Scottish Premiership
· Relegation Group - 35
May 02, 2026 16:00
R. Deas
(ast. G. Kiltie)
20'
F. Curtis
51'
J. Hugill
64'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Kilmarnock 31%). The final result was Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee Utd. In 3 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Dundee Utd.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
5
1.98
Actual xG
1.82
5
Saves
5
40%
Possession
60%
4
Corners
8
14
Tackles
4
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Deas
· ast. G. Kiltie
20'
29'
N. Farrugia
N. Clescenco
/ D. Thompson
46'
⚽F. Curtis
51'
60'
V. Sevelj
/
M. Watters
61'
I. Dolcek
/
K. Keresztes
B. Anderson
/ L. Polworth
63'
⚽J. Hugill
64'
71'
J. Russell
/
Z. Sapsford
71'
C. Sibbald
/
P. Camara
M. Schjonning-Larsen
/ L. Mayo
74'
F. Curtis
/ R. McKenzie
74'
G. Kiltie
/ K. Magennis
74'
86'
O. Stirton
/
N. Farrugia
Pre-match prediction
31.98%
Kilmarnock ←
27.22%
X
40.8%
Dundee
we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock)
31.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.98
+0.89
1.47
1.82
+0.35
xG dominance was balanced (1.98 – 1.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
21
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
74'
D
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
74'
D
6
Robbie Deas
1 ⚽
D
Robbie Deas
1 ⚽
D
14
George Stanger
D
George Stanger
D
52
Findlay Curtis
1 ⚽
74'
D
Findlay Curtis
1 ⚽
74'
D
36
Aaron Tshibola
M
Aaron Tshibola
M
18
Tom Lowery
M
Tom Lowery
M
11
Greg Kiltie
1 👟
74'
M
Greg Kiltie
1 👟
74'
M
20
Nicky Cleșcenco
45'
F
Nicky Cleșcenco
45'
F
19
Bruce Anderson
63'
F
Bruce Anderson
63'
F
44
Joe Hugill
1 ⚽
F
Joe Hugill
1 ⚽
F
Bench
16
Kyle Magennis
17'
M
Kyle Magennis
17'
M
31
Liam Polworth
28'
M
Liam Polworth
28'
M
25
G
23
Krisztián Keresztes
61'
D
Krisztián Keresztes
61'
D
6
D
37
D
11
William Ferry
M
William Ferry
M
12
E. Agyei
M
8
Panutche Camará
71'
M
Panutche Camará
71'
M
22
D. Naamo
M
9
Zachary Sapsford
71'
F
Zachary Sapsford
71'
F
36
Max Watters
60'
F
Max Watters
60'
F
20
Neil Farrugia
86'
F
Neil Farrugia
86'
F
Bench
4
Iurie Iovu
D
Iurie Iovu
D
19
Ivan Dolček
30'
F
Ivan Dolček
30'
F
2
Ryan Strain
D
Ryan Strain
D
5
Vicko Ševelj
31'
D
Vicko Ševelj
31'
D
Best on the pitch
Greg Kiltie
M · Kilmarnock
8.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 20 pass
Robbie Deas
D · Kilmarnock
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 51 pass
Findlay Curtis
D · Kilmarnock
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
William Ferry
M · Dundee
7.90
· 61 pass
Aaron Tshibola
M · Kilmarnock
7.30
2 shots
· 39 pass
Joe Hugill
F · Kilmarnock
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Kilmarnock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Michael Schjønning-Larsen | D | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Robbie Deas | D | 91 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| George Stanger | D | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Findlay Curtis | D | 74 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Tshibola | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Tom Lowery | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Greg Kiltie | M | 74 | 8.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicky Cleșcenco | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Bruce Anderson | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joe Hugill | F | 91 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyle Magennis | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Liam Polworth | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Dundee Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Krisztián Keresztes | D | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 56% | — | — | — | |
| D | 91 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 2 | — | — | |
| William Ferry | M | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 50% | — | — | — |
| E. Agyei | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Panutche Camará | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Naamo | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Zachary Sapsford | F | 71 | 5.30 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Max Watters | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Neil Farrugia | F | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Ivan Dolček | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Vicko Ševelj | D | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?
The final score was Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee Utd.
What did the model predict before Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Kilmarnock win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Dundee Utd win.