Kauno Žalgiris - Suduva Marijampole
A Lyga
September 09, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.09%
Win
Kauno Žalgiris
27.27%
Draw
33.64%
Win
Suduva Marijampole
1.17
1.17
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.78%)
1X2 Result
✓ 64.7% hit rate (17 picks)
1
39%
X
27%
2
34%
Double Chance
✓ 88.2% hit rate (17 picks)
1X
66%
X2
61%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
54%
✓ 57.1% hit rate (28 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kauno Žalgiris a 39% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Suduva Marijampole. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.2 for Suduva Marijampole (total 2.3), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.78% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Kauno Žalgiris have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Suduva Marijampole.
Season Stats
5W
6D
4L
9W
5D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.9
0.9
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
67%
47%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in A Lyga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
5W
2D
3L
· at home
4W
3D
3L
· away
2.1
gls/g
1.6
0.6
Conceded
1.1
50%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
70%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
70%
40%
O 3.5
10%
20%
BTTS
70%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Kauno Žalgiris
Suduva Marijampole →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.6% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Kauno Žalgiris
Attack
37
Defence
83
Form
59
Suduva Marijampole
Attack
47
Defence
84
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
21 | 37 |
| 2 |
Džiugas Telšiai
|
23 | 37 |
| 3 |
Suduva Marijampole
|
21 | 36 |
| 4 |
TransINVEST Vilnius
|
22 | 35 |
| 5 |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
|
21 | 34 |
| 6 |
Banga
|
22 | 33 |
| 7 |
Hegelmann Litauen
|
24 | 22 |
| 8 |
Panevėžys
|
21 | 20 |
| 9 |
Šiauliai
|
23 | 13 |
| 10 |
FK Trakai
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?
The model gives Kauno Žalgiris a 39% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 33% for an Suduva Marijampole win.
How many goals are expected in Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?
Expected goals: Kauno Žalgiris 1.2, Suduva Marijampole 1.2 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.78%.