✗Model wrong — prediction Galatasaray, result Kasımpaşa wins
A. Benedyczak
(ast. F. Diabate)
27'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Galatasaray a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Kasımpaşa 18%). The final result was Kasımpaşa 1–0 Galatasaray. In 1 previous meetings, Kasımpaşa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Galatasaray.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.65
Actual xG
0.55
4
Saves
2
29%
Possession
71%
2
Corners
7
13
Tackles
5
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Benedyczak
· ast. F. Diabate
27'
46'
B. Sen
/
G. Guvenc
60'
A. Kutucu
/
R. Nhaga
78'
I. Jakobs
/
A. Unyay
78'
R. Sallai
/
S. Boey
F. Diabate
/ M. Ben Ouanes
80'
A. Benedyczak
/ P. Gueye
90'+1
90'+1
A. Yuzgec
/
I. Gundogan
90'+3
C. Guner
/
L. Sane
90'+4
W. Singo
Pre-match prediction
18.65%
Kasımpaşa ←
18.7%
X
62.65%
Galatasaray
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Kasımpaşa)
18.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.65
-0.34
2.46
0.55
-1.91
xG dominance was balanced (0.65 – 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
A. Yanar
G
A. Yanar
G
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
D
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
D
20
Nicholas Opoku
D
Nicholas Opoku
D
50
Rodrigo Becão
D
Rodrigo Becão
D
4
A. Arous
D
A. Arous
D
16
A. Baldursson
M
A. Baldursson
M
34
Fousseni Diabaté
1 👟
80'
M
Fousseni Diabaté
1 👟
80'
M
26
K. Demirbay
M
K. Demirbay
M
8
Cafú
M
71
İ. Kahveci
M
İ. Kahveci
M
19
A. Benedyczak
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Benedyczak
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
11
A. Kol
F
A. Kol
F
5
E. Aydin
M
61
Ege Albayrak
G
Ege Albayrak
G
33
E. Taşdemir
D
E. Taşdemir
D
21
Frimpong
D
Frimpong
D
77
Habib Gueye
1'
F
Habib Gueye
1'
F
18
J. Allevinah
F
J. Allevinah
F
17
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
F
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
F
12
M. Ben Ouanes
10'
M
M. Ben Ouanes
10'
M
29
Taylan Utku Aydın
D
Taylan Utku Aydın
D
19
Günay Güvenç
45'
G
Günay Güvenç
45'
G
17
E. Elmalı
D
E. Elmalı
D
91
A. Ünyay
78'
D
A. Ünyay
78'
D
90
W. Singo
D
W. Singo
D
93
S. Boey
78'
D
S. Boey
78'
D
74
Renato Nhaga
60'
M
Renato Nhaga
60'
M
23
K. Ayhan
M
K. Ayhan
M
77
N. Lang
M
N. Lang
M
20
İ. Gündoğan
89'
M
İ. Gündoğan
89'
M
10
L. Sané
89'
M
L. Sané
89'
M
9
M. Icardi
F
M. Icardi
F
Bench
62
Ada Yüzgeç
1'
F
Ada Yüzgeç
1'
F
21
Ahmed Kutucu
30'
F
Ahmed Kutucu
30'
F
12
Batuhan Şen
45'
G
Batuhan Şen
45'
G
27
Can Armando Güner
1'
F
Can Armando Güner
1'
F
6
D. Sánchez
D
D. Sánchez
D
67
Eyüp Karasu
M
Eyüp Karasu
M
68
Furkan Koçak
M
Furkan Koçak
M
4
I. Jakobs
12'
D
I. Jakobs
12'
D
99
M. Lemina
M
M. Lemina
M
7
R. Sallai
12'
F
R. Sallai
12'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Benedyczak
F · Kasımpaşa
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
Batuhan Şen
G · Galatasaray
7.60
· 14 pass
A. Yanar
G · Kasımpaşa
7.30
· 29 pass
A. Arous
D · Kasımpaşa
7.30
· 26 pass
Cafú
M · Kasımpaşa
7.20
· 36 pass
K. Ayhan
M · Galatasaray
7.20
1 shots
· 103 pass
Kasımpaşa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Yanar | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Opoku | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Becão | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Arous | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Baldursson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Fousseni Diabaté | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| K. Demirbay | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Cafú | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| İ. Kahveci | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Benedyczak | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Habib Gueye | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ben Ouanes | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Galatasaray — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Günay Güvenç | G | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Elmalı | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ünyay | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 71% | — | — | — |
| W. Singo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 107 | 104% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Boey | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Renato Nhaga | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| K. Ayhan | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 103 | 95% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Lang | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| İ. Gündoğan | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | — | — | — |
| L. Sané | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Icardi | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ada Yüzgeç | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Kutucu | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Batuhan Şen | G | 45 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Can Armando Güner | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Jakobs | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Sallai | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
The final score was Kasımpaşa 1–0 Galatasaray.
What did the model predict before Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Kasımpaşa win, 18% to a draw, and 62% to an Galatasaray win.