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#5 · 0 pts
3 – 0
Final score
#1 · 0 pts
R. Deas (ast. G. Kiltie) 20'
F. Curtis 51'
J. Hugill 64'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Kilmarnock 31%). The final result was Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee Utd. In 3 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dundee Utd.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
5
1.98
Actual xG
1.82
5
Saves
5
40%
Possession
60%
4
Corners
8
14
Tackles
4
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. Deas · ast. G. Kiltie
20'
29'
N. Farrugia
N. Clescenco / D. Thompson
46'
F. Curtis
51'
60'
V. Sevelj / M. Watters
61'
I. Dolcek / K. Keresztes
B. Anderson / L. Polworth
63'
J. Hugill
64'
71'
J. Russell / Z. Sapsford
71'
C. Sibbald / P. Camara
M. Schjonning-Larsen / L. Mayo
74'
F. Curtis / R. McKenzie
74'
G. Kiltie / K. Magennis
74'
86'
O. Stirton / N. Farrugia
Pre-match prediction
31.98%
Kilmarnock ←
27.22%
X
40.8%
Dundee
we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock) 31.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kilmarnock
1.09
1.98
+0.89
Dundee
1.47
1.82
+0.35
xG dominance was balanced (1.98 – 1.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 0 0
2 Falkirk Falkirk 0 0
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 0 0
4 Hibernian Hibernian 0 0
5 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0 0
6 Motherwell Motherwell 0 0
7 ST Mirren ST Mirren 0 0
8 Dundee Dundee 0 0
9 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 0 0
10 Celtic Celtic 0 0
11 Rangers Rangers 0 0
12 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0 0
Lineups
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-3-3
1
G 6.90
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen Michael Schjønning-Larsen 74' D 7.20
6 R. Deas R. Deas 1 ⚽ D 8.20
14 George Stanger George Stanger D 7.00
52 Findlay Curtis Findlay Curtis 1 ⚽ 74' D 8.00
36 Aaron Tshibola Aaron Tshibola M 7.30
18 Tom Lowery Tom Lowery M 6.70
11 G. Kiltie G. Kiltie 1 👟 74' M 8.60
20
Nicky Cleșcenco 45' F 6.20
19 Bruce Anderson Bruce Anderson 63' F 6.20
44 J. Hugill J. Hugill 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
16 Kyle Magennis Kyle Magennis 17' M 6.30
31 Liam Polworth Liam Polworth 28' M 6.90
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 3-4-3
25
G 6.00
23 Krisztián Keresztes Krisztián Keresztes 61' D 5.90
6
D 5.90
37
D 5.50
11 W. Ferry W. Ferry M 7.90
12 Emmanuel Agyei Emmanuel Agyei M 6.20
8 Panutche Camará Panutche Camará 71' M 6.60
22 Dario Naamo Dario Naamo M 6.60
9 Z. Sapsford Z. Sapsford 71' F 5.30
36 Max Watters Max Watters 60' F 6.20
20 Neil Farrugia Neil Farrugia 86' F 6.60
Bench
4 I. Iovu I. Iovu D
19 Ivan Dolček Ivan Dolček 30' F 6.30
2 Ryan Strain Ryan Strain D
5 V. Ševelj V. Ševelj 31' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
G. Kiltie
G. Kiltie
M · Kilmarnock
8.60
1 👟
2 shots · 20 pass
R. Deas
R. Deas
D · Kilmarnock
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis
D · Kilmarnock
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
W. Ferry
W. Ferry
M · Dundee
7.90
· 61 pass
Aaron Tshibola
Aaron Tshibola
M · Kilmarnock
7.30
2 shots · 39 pass
J. Hugill
J. Hugill
F · Kilmarnock
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 6.90 31 18%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 74 7.20 36 31% 2
R. Deas D 91 8.20 1 1 51 40%
George Stanger D 91 7.00 1 30 22%
Findlay Curtis D 74 8.00 1 1 15 8% 2
Aaron Tshibola M 91 7.30 2 39 31% 5
Tom Lowery M 91 6.70 1 35 24% 1
G. Kiltie M 74 8.60 1 2 20 12% 2
Nicky Cleșcenco F 45 6.20 7 6%
Bruce Anderson F 63 6.20 9 4%
J. Hugill F 91 7.30 1 3 14 9% 2
Kyle Magennis M 17 6.30 4 2%
Liam Polworth M 28 6.90 10 8%
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 91 6.00 24 8%
Krisztián Keresztes D 61 5.90 31 24%
D 91 5.90 2 64 56%
D 91 5.50 39 34% 2
W. Ferry M 91 7.90 61 50%
Emmanuel Agyei M 91 6.20 1 63 56%
Panutche Camará M 71 6.60 32 30% 1
Dario Naamo M 91 6.60 33 28%
Z. Sapsford F 71 5.30 4 23 17%
Max Watters F 60 6.20 2 13 11% 1
Neil Farrugia F 86 6.60 1 26 22% 1
Ivan Dolček F 30 6.30 2 9 9%
V. Ševelj D 31 6.20 19 17%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?
The final score was Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee Utd.
What did the model predict before Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Kilmarnock win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Dundee Utd win.