Scottish Premiership
· Regular Season - 2
August 09, 2026 14:30
M. Schjonning-Larsen
(ast. T. Lowery)
56'
2'
(ast. A. Engels)
K. Hogh
33'
(ast. B. Nygren)
K. Hogh
35'
(ast. C. Duran)
K. Hogh
47'
B. Nygren
75'
L. McCowan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celtic a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Kilmarnock 31%). The final result was Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic. In 3 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Celtic.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
26
6
Shots on target
16
0.86
Actual xG
5.65
11
Saves
4
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
7
16
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
2'
ast. A. Engels ·
K. Hogh⚽
J. Hugill
26'
33'
ast. B. Nygren ·
K. Hogh⚽
35'
ast. C. Duran ·
K. Hogh⚽
46'
C. Donovan
/
A. Johnston
47'
B. Nygren⚽
⚽M. Schjonning-Larsen
· ast. T. Lowery
56'
64'
S. Tounekti
/
C. Duran
74'
L. McCowan
/
Yang Hyun-Jun
74'
J. Forrest
/
B. Nygren
M. Schjonning-Larsen
/ M. O'Hara
74'
T. John-Jules
/ B. Rice
75'
75'
L. McCowan⚽
82'
C. Osmand
/
K. Hogh
Pre-match prediction
31.78%
Kilmarnock
30.83%
X
37.39%
Celtic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celtic)
37.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
0.86
-1.41
1.97
5.65
+3.68
Celtic dominated by xG (5.65 vs 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Stryjek
G
M. Stryjek
G
21
M. Schjønning-Larsen
1 ⚽
74'
D
M. Schjønning-Larsen
1 ⚽
74'
D
15
J. Yfeko
D
J. Yfeko
D
14
George Stanger
D
2
J. Brandon
D
J. Brandon
D
18
T. Lowery
1 👟
M
T. Lowery
1 👟
M
36
A. Tshibola
M
8
E. Ring
M
E. Ring
M
11
G. Kiltie
M
G. Kiltie
M
10
T. John-Jules
75'
F
T. John-Jules
75'
F
9
J. Hugill
F
J. Hugill
F
Bench
49
B. Rice
18'
M
B. Rice
18'
M
12
C. Ferrie
G
C. Ferrie
G
39
E. Bowie
D
E. Bowie
D
25
E. Brown
D
27
I. Owen
F
I. Owen
F
22
Jack Thomson
M
Jack Thomson
M
5
M. O'Hara
19'
M
M. O'Hara
19'
M
20
N. Cleșcenco
F
N. Cleșcenco
F
7
R. McKenzie
M
R. McKenzie
M
1
V. Sinisalo
G
V. Sinisalo
G
63
K. Tierney
D
K. Tierney
D
6
Auston Trusty
D
Auston Trusty
D
20
C. Carter-Vickers
D
C. Carter-Vickers
D
2
Alistair Johnston
45'
D
Alistair Johnston
45'
D
27
A. Engels
1 👟
M
A. Engels
1 👟
M
42
C. McGregor
M
C. McGregor
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
74'
M
Yang Hyun-Jun
74'
M
8
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
1 👟
74'
M
B. Nygren
1 ⚽
1 👟
74'
M
11
C. Durán
1 👟
64'
M
C. Durán
1 👟
64'
M
9
K. Høgh
3 ⚽
82'
F
K. Høgh
3 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
51
Colby Donovan
48'
D
Colby Donovan
48'
D
19
C. Osmand
11'
F
C. Osmand
11'
F
47
D. Murray
D
D. Murray
D
49
J. Forrest
19'
M
J. Forrest
19'
M
14
L. McCowan
1 ⚽
19'
M
L. McCowan
1 ⚽
19'
M
31
R. Doohan
G
R. Doohan
G
41
R. Hatate
M
R. Hatate
M
17
S. Tounekti
29'
F
S. Tounekti
29'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Stryjek
G · Kilmarnock
9.20
· 38 pass
K. Høgh
F · Celtic
9.20
3 ⚽
8 shots
· 25 pass
K. Tierney
D · Celtic
8.70
2 shots
· 70 pass
B. Nygren
M · Celtic
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 38 pass
A. Engels
M · Celtic
8.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 51 pass
Auston Trusty
D · Celtic
8.00
· 92 pass
Kilmarnock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stryjek | G | 93 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | D | 74 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Yfeko | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| George Stanger | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Brandon | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lowery | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tshibola | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ring | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Kiltie | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| T. John-Jules | F | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hugill | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Rice | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. O'Hara | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Celtic — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Sinisalo | G | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | — | — | — |
| K. Tierney | D | 93 | 8.70 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| Auston Trusty | D | 93 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 92 | 88% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Carter-Vickers | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 90 | 86% | — | — | — |
| Alistair Johnston | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 93 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 74 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Durán | M | 64 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 5 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Høgh | F | 82 | 9.20 | 3 | — | 8 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Colby Donovan | D | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | — | — | — |
| C. Osmand | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. McCowan | M | 19 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
The final score was Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic.
What did the model predict before Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Kilmarnock win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an Celtic win.