Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 33
April 11, 2026 16:00
J. Hugill
14'
M. Schjonning-Larsen
33'
24'
(ast. T. Yogane)
S. Murray
81'
(ast. I. Samuels)
D. Wright
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kilmarnock a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Dundee 32%). The final result was Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee. In 4 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Dundee.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
6
1.23
Actual xG
1.29
4
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
2
12
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
B. Halliday
⚽J. Hugill
14'
24'
ast. T. Yogane ·
S. Murray⚽
27'
⚽M. Schjonning-Larsen
33'
R. Deas
39'
46'
I. Samuels
/
B. Halliday
55'
E. Hamilton
58'
J. Westley
/
C. Congreve
58'
S. Wright
/
Y. Dhanda
59'
A. Hay
/
S. Murray
70'
C. Reilly
/
T. Yogane
M. Schjonning-Larsen
/ D. Thompson
72'
A. Tshibola
75'
B. Anderson
/ R. McKenzie
77'
81'
ast. I. Samuels ·
D. Wright⚽
T. Lowery
/ D. Watson
86'
A. Tshibola
/ B. Lyons
86'
G. Stanger
90'+1
J. Brandon
90'+4
90'+13
(missed pen.)
J. Westley⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.85%
Kilmarnock
25.48%
X ←
32.67%
Dundee
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
1.23
-0.36
1.43
1.29
-0.14
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.29).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
G
21
M. Schjønning-Larsen
1 ⚽
72'
D
M. Schjønning-Larsen
1 ⚽
72'
D
6
R. Deas
D
R. Deas
D
14
George Stanger
D
George Stanger
D
2
J. Brandon
D
J. Brandon
D
52
Findlay Curtis
M
Findlay Curtis
M
36
A. Tshibola
86'
M
A. Tshibola
86'
M
18
T. Lowery
86'
M
T. Lowery
86'
M
11
G. Kiltie
M
G. Kiltie
M
44
J. Hugill
1 ⚽
F
J. Hugill
1 ⚽
F
19
B. Anderson
77'
F
Bench
8
B. Lyons
17'
M
B. Lyons
17'
M
16
Kyle Magennis
M
Kyle Magennis
M
31
L. Polworth
M
20
N. Cleșcenco
F
N. Cleșcenco
F
1
J. McCracken
G
J. McCracken
G
7
D. Wright
1 ⚽
D
D. Wright
1 ⚽
D
5
Billy Koumetio
D
Billy Koumetio
D
22
D
16
B. Halliday
45'
D
B. Halliday
45'
D
48
E. Hamilton
M
E. Hamilton
M
17
Tony Yogane
1 👟
70'
M
Tony Yogane
1 👟
70'
M
24
M
21
Y. Dhanda
58'
M
Y. Dhanda
58'
M
20
C. Congreve
58'
M
C. Congreve
58'
M
15
Simon Murray
1 ⚽
59'
F
Simon Murray
1 ⚽
59'
F
Bench
19
J. Westley
45'
F
J. Westley
45'
F
25
Scott Wright
45'
F
Scott Wright
45'
F
Best on the pitch
Scott Wright
F · Dundee
8.70
1 shots
· 7 pass
M. Schjønning-Larsen
D · Kilmarnock
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
Simon Murray
F · Dundee
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
E. Hamilton
M · Dundee
7.20
2 shots
· 32 pass
D · Dundee
7.20
· 50 pass
J. Hugill
F · Kilmarnock
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Kilmarnock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 103 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | D | 72 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Deas | D | 103 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 72 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| George Stanger | D | 103 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 37% | — | — | — |
| J. Brandon | D | 103 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Findlay Curtis | M | 103 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tshibola | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 53% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Lowery | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Kiltie | M | 103 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Hugill | F | 103 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Anderson | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Lyons | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Dundee — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McCracken | G | 103 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Wright | D | 103 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 49 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Billy Koumetio | D | 103 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 40% | — | — | — |
| D | 103 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Halliday | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 103 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 103 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — | |
| Y. Dhanda | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Congreve | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Murray | F | 59 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Westley | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Scott Wright | F | 45 | 8.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
The final score was Kilmarnock 2–2 Dundee.
What did the model predict before Kilmarnock vs Dundee?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Kilmarnock win, 25% to a draw, and 32% to an Dundee win.