Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Machida Zelvia — pre-match prediction — J1 League — May 17, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 17 May 17, 2026 12:00

Kawasaki Frontale

#11 · 1 pts

1 – 1

Final score

pens 5–4

Machida Zelvia

#1 · 3 pts

Y. Wakizaka 89' (pen.)

Y. Wakizaka 120'+1 (pen.)

Y. Maruyama 120'+2 (pen.)

A. Sasaki 120'+4 (pen.)

R. Yamahara 120'+5 (pen.)

K. Mochiyama 120'+6 (pen.)

40' (ast. H. Shimoda) T. Yengi

(pen.) 120'+1 I. Dresevic

(pen.) 120'+3 S. Fujio

(pen.) 120'+4 K. Tani

(pen.) 120'+5 N. Lavi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Machida Zelvia a 37% win probability (draw 34%, Kawasaki Frontale 28%). The final result was Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Machida Zelvia. In 1 previous meetings, Kawasaki Frontale have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Machida Zelvia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

64%

Possession

36%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

L. Romanic

28'

40'

ast. H. Shimoda · T. Yengi⚽

46'

Y. Nakayama / G. Shoji ↕

62'

S. Fujio / T. Yengi ↕

62'

N. Lavi / H. Shimoda ↕

↕ T. Miyagi / Marcinho

65'

70'

K. Sento / Erik ↕

↕ T. Ito / R. Osa

72'

↕ K. Tachibanada / S. Kawahara

72'

↕ L. Romanic / K. Mochiyama

72'

82'

K. Hayashi / Na Sang-Ho ↕

⚽Y. Wakizaka (pen.)

89'

90'+7

N. Lavi

120'+1

(pen.) I. Dresevic⚽

⚽Y. Wakizaka (pen.)

120'+1

120'+2

(missed pen.) Y. Nakayama⚽

⚽Y. Maruyama (pen.)

120'+2

120'+3

(pen.) S. Fujio⚽

⚽Y. Yamamoto (missed pen.)

120'+3

120'+4

(pen.) K. Tani⚽

⚽A. Sasaki (pen.)

120'+4

120'+5

(pen.) N. Lavi⚽

⚽R. Yamahara (pen.)

120'+5

120'+6

(missed pen.) K. Sento⚽

⚽K. Mochiyama (pen.)

120'+6

Pre-match prediction

28.63%

Kawasaki

34.02%

X ←

37.35%

Machida

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.02% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Kawasaki

0.67

—

Machida

0.84

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	1	3
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	3
3	Kashima	1	3
4	Gamba Osaka	1	3
5	Cerezo Osaka	1	3
6	Kashiwa Reysol	1	3
7	V-varen Nagasaki	1	3
8	Shimizu S-pulse	1	3
9	Vissel Kobe	1	3
10	Tokyo Verdy	1	1
11	Kawasaki Frontale	1	1
12	Yokohama F. Marinos	1	0
13	Urawa	1	0
14	Mito Hollyhock	1	0
15	Kyoto Sanga	1	0
16	Fagiano Okayama	1	0
17	Avispa Fukuoka	1	0
18	Nagoya Grampus	1	0
19	JEF United Chiba	1	0
20	FC Tokyo	1	0

