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Kettering Town - Worcester City

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.12%
Win
Kettering Town
30.27%
Draw
28.61%
Win
Worcester City
1.76
Expected xG
0.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.81%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 30%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 59%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kettering Town a 41% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Worcester City. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kettering Town and 0.7 for Worcester City (total 2.5), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.81% probability.

Season Stats

Kettering Town
3W 1D 1L
Worcester City
2W 2D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.4
1.2
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
80%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Kettering Town
2W 0D 0L · at home
Worcester City
0W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.5
0.5
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kettering Town Worcester City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 14.9% 10.6% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 13.0% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% —
3 7.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 3.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% — —
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

W Quorn 2–0
W Wellingborough Town 2–1
D Wellingborough Town 2–2
L Quorn 2–1
W Long Eaton United 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
W Stratford Town 2–1
W Knowle W 1–0
D Knowle W 1–1
L Chasetown 3–2
D Chasetown 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Kettering Town Kettering Town
Attack
46
Defence
80
Form
73
Worcester City Worcester City
Attack
24
Defence
86
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kettering Town vs Worcester City?
The model gives Kettering Town a 41% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 28% for an Worcester City win.
How many goals are expected in Kettering Town vs Worcester City?
Expected goals: Kettering Town 1.8, Worcester City 0.7 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Kettering Town vs Worcester City?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.81%.