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KCB - Mathare United

Premier League September 04, 2026 14:00
KCB
#6 · 0 pts
vs
Mathare United
#1 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
KCB
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Mathare United
1.37
Expected xG
1.03

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.66%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives KCB a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Mathare United. Expected goals are 1.4 for KCB and 1.0 for Mathare United (total 2.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, KCB have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mathare United.

Season Stats

KCB
5W 5D 5L
Mathare United
5W 4D 6L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.3
1.2
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
KCB
2W 4D 4L · at home
Mathare United
1W 5D 4L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.8
1.3
Conceded
1.3
20%
Win %
10%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ KCB Mathare United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1% 9.3% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.8% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

KCB KCB
W Shabana 1–2
W Sofapaka 1–2
L Posta Rangers FC 0–1
D Bandari 2–2
L APS Bomet 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Mathare United Mathare United
W Bandari 1–0
L Ulinzi Stars 2–1
W Mara Sugar 0–1
L APS Bomet 0–2
D Sofapaka 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

KCB KCB
Attack
14
Defence
36
Form
25
Mathare United Mathare United
Attack
13
Defence
33
Form
20
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
KCB
0
Draw
1
Mathare United
31 Jan 2026 Premier League 2–1
26 Sep 2025 Premier League 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mathare United Mathare United 0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0 0
3 Tusker Tusker 0 0
4 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 0 0
5 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 0 0
6 KCB KCB 0 0
7 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 0 0
8 Bandari Bandari 0 0
9 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0 0
10 Police Police 0 0
11 Migori Youth Migori Youth 0 0
12 Shabana Shabana 0 0
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0 0
14 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 0 0
15 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 0 0
16 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 0 0
17 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0 0
18 3K 3K 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win KCB vs Mathare United?
The model gives KCB a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Mathare United win.
How many goals are expected in KCB vs Mathare United?
Expected goals: KCB 1.4, Mathare United 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in KCB vs Mathare United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.