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Kazakhstan - Faroe Islands

UEFA Nations League October 06, 2026 16:00 Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Shintomi
Kazakhstan
#1 · 0 pts
vs
Faroe Islands
#3 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.77%
Win
Kazakhstan
18.64%
Draw
36.6%
Win
Faroe Islands
2.54
Expected xG
2.36

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (6.74%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 19%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 55%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 85%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kazakhstan a 44% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 36% for Faroe Islands. Expected goals are 2.5 for Kazakhstan and 2.4 for Faroe Islands (total 4.9), with a 94% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.74% probability.

Season Stats

Kazakhstan
0W 1D 5L
Faroe Islands
1W 3D 2L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
0.8
2.5
Conceded
1.0
1.2
Shots OT
2.8
2.2
Corners
3.3
38%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
17%
0%
BTTS
50%
17%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Kazakhstan
0W 1D 2L · at home
Faroe Islands
1W 0D 2L · away
0.0
gls/g
0.3
1.0
Conceded
0.7
0%
Win %
33%
33%
Win or Draw
33%
33%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
100%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kazakhstan Faroe Islands →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
1 1.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.7% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5%
3 2.0% 4.8% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.3% 3.1% 3.6% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8%
5 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%

Recent form

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
L Norway 5–0
L Austria 0–2
L Slovenia 0–1
L Austria 4–0
L Slovenia 3–0
Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
L FYR Macedonia 1–0
W Armenia 0–1
D Latvia 1–1
D Armenia 2–2
L Latvia 1–0

Playing profile

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Attack
32
Defence
67
Form
57
Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
Attack
45
Defence
71
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 0 0
2 Slovakia Slovakia 0 0
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands 0 0
4 Moldova Moldova 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Kazakhstan Faroe Islands
Current #1 #3
→ Kazakhstan #1 #3
→ Draw #1 #2
→ Faroe Islands #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
The model gives Kazakhstan a 44% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 36% for an Faroe Islands win.
How many goals are expected in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
Expected goals: Kazakhstan 2.5, Faroe Islands 2.4 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 94%.
What is the most likely score in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.74%.