Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 8
October 18, 2026 12:30
C. Winck
(ast. A. Kol)
26'
A. Arous
(ast. A. Benedyczak)
31'
A. Arous
(ast. J. Rak-Sakyi)
64'
A. Benedyczak
(ast. K. Demirbay)
78'
45'
T. Coulibaly
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kasımpaşa a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Samsunspor 29%). The final result was Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor. In 3 previous meetings, Kasımpaşa have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Samsunspor.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
3
1.93
Actual xG
0.61
2
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
4
18
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Winck
· ast. A. Kol
26'
⚽A. Arous
· ast. A. Benedyczak
31'
45'
T. Coulibaly⚽
46'
A. Sousa
/
E. Kilinc
E. Belozoglu
51'
55'
A. Sousa
58'
⚽A. Arous
· ast. J. Rak-Sakyi
64'
70'
S. Erakovic
/
Y. E. Cift
70'
A. Sekongo
/
O. Ohlenschlaeger
⚽A. Benedyczak
· ast. K. Demirbay
78'
E. Mendes
79'
A. Kol
/ T. Diarra
82'
A. Benedyczak
/ G. Yalcin
82'
K. Demirbay
/ H. Hajradinovic
83'
A. Karapo
/ K. Mouanga
86'
J. Rak-Sakyi
/ M. Rafferty
86'
86'
E. Tavsan
/
Y. Kayan
86'
S. Jarju
/
T. Coulibaly
89'
E. Watt
Pre-match prediction
42.16%
Kasımpaşa ←
28.78%
X
29.06%
Samsunspor
we assigned to the actual result (Kasımpaşa)
42.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
1.93
+0.34
0.93
0.61
-0.32
Kasımpaşa dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Andreas Gianniotis
76'
G
Andreas Gianniotis
76'
G
45
Ayberk Karapo
76'
D
Ayberk Karapo
76'
D
27
Matei Ilie
76'
D
Matei Ilie
76'
D
4
Adem Arous
2 ⚽
76'
D
Adem Arous
2 ⚽
76'
D
2
Cláudio Winck
1 ⚽
76'
D
Cláudio Winck
1 ⚽
76'
D
26
Kerem Demirbay
1 👟
76'
M
Kerem Demirbay
1 👟
76'
M
16
Andri Fannar Baldursson
76'
M
Andri Fannar Baldursson
76'
M
7
Ali Yavuz Kol
1 👟
76'
M
Ali Yavuz Kol
1 👟
76'
M
51
Elson Mendes
76'
M
Elson Mendes
76'
M
17
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
1 👟
76'
M
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
1 👟
76'
M
9
A. Benedyczak
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
A. Benedyczak
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
30
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
D
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
D
25
Ali Emre Yanar
G
Ali Emre Yanar
G
8
Atakan Mujde
M
Atakan Mujde
M
66
Emirhan Boz
M
Emirhan Boz
M
50
Güven Yalçın
F
Güven Yalçın
F
10
Haris Hajradinović
M
Haris Hajradinović
M
14
Kevin Mouanga
D
Kevin Mouanga
D
19
Marcus Rafferty
M
Marcus Rafferty
M
18
Ömer Bayram
D
Ömer Bayram
D
11
Thiemoko Diarra
F
Thiemoko Diarra
F
1
Okan Kocuk
76'
G
Okan Kocuk
76'
G
17
Logi Tomasson
76'
D
Logi Tomasson
76'
D
34
Gabriele Guarino
76'
D
Gabriele Guarino
76'
D
22
Yunus Emre Çift
70'
D
Yunus Emre Çift
70'
D
2
Josafat Mendes
76'
D
Josafat Mendes
76'
D
4
Elliot Watt
76'
M
Elliot Watt
76'
M
11
Emre Kılınç
45'
M
Emre Kılınç
45'
M
19
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
70'
M
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
70'
M
20
Yalçın Kayan
76'
M
Yalçın Kayan
76'
M
10
Tanguy Coulibaly
1 ⚽
76'
M
Tanguy Coulibaly
1 ⚽
76'
M
18
Mohamed Bayo
76'
F
Mohamed Bayo
76'
F
Bench
77
Afonso Sousa
31'
M
Afonso Sousa
31'
M
42
Antoine Sekongo
6'
M
Antoine Sekongo
6'
M
25
Bilal Bayazit
G
Bilal Bayazit
G
7
Elayis Tavsan
F
Elayis Tavsan
F
23
Enes Albak
D
Enes Albak
D
29
Haluk Mustafa Tan
D
Haluk Mustafa Tan
D
3
Igor Drapiński
D
Igor Drapiński
D
30
Saikuba Jarju
F
Saikuba Jarju
F
8
Samed Onur
M
Samed Onur
M
16
Strahinja Eraković
6'
D
Strahinja Eraković
6'
D
Best on the pitch
Adem Arous
D · Kasımpaşa
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 52 pass
Elson Mendes
M · Kasımpaşa
7.90
2 shots
· 20 pass
Ayberk Karapo
D · Kasımpaşa
7.70
· 28 pass
Cláudio Winck
D · Kasımpaşa
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Tanguy Coulibaly
M · Samsunspor
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Matei Ilie
D · Kasımpaşa
7.30
· 51 pass
Kasımpaşa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gianniotis | G | 76 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Ayberk Karapo | D | 76 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Matei Ilie | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Adem Arous | D | 76 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 52 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Cláudio Winck | D | 76 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Kerem Demirbay | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Andri Fannar Baldursson | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| Ali Yavuz Kol | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Elson Mendes | M | 76 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Benedyczak | F | 76 | 6.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Samsunspor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okan Kocuk | G | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Logi Tomasson | D | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriele Guarino | D | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Yunus Emre Çift | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Josafat Mendes | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Emre Kılınç | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Oskar Øhlenschlaeger | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Yalçın Kayan | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | M | 76 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Mohamed Bayo | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Afonso Sousa | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Antoine Sekongo | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Strahinja Eraković | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
The final score was Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor.
What did the model predict before Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Kasımpaşa win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Samsunspor win.