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1

Louis Yamaguchi G 7.30

Sota Miura D 6.90

Yuichi Maruyama 1 ⚽ D 7.20

Asahi Sasaki 1 ⚽ D 6.90

Reon Yamahara 1 ⚽ D 6.90

Yuki Yamamoto M 7.70

Kento Tachibanada 72' M 6.90

Ten Miyagi 65' M 6.20

Yasuto Wakizaka 2 ⚽ M 7.90

Tatsuya Ito 72' M 6.90

Lazar Romanić 72' F 6.00

Bench

Filip Uremović D

Kyosuke Mochiyama 1 ⚽ 27' F 6.60

Marcinho 34' F 6.90

Ryuki Osa 27' M 6.50

Shunsuke Hayashi D

So Kawahara 27' M 6.90

Soma Kanda F

Svend Brodersen G

Yuto Matsunagane D

Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1

Kosei Tani 1 ⚽ G 7.90

Ibrahim Drešević 1 ⚽ D 7.00

D. Okamura D 7.30

Gen Shoji 45' D 6.90

Futa Tokumura M 6.30

Hokuto Shimoda 1 👟 62' M 6.90

Hiroyuki Mae M 6.90

Hotaka Nakamura M 6.90

Sang-Ho Na 82' F 6.60

Erik 70' F 6.60

T. Yengi 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.90

Bench

Asahi Masuyama M

Keiya Sento 29' M 6.20

K. Hayashi 17' D 6.30

Neta Lavi 1 ⚽ 37' M 6.70

Ryohei Shirasaki M

Shota Fujio 1 ⚽ 37' F 6.90

Tatsuya Morita G

Tomoki Imai D

Y. Nakayama 54' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

T. Yengi

F · Machida

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 11 pass

Kosei Tani

G · Machida

7.90

1 ⚽

· 38 pass

Yasuto Wakizaka

M · Kawasaki

7.90

2 ⚽

5 shots · 54 pass

Yuki Yamamoto

M · Kawasaki

7.70

1 shots · 88 pass

D. Okamura

D · Machida

7.30

· 43 pass

Louis Yamaguchi

G · Kawasaki

7.30

· 27 pass

Kawasaki Frontale — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Louis Yamaguchi	G	99	7.30	—	—	—	27	19%	—	—	—
Sota Miura	D	99	6.90	—	—	1	61	56%	1	—	—
Yuichi Maruyama	D	99	7.20	1	—	—	73	64%	1	—	—
Asahi Sasaki	D	99	6.90	1	—	1	110	100%	1	—	—
Reon Yamahara	D	99	6.90	1	—	1	68	60%	1	—	—
Yuki Yamamoto	M	99	7.70	—	—	1	88	75%	2	—	—
Kento Tachibanada	M	72	6.90	—	—	1	66	61%	1	—	—
Ten Miyagi	M	65	6.20	—	—	1	29	26%	—	—	—
Yasuto Wakizaka	M	99	7.90	2	—	5	54	46%	1	—	—
Tatsuya Ito	M	72	6.90	—	—	2	42	39%	1	—	—
Lazar Romanić	F	72	6.00	—	—	1	19	15%	1	1	—
Kyosuke Mochiyama	F	27	6.60	1	—	2	4	3%	—	—	—
Marcinho	F	34	6.90	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
Ryuki Osa	M	27	6.50	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
So Kawahara	M	27	6.90	—	—	—	12	11%	1	—	—

Machida Zelvia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Kosei Tani	G	99	7.90	1	—	—	38	21%	—	—	—
Ibrahim Drešević	D	99	7.00	1	—	—	38	33%	—	—	—
D. Okamura	D	99	7.30	—	—	—	43	41%	3	—	—
Gen Shoji	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	24	19%	1	—	—
Futa Tokumura	M	99	6.30	—	—	—	30	23%	2	—	—
Hokuto Shimoda	M	62	6.90	—	1	1	26	21%	—	—	—
Hiroyuki Mae	M	99	6.90	—	—	—	40	39%	1	—	—
Hotaka Nakamura	M	99	6.90	—	—	—	35	23%	1	—	—
Sang-Ho Na	F	82	6.60	—	—	—	13	9%	—	—	—
Erik	F	70	6.60	—	—	—	19	14%	2	—	—
T. Yengi	F	62	7.90	1	—	3	11	7%	1	—	—
Keiya Sento	M	29	6.20	—	—	—	10	6%	—	—	—
K. Hayashi	D	17	6.30	—	—	1	5	4%	—	—	—
Neta Lavi	M	37	6.70	1	—	—	6	5%	1	1	—
Shota Fujio	F	37	6.90	1	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
Y. Nakayama	D	54	6.20	—	—	—	23	21%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

The final score was Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Machida Zelvia.

What did the model predict before Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

The model assigned 28% probability to a Kawasaki Frontale win, 34% to a draw, and 37% to an Machida Zelvia win.