Skip to main content
← A Lyga

Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen

A Lyga August 08, 2026 18:00
#2 · 34 pts
vs
#7 · 22 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
66.16%
Win
Kauno Žalgiris
20.8%
Draw
13.03%
Win
Hegelmann Litauen
1.8
Expected xG
0.62
Most likely outcome
Kauno Žalgiris
66.16%
Probability
62.5%
1X2 accuracy · 16 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (16.54%)
1X2 Result ✓ 62.5% hit rate (16 picks)
1 66%
X 21%
2 13%
Double Chance ✓ 87.5% hit rate (16 picks)
1X 87%
X2 34%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 54%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kauno Žalgiris a 66% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Hegelmann Litauen. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kauno Žalgiris and 0.6 for Hegelmann Litauen (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.54% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Kauno Žalgiris have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Hegelmann Litauen.

Season Stats

Kauno Žalgiris
5W 6D 4L
Hegelmann Litauen
3W 5D 7L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.9
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
60%
47%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sht
7%
Based on the last 15 matches in A Lyga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Kauno Žalgiris
4W 3D 3L · at home
Hegelmann Litauen
2W 2D 6L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.9
0.7
Conceded
2.1
40%
Win %
20%
70%
Win or Draw
40%
70%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kauno Žalgiris Hegelmann Litauen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9% 5.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 9.9% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 14.5% 8.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 8.7% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W Šiauliai 4–0
W Panevėžys 3–0
D Džiugas Telšiai 0–0
W TransINVEST Vilnius 1–2
L Banga 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
L TransINVEST Vilnius 1–2
L FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–3
W Šiauliai 0–2
L Suduva Marijampole 5–1
D Panevėžys 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
Attack
37
Defence
83
Form
59
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
Attack
29
Defence
55
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Kauno Žalgiris
1
Draw
0
Hegelmann Litauen
14 Jun 2026 A Lyga 1–1
11 Apr 2026 A Lyga 5–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 22 35
2 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 20 34
3 FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 21 34
4 Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 22 34
5 Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 20 33
6 Banga Banga 21 33
7 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 23 22
8 Panevėžys Panevėžys 21 20
9 Šiauliai Šiauliai 22 13
10 FK Trakai FK Trakai 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?
The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 66% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 13% for an Hegelmann Litauen win.
How many goals are expected in Kauno Žalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Expected goals: Kauno Žalgiris 1.8, Hegelmann Litauen 0.6 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.54%.