Scottish Premiership
· Regular Season - 7
September 19, 2026 18:45
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Jamie McCart
16'
(og)
86'
Stephen Kingsley
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Kilmarnock 28%). The final result was Kilmarnock 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. In 3 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
17
0
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
0
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
6
16
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Cathal McCarthy
10'
13'
⚽Jamie McCart
(og)
16'
32'
Harry Milne
/
Stuart Findlay
59'
Jerome Williams
/
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga
59'
Eduardo Ageu
/
Tomas Bent Magnusson
59'
Severin Sabri Guendouz
/
Josh Mcpake
63'
Stephen Kingsley
Bailey Rice
/ Aaron Tshibola
67'
69'
Sabah Kerjota
/
Calvin Miller
Tyreece John-Jules
/ Mark O'Hara
76'
Tom Lowery
/ Rory McKenzie
82'
Michael Schjonning-Larsen
83'
86'
Stephen Kingsley⚽
90'
Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
Pre-match prediction
28.39%
Kilmarnock
29.33%
X ←
42.28%
Heart
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
—
—
1.52
—
—
Lineups
12
C. Ferrie
G
C. Ferrie
G
21
M. Schjønning-Larsen
D
M. Schjønning-Larsen
D
14
G. Stanger
D
G. Stanger
D
4
C. McCarthy
D
C. McCarthy
D
2
J. Brandon
D
J. Brandon
D
11
G. Kiltie
M
G. Kiltie
M
49
B. Rice
67'
M
B. Rice
67'
M
18
T. Lowery
82'
M
T. Lowery
82'
M
8
E. Ring
M
E. Ring
M
9
J. Hugill
F
J. Hugill
F
10
T. John-Jules
76'
F
T. John-Jules
76'
F
Bench
36
A. Tshibola
23'
M
A. Tshibola
23'
M
40
C. Armour
G
C. Armour
G
37
C. Burke
F
C. Burke
F
39
E. Bowie
D
E. Bowie
D
27
I. Owen
F
I. Owen
F
19
J. Meier
D
J. Meier
D
5
M. O'Hara
14'
M
M. O'Hara
14'
M
20
N. Cleșcenco
F
N. Cleșcenco
F
7
R. McKenzie
8'
M
R. McKenzie
8'
M
1
B. Reus
G
B. Reus
G
3
Stephen Kingsley
1 ⚽
D
Stephen Kingsley
1 ⚽
D
17
S. Findlay
32'
D
S. Findlay
32'
D
5
J. McCart
1 ⚽
D
J. McCart
1 ⚽
D
2
Christian Borchgrevink
D
Christian Borchgrevink
D
15
J. McPake
59'
M
J. McPake
59'
M
22
T. Magnússon
59'
M
T. Magnússon
59'
M
78
L. Mendy
M
L. Mendy
M
7
C. Miller
69'
M
C. Miller
69'
M
10
Cláudio Braga
59'
F
Cláudio Braga
59'
F
21
J. Wilson
F
J. Wilson
F
Bench
8
Ageu
31'
M
Ageu
31'
M
18
H. Milne
58'
D
H. Milne
58'
D
23
J. Altena
D
J. Altena
D
9
J. Williams
31'
F
J. Williams
31'
F
30
R. Fulton
G
R. Fulton
G
74
R. Mato
F
R. Mato
F
19
S. Guendouz
31'
F
S. Guendouz
31'
F
29
S. Kerjota
21'
F
S. Kerjota
21'
F
31
Y. Dhanda
F
Y. Dhanda
F
Best on the pitch
Stephen Kingsley
D · Heart
7.81
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 73 pass
Cláudio Braga
F · Heart
7.15
4 shots
· 18 pass
Christian Borchgrevink
D · Heart
7.11
· 71 pass
S. Kerjota
F · Heart
7.05
1 shots
· 22 pass
G. Stanger
D · Kilmarnock
6.88
· 24 pass
S. Guendouz
F · Heart
6.78
4 shots
· 12 pass
Kilmarnock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ferrie | G | 90 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Stanger | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McCarthy | D | 90 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Brandon | D | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Kiltie | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Rice | M | 67 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lowery | M | 82 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Ring | M | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hugill | F | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| T. John-Jules | F | 76 | 6.37 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Tshibola | M | 23 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. O'Hara | M | 14 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| R. McKenzie | M | 8 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Reus | G | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | D | 90 | 7.81 | 1 | — | 1 | 73 | 65% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Findlay | D | 32 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| J. McCart | D | 90 | 6.01 | 1 | — | 0 | 105 | 97% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Borchgrevink | D | 90 | 7.11 | — | — | 0 | 71 | 54% | 6 | 1 | — |
| J. McPake | M | 59 | 5.81 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Magnússon | M | 59 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mendy | M | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Miller | M | 69 | 6.34 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 59 | 7.15 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Wilson | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Ageu | M | 31 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Milne | D | 58 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Williams | F | 31 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Guendouz | F | 31 | 6.78 | — | — | 4 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Kerjota | F | 21 | 7.05 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Kilmarnock 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Kilmarnock win, 29% to a draw, and 42% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.