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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 19:00 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul
Kasımpaşa
#6 · 16 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Galatasaray
#1 · 22 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Galatasaray, result Kasımpaşa wins
A. Benedyczak (ast. F. Diabate) 27'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Galatasaray a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Kasımpaşa 18%). The final result was Kasımpaşa 1–0 Galatasaray. In 2 previous meetings, Kasımpaşa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Galatasaray.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.65
Actual xG
0.55
4
Saves
2
29%
Possession
71%
2
Corners
7
13
Tackles
5
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Benedyczak · ast. F. Diabate
27'
46'
B. Sen / G. Guvenc ↕
60'
A. Kutucu / R. Nhaga ↕
78'
I. Jakobs / A. Unyay ↕
78'
R. Sallai / S. Boey ↕
↕ F. Diabate / M. Ben Ouanes
80'
↕ A. Benedyczak / P. Gueye
90'+1
90'+1
A. Yuzgec / I. Gundogan ↕
90'+3
C. Guner / L. Sane ↕
90'+4
W. Singo
Pre-match prediction
18.65%
Kasımpaşa ←
18.7%
X
62.65%
Galatasaray
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Kasımpaşa) 18.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kasımpaşa
0.99
0.65
-0.34
Galatasaray
2.46
0.55
-1.91
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.55). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray 9 22
2 Amed Amed 9 20
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 9 19
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 9 18
5 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 9 16
6 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 9 16
7 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 9 15
8 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 9 14
9 Çorum FK Çorum FK 9 13
10 Göztepe Göztepe 9 12
11 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 9 12
12 Başakşehir Başakşehir 9 11
13 Rizespor Rizespor 9 10
14 Konyaspor Konyaspor 9 8
15 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 9 8
16 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 9 8
17 Samsunspor Samsunspor 9 4
18 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 9 3
Lineups
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-1-4-1
25 Ali Emre Yanar Ali Emre Yanar G 7.30
22 Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi D 6.60
20 Nicholas Opoku Nicholas Opoku D 6.90
50 Rodrigo Becão Rodrigo Becão D 7.00
4 Adem Arous Adem Arous D 7.30
16 Andri Fannar Baldursson Andri Fannar Baldursson M 6.90
34 Fousseni Diabaté Fousseni Diabaté 1 👟 80' M 6.60
26 Kerem Demirbay Kerem Demirbay M 7.00
8
Cafú M 7.20
71 İ. Kahveci İ. Kahveci M 6.30
19 A. Benedyczak A. Benedyczak 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
Bench
11 Ali Yavuz Kol Ali Yavuz Kol F
5
E. Aydin M
61 Ege Albayrak Ege Albayrak G
33 E. Taşdemir E. Taşdemir D
21 Frimpong Frimpong D
77 Habib Gueye Habib Gueye 1' F
18 J. Allevinah J. Allevinah F
17 Kubilay Kanatsızkuş Kubilay Kanatsızkuş F
12 M. Ben Ouanes M. Ben Ouanes 10' M 6.70
29 Taylan Utku Aydın Taylan Utku Aydın D
Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-2-3-1
19 G. Güvenç G. Güvenç 45' G 6.00
17 Eren Elmalı Eren Elmalı D 6.90
91 Arda Ünyay Arda Ünyay 78' D 6.90
90 Wilfried Singo Wilfried Singo D 6.70
93 S. Boey S. Boey 78' D 6.30
74 Renato Nhaga Renato Nhaga 60' M 6.70
23 Kaan Ayhan Kaan Ayhan M 7.20
77 N. Lang N. Lang M 6.30
20 İlkay Gündoğan İlkay Gündoğan 89' M 6.90
10 Leroy Sané Leroy Sané 89' M 7.00
9 M. Icardi M. Icardi F 6.30
Bench
62 Ada Yüzgeç Ada Yüzgeç 1' F
21 Ahmed Kutucu Ahmed Kutucu 30' F 6.20
12 Batuhan Şen Batuhan Şen 45' G 7.60
27 Can Armando Güner Can Armando Güner 1' F
6 D. Sánchez D. Sánchez D
67 Eyüp Karasu Eyüp Karasu M
68 Furkan Koçak Furkan Koçak M
4 Ismail Jakobs Ismail Jakobs 12' D 6.90
99 Mario Lemina Mario Lemina M
7 Roland Sallai Roland Sallai 12' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
A. Benedyczak
A. Benedyczak
F · Kasımpaşa
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
Batuhan Şen
Batuhan Şen
G · Galatasaray
7.60
· 14 pass
Ali Emre Yanar
Ali Emre Yanar
G · Kasımpaşa
7.30
· 29 pass
Adem Arous
Adem Arous
D · Kasımpaşa
7.30
· 26 pass
Cafú
M · Kasımpaşa
7.20
· 36 pass
Kaan Ayhan
Kaan Ayhan
M · Galatasaray
7.20
1 shots · 103 pass
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ali Emre Yanar G 90 7.30 — — — 29 18% — — —
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi D 90 6.60 — — — 28 22% — — —
Nicholas Opoku D 90 6.90 — — — 27 26% 1 — —
Rodrigo Becão D 90 7.00 — — — 21 16% 2 — —
Adem Arous D 90 7.30 — — — 26 18% 4 — —
Andri Fannar Baldursson M 90 6.90 — — — 19 14% 2 — —
Fousseni Diabaté M 80 6.60 — 1 1 14 13% — — —
Kerem Demirbay M 90 7.00 — — — 28 21% 1 — —
Cafú M 90 7.20 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
İ. Kahveci M 90 6.30 — — 1 29 24% 2 — —
A. Benedyczak F 89 7.90 1 — 3 15 8% — — —
Habib Gueye F 1 — — — — 2 — — — —
M. Ben Ouanes M 10 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
Galatasaray Galatasaray — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Güvenç G 45 6.00 — — — 20 18% — — —
Eren Elmalı D 90 6.90 — — — 35 31% 2 — —
Arda Ünyay D 78 6.90 — — 1 79 71% — — —
Wilfried Singo D 90 6.70 — — 2 107 104% — 1 —
S. Boey D 78 6.30 — — — 57 54% — — —
Renato Nhaga M 60 6.70 — — — 36 33% — — —
Kaan Ayhan M 90 7.20 — — 1 103 95% 2 — —
N. Lang M 90 6.30 — — 2 54 49% — — —
İlkay Gündoğan M 89 6.90 — — — 58 55% — — —
Leroy Sané M 89 7.00 — — 2 54 48% 1 — —
M. Icardi F 90 6.30 — — — 12 7% — — —
Ada Yüzgeç F 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Ahmed Kutucu F 30 6.20 — — 3 8 4% — — —
Batuhan Şen G 45 7.60 — — — 14 13% — — —
Can Armando Güner F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Ismail Jakobs D 12 6.90 — — — 16 16% — — —
Roland Sallai F 12 6.50 — — — 11 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
The final score was Kasımpaşa 1–0 Galatasaray.
What did the model predict before Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Kasımpaşa win, 18% to a draw, and 62% to an Galatasaray win.