Scottish Premiership · Relegation Group - 35 May 02, 2026 16:00

Kilmarnock

#12 · 1 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Dundee Utd

#9 · 5 pts

R. Deas (ast. G. Kiltie) 20'

F. Curtis 51'

J. Hugill 64'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Kilmarnock 31%). The final result was Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee Utd. In 4 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Dundee Utd.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

12

8

Shots on target

5

1.98

Actual xG

1.82

5

Saves

5

40%

Possession

60%

4

Corners

8

14

Tackles

4

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽R. Deas · ast. G. Kiltie

20'

29'

N. Farrugia

↕ N. Clescenco / D. Thompson

46'

⚽F. Curtis

51'

60'

V. Sevelj / M. Watters ↕

61'

I. Dolcek / K. Keresztes ↕

↕ B. Anderson / L. Polworth

63'

⚽J. Hugill

64'

71'

J. Russell / Z. Sapsford ↕

71'

C. Sibbald / P. Camara ↕

↕ M. Schjonning-Larsen / L. Mayo

74'

↕ F. Curtis / R. McKenzie

74'

↕ G. Kiltie / K. Magennis

74'

86'

O. Stirton / N. Farrugia ↕

Pre-match prediction

31.98%

Kilmarnock ←

27.22%

X

40.8%

Dundee

we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock) 31.98% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Kilmarnock

1.09

1.98

+0.89

Dundee

1.47

1.82

+0.35

xG dominance was balanced (1.98 – 1.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Celtic	6	18
2	Rangers	6	13
3	Heart Of Midlothian	5	12
4	ST Mirren	6	10
5	Motherwell	5	8
6	Dundee	6	7
7	ST Johnstone	6	7
8	Hibernian	5	6
9	Dundee Utd	6	5
10	Aberdeen	5	4
11	Falkirk	5	2
12	Kilmarnock	5	1

Lineups

Kilmarnock 4-3-3

1

G 6.90

21 M. Schjønning-Larsen 74' D 7.20

6 R. Deas 1 ⚽ D 8.20

14 G. Stanger D 7.00

52 Findlay Curtis 1 ⚽ 74' D 8.00

36 A. Tshibola M 7.30

18 T. Lowery M 6.70

11 G. Kiltie 1 👟 74' M 8.60

20 N. Cleșcenco 45' F 6.20

19

B. Anderson 63' F 6.20

44 J. Hugill 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

16 Kyle Magennis 17' M 6.30

31

L. Polworth 28' M 6.90

Dundee Utd 3-4-3

25

G 6.00

23 K. Keresztes 61' D 5.90

6

D 5.90

37

D 5.50

11 W. Ferry M 7.90

12 E. Agyei M 6.20

8 Panutche Camará 71' M 6.60

22 D. Naamo M 6.60

9 Z. Sapsford 71' F 5.30

36 Max Watters 60' F 6.20

20 N. Farrugia 86' F 6.60

Bench

19 I. Dolček 30' F 6.30

4 I. Iovu D

2 R. Strain D

5 V. Ševelj 31' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

G. Kiltie

M · Kilmarnock

8.60

1 👟

2 shots · 20 pass

R. Deas

D · Kilmarnock

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 51 pass

Findlay Curtis

D · Kilmarnock

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

W. Ferry

M · Dundee

7.90

· 61 pass

A. Tshibola

M · Kilmarnock

7.30

2 shots · 39 pass

J. Hugill

F · Kilmarnock

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

Kilmarnock — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	91	6.90	—	—	—	31	18%	—	—	—
M. Schjønning-Larsen	D	74	7.20	—	—	—	36	31%	2	—	—
R. Deas	D	91	8.20	1	—	1	51	40%	—	—	—
G. Stanger	D	91	7.00	—	—	1	30	22%	—	—	—
Findlay Curtis	D	74	8.00	1	—	1	15	8%	2	—	—
A. Tshibola	M	91	7.30	—	—	2	39	31%	5	—	—
T. Lowery	M	91	6.70	—	—	1	35	24%	1	—	—
G. Kiltie	M	74	8.60	—	1	2	20	12%	2	—	—
N. Cleșcenco	F	45	6.20	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
B. Anderson	F	63	6.20	—	—	—	9	4%	—	—	—
J. Hugill	F	91	7.30	1	—	3	14	9%	2	—	—
Kyle Magennis	M	17	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
L. Polworth	M	28	6.90	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—

Dundee Utd — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	91	6.00	—	—	—	24	8%	—	—	—
K. Keresztes	D	61	5.90	—	—	—	31	24%	—	—	—
	D	91	5.90	—	—	2	64	56%	—	—	—
	D	91	5.50	—	—	—	39	34%	2	—	—
W. Ferry	M	91	7.90	—	—	—	61	50%	—	—	—
E. Agyei	M	91	6.20	—	—	1	63	56%	—	—	—
Panutche Camará	M	71	6.60	—	—	—	32	30%	1	—	—
D. Naamo	M	91	6.60	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
Z. Sapsford	F	71	5.30	—	—	4	23	17%	—	—	—
Max Watters	F	60	6.20	—	—	2	13	11%	1	—	—
N. Farrugia	F	86	6.60	—	—	1	26	22%	—	1	—
I. Dolček	F	30	6.30	—	—	2	9	9%	—	—	—
V. Ševelj	D	31	6.20	—	—	—	19	17%	—	—	—