A. Benedyczak
(ast. F. Diabate)
27'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Galatasaray a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Kasımpaşa 18%). The final result was Kasımpaşa 1–0 Galatasaray. In 1 previous meetings, Kasımpaşa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Galatasaray.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.65
Actual xG
0.55
4
Saves
2
29%
Possession
71%
2
Corners
7
13
Tackles
5
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Benedyczak
· ast. F. Diabate
27'
46'
B. Sen
/
G. Guvenc
60'
A. Kutucu
/
R. Nhaga
78'
I. Jakobs
/
A. Unyay
78'
R. Sallai
/
S. Boey
F. Diabate
/ M. Ben Ouanes
80'
A. Benedyczak
/ P. Gueye
90'+1
90'+1
A. Yuzgec
/
I. Gundogan
90'+3
C. Guner
/
L. Sane
90'+4
W. Singo
Pre-match prediction
18.65%
Kasımpaşa ←
18.7%
X
62.65%
Galatasaray
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Kasımpaşa)
18.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.65
-0.34
2.46
0.55
-1.91
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Ali Emre Yanar
G
Ali Emre Yanar
G
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
D
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
D
20
Nicholas Opoku
D
Nicholas Opoku
D
50
Rodrigo Becão
D
Rodrigo Becão
D
4
A. Arous
D
A. Arous
D
16
Andri Fannar Baldursson
M
Andri Fannar Baldursson
M
34
Fousseni Diabaté
1 👟
80'
M
Fousseni Diabaté
1 👟
80'
M
26
Kerem Demirbay
M
Kerem Demirbay
M
8
Cafú
M
Cafú
M
71
İrfan Can Kahveci
M
İrfan Can Kahveci
M
19
A. Benedyczak
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Benedyczak
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
11
Ali Yavuz Kol
F
Ali Yavuz Kol
F
5
E. Aydin
M
61
Ege Albayrak
G
Ege Albayrak
G
33
Emre Taşdemir
D
Emre Taşdemir
D
21
Frimpong
D
Frimpong
D
77
Habib Gueye
1'
F
Habib Gueye
1'
F
18
Jim Allevinah
F
Jim Allevinah
F
17
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
F
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
F
12
M. Ben Ouanes
10'
M
M. Ben Ouanes
10'
M
29
Taylan Utku Aydın
D
Taylan Utku Aydın
D
19
Günay Güvenç
45'
G
Günay Güvenç
45'
G
17
E. Elmalı
D
E. Elmalı
D
91
Arda Ünyay
78'
D
Arda Ünyay
78'
D
90
Wilfried Singo
D
Wilfried Singo
D
93
Sacha Boey
78'
D
Sacha Boey
78'
D
74
Renato Nhaga
60'
M
Renato Nhaga
60'
M
23
K. Ayhan
M
K. Ayhan
M
77
N. Lang
M
N. Lang
M
20
İlkay Gündoğan
89'
M
İlkay Gündoğan
89'
M
10
L. Sané
89'
M
L. Sané
89'
M
9
M. Icardi
F
M. Icardi
F
Bench
62
Ada Yüzgeç
1'
F
Ada Yüzgeç
1'
F
21
Ahmed Kutucu
30'
F
Ahmed Kutucu
30'
F
12
Batuhan Şen
45'
G
Batuhan Şen
45'
G
27
Can Armando Güner
1'
F
Can Armando Güner
1'
F
6
D. Sánchez
D
D. Sánchez
D
67
Eyüp Karasu
M
Eyüp Karasu
M
68
Furkan Koçak
M
Furkan Koçak
M
4
Ismail Jakobs
12'
D
Ismail Jakobs
12'
D
99
Mario Lemina
M
Mario Lemina
M
7
R. Sallai
12'
F
R. Sallai
12'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Benedyczak
F · Kasımpaşa
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
Batuhan Şen
G · Galatasaray
7.60
· 14 pass
Ali Emre Yanar
G · Kasımpaşa
7.30
· 29 pass
A. Arous
D · Kasımpaşa
7.30
· 26 pass
Cafú
M · Kasımpaşa
7.20
· 36 pass
K. Ayhan
M · Galatasaray
7.20
1 shots
· 103 pass
Kasımpaşa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Emre Yanar | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Opoku | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Becão | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Arous | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Andri Fannar Baldursson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Fousseni Diabaté | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kerem Demirbay | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Cafú | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Benedyczak | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Habib Gueye | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ben Ouanes | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Galatasaray — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Günay Güvenç | G | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Elmalı | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Arda Ünyay | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Wilfried Singo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 107 | 104% | — | 1 | — |
| Sacha Boey | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Renato Nhaga | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| K. Ayhan | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 103 | 95% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Lang | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| İlkay Gündoğan | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | — | — | — |
| L. Sané | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Icardi | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ada Yüzgeç | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Kutucu | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Batuhan Şen | G | 45 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Can Armando Güner | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismail Jakobs | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Sallai | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
The final score was Kasımpaşa 1–0 Galatasaray.
What did the model predict before Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Kasımpaşa win, 18% to a draw, and 62% to an Galatasaray win.