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J1 League · Regular Season - 9 October 11, 2026 09:00 Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
Kawasaki Frontale
#6 · 22 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Nagoya Grampus
#11 · 14 pts
Yasuto Wakizaka 4'
2' (ast. Tsukasa Morishima) Haruya Fujii
73' Yuya Yamagishi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kawasaki Frontale a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 23%). The final result was Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
5
0.89
Actual xG
1.06
3
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
6
10
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
ast. Tsukasa Morishima · Haruya Fujii⚽
⚽Yasuto Wakizaka
4'
11'
Kensuke Nagai
Reon Yamahara
40'
58'
Yuki Nogami
↕ Derik Lacerda / Kyosuke Mochiyama
64'
↕ Reon Yamahara / Asahi Sasaki
64'
65'
Yuya Yamagishi / Kensuke Nagai ↕
65'
Mateus / Yuki Nogami ↕
68'
Hidemasa Koda / Ryuji Izumi ↕
68'
Masahito Ono / Takuya Uchida ↕
↕ Yuki Yamamoto / Yuto Ozeki
72'
↕ Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa / Ryuki Osa
72'
73'
Yuya Yamagishi⚽
↕ Yasuto Wakizaka / Akihiro Ienaga
83'
90'+1
Yota Sato / Tsukasa Morishima ↕
Pre-match prediction
50.06%
Kawasaki
26.85%
X
23.09%
Nagoya ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nagoya Grampus) 23.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kawasaki
1.73
0.89
-0.84
Nagoya
0.57
1.06
+0.49
xG dominance was balanced (0.89 – 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
49 S. Brodersen S. Brodersen G 6.24
13 S. Miura S. Miura D 6.58
22 F. Uremović F. Uremović D 6.48
4 Pedro Romano Pedro Romano D 6.91
29 R. Yamahara R. Yamahara 64' D 6.35
6 Y. Yamamoto Y. Yamamoto 72' M 6.45
8 K. Tachibanada K. Tachibanada M 7.11
23 Marcinho Marcinho 72' M 5.98
14 Y. Wakizaka Y. Wakizaka 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.24
17 T. Ito T. Ito M 5.83
97 Derik Lacerda Derik Lacerda 64' F 6.09
Bench
41 A. Ienaga A. Ienaga 7' M 6.11
5 A. Sasaki A. Sasaki 26' D 6.36
20 K. Mochiyama K. Mochiyama 26' F 6.18
1 L. Yamaguchi L. Yamaguchi G 0.00
34 Ryuki Osa Ryuki Osa 18' M 5.87
25 Shuto Yamaichi Shuto Yamaichi M 0.00
19 S. Kawahara S. Kawahara M 0.00
28 Y. Maruyama Y. Maruyama D 0.00
16 Y. Ozeki Y. Ozeki 18' M 6.01
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-1-2
1 D. Schmidt D. Schmidt G 6.78
31 T. Takamine T. Takamine D 6.45
13 H. Fujii H. Fujii 1 ⚽ D 7.54
70 T. Hara T. Hara D 6.59
7 R. Izumi R. Izumi 68' M 6.53
14 T. Morishima T. Morishima 1 👟 89' M 7.70
15 S. Inagaki S. Inagaki M 6.64
2 Y. Nogami Y. Nogami 65' M 6.68
17 T. Uchida T. Uchida 68' M 6.38
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura F 6.21
18 K. Nagai K. Nagai 65' F 5.97
Bench
35 A. Pisano A. Pisano G 0.00
19 H. Koda H. Koda 22' M 6.31
10 Mateus Mateus 25' F 6.70
41 M. Ono M. Ono 22' M 6.32
55 S. Tokumoto S. Tokumoto D 0.00
33 T. Kikuchi T. Kikuchi M 0.00
58 T. Koyamatsu T. Koyamatsu M 0.00
3 Y. Sato Y. Sato 1' D 5.92
11 Y. Yamagishi Y. Yamagishi 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.85
Best on the pitch
Y. Yamagishi
Y. Yamagishi
F · Nagoya
7.85
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
T. Morishima
T. Morishima
M · Nagoya
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 59 pass
H. Fujii
H. Fujii
D · Nagoya
7.54
1 ⚽
1 shots · 79 pass
Y. Wakizaka
Y. Wakizaka
M · Kawasaki
7.24
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
K. Tachibanada
K. Tachibanada
M · Kawasaki
7.11
1 shots · 58 pass
Pedro Romano
Pedro Romano
D · Kawasaki
6.91
· 34 pass
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Brodersen G 90 6.24 — — 0 35 23% 0 — —
S. Miura D 90 6.58 — — 0 56 45% 0 — —
F. Uremović D 90 6.48 — — 1 37 32% 0 — —
Pedro Romano D 90 6.91 — — 0 34 29% 3 — —
R. Yamahara D 64 6.35 — — 0 36 35% 0 1 —
Y. Yamamoto M 72 6.45 — — 0 60 50% 1 — —
K. Tachibanada M 90 7.11 — — 1 58 52% 2 — —
Marcinho M 72 5.98 — — 1 18 15% 0 — —
Y. Wakizaka M 83 7.24 1 — 2 36 30% 0 — —
T. Ito M 90 5.83 — — 3 48 43% 1 — —
Derik Lacerda F 64 6.09 — — 1 13 11% 1 — —
A. Ienaga M 7 6.11 — — 0 12 11% 0 — —
A. Sasaki D 26 6.36 — — 0 22 20% 2 — —
K. Mochiyama F 26 6.18 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
Ryuki Osa M 18 5.87 — — 2 4 3% 0 — —
Y. Ozeki M 18 6.01 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Schmidt G 90 6.78 — — 0 57 49% 0 — —
T. Takamine D 90 6.45 — — 0 56 45% 1 — —
H. Fujii D 90 7.54 1 — 1 79 65% 2 — —
T. Hara D 90 6.59 — — 0 38 31% 1 — —
R. Izumi M 68 6.53 — — 3 20 17% 0 — —
T. Morishima M 89 7.70 — 1 1 59 55% 2 — —
S. Inagaki M 90 6.64 — — 0 63 54% 2 — —
Y. Nogami M 65 6.68 — — 3 20 18% 1 1 —
T. Uchida M 68 6.38 — — 0 16 13% 2 — —
Y. Kimura F 90 6.21 — — 2 21 19% 2 — —
K. Nagai F 65 5.97 — — 1 13 9% 0 1 —
H. Koda M 22 6.31 — — 0 11 9% 1 — —
Mateus F 25 6.70 — — 2 10 7% 0 — —
M. Ono M 22 6.32 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
Y. Sato D 1 5.92 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Y. Yamagishi F 25 7.85 1 — 2 9 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
The final score was Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus.
What did the model predict before Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Kawasaki Frontale win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Nagoya Grampus win.