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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 5 September 02, 2026 20:45
Kilmarnock
#12 · 5 pts
0 – 1
Final score
ST Mirren
#5 · 10 pts
4' (ast. Nikolas Agrafiotis) Fraser Taylor
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Kilmarnock 33%). The final result was Kilmarnock 0–1 ST Mirren. In 4 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for ST Mirren.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
7
Corners
3
27
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
ast. Nikolas Agrafiotis · Fraser Taylor⚽
Greg Kiltie
38'
42'
Nikolas Agrafiotis
↕ Tyreece John-Jules / Djenairo Daniels
45'
↕ Erik Ring / Aaron Tshibola
45'
↕ J. Yfeko / Jamie Brandon
45'
61'
Jake Young / Nikolas Agrafiotis ↕
66'
Luke Thomas / Chris Mochrie ↕
↕ Mark O'Hara / Rory McKenzie
66'
74'
Jayden Richardson / Fraser Taylor ↕
74'
Eseosa Sule / Ismeal Kabia ↕
↕ Tom Lowery / Bailey Rice
78'
Bailey Rice
82'
82'
Jayden Richardson
Pre-match prediction
33.83%
Kilmarnock
30.67%
X
35.5%
ST ←
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren) 35.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kilmarnock
1.44
—
—
ST
1.60
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 7 18
2 Rangers Rangers 7 16
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 7 13
4 Dundee Dundee 7 10
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 7 10
6 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 7 8
7 Aberdeen Aberdeen 7 8
8 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 7 8
9 Motherwell Motherwell 7 8
10 Hibernian Hibernian 7 7
11 Falkirk Falkirk 7 6
12 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 7 5
Lineups
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-4-1-2
1 M. Stryjek M. Stryjek G 6.33
15 J. Yfeko J. Yfeko 45' D 6.86
14
George Stanger D 6.89
4 C. McCarthy C. McCarthy D 6.81
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen M. Schjønning-Larsen M 6.11
18 T. Lowery T. Lowery 78' M 6.68
5 M. O'Hara M. O'Hara 66' M 5.92
8 E. Ring E. Ring 45' M 6.67
11 G. Kiltie G. Kiltie M 6.59
9 J. Hugill J. Hugill F 6.24
10 T. John-Jules T. John-Jules 45' F 6.50
Bench
36
A. Tshibola 45' M 6.39
49 B. Rice B. Rice 12' M 6.01
37 C. Burke C. Burke F 0.00
29 D. Daniels D. Daniels 45' F 6.36
2 J. Brandon J. Brandon 45' D 6.35
19 J. Meier J. Meier D 0.00
7 R. McKenzie R. McKenzie 24' M 6.24
ST Mirren ST Mirren 4-2-3-1
1 J. Chapman J. Chapman G 7.26
3 D. John D. John D 6.45
53 Henry Fieldson Henry Fieldson D 7.55
13 A. Gogić A. Gogić D 7.36
47 C. Ramsay C. Ramsay D 7.81
8 R. Carr R. Carr M 7.14
48 P. Nsio P. Nsio M 6.66
19 Ismeal Kabia Ismeal Kabia 74' M 6.62
30 F. Taylor F. Taylor 1 ⚽ 74' M 8.20
23 C. Mochrie C. Mochrie 66' M 6.52
25 N. Agrafiotis N. Agrafiotis 1 👟 61' F 6.38
Bench
37 C. McEvoy C. McEvoy M 0.00
9 Eseosa Sule Eseosa Sule 16' F 6.56
2 J. Richardson J. Richardson 16' D 6.73
20 J. Young J. Young 29' F 6.40
6 Louis Jackson Louis Jackson D 0.00
16 L. Thomas L. Thomas 24' M 7.01
5 R. King R. King D 0.00
31 R. Mullen R. Mullen G 0.00
10 Samu Samu M 0.00
Best on the pitch
F. Taylor
F. Taylor
M · ST
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 61 pass
C. Ramsay
C. Ramsay
D · ST
7.81
1 shots · 48 pass
Henry Fieldson
Henry Fieldson
D · ST
7.55
· 56 pass
A. Gogić
A. Gogić
D · ST
7.36
· 64 pass
J. Chapman
J. Chapman
G · ST
7.26
· 40 pass
R. Carr
R. Carr
M · ST
7.14
1 shots · 77 pass
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Stryjek G 90 6.33 — — 0 30 23% 0 — —
J. Yfeko D 45 6.86 — — 0 34 29% 0 — —
George Stanger D 90 6.89 — — 0 63 62% 1 — —
C. McCarthy D 90 6.81 — — 1 70 57% 6 — —
M. Schjønning-Larsen M 90 6.11 — — 1 44 37% 0 — —
T. Lowery M 78 6.68 — — 0 48 39% 3 — —
M. O'Hara M 66 5.92 — — 0 17 13% 5 — —
E. Ring M 45 6.67 — — 0 9 4% 2 — —
G. Kiltie M 90 6.59 — — 0 27 23% 1 1 —
J. Hugill F 90 6.24 — — 2 9 7% 0 — —
T. John-Jules F 45 6.50 — — 2 12 6% 2 — —
A. Tshibola M 45 6.39 — — 1 43 34% 1 — —
B. Rice M 12 6.01 — — 0 5 3% 0 1 —
D. Daniels F 45 6.36 — — 1 4 2% 2 — —
J. Brandon D 45 6.35 — — 0 26 21% 2 — —
R. McKenzie M 24 6.24 — — 1 16 10% 2 — —
ST Mirren ST Mirren — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Chapman G 90 7.26 — — 0 40 32% 0 — —
D. John D 90 6.45 — — 1 56 40% 1 — —
Henry Fieldson D 90 7.55 — — 0 56 49% 0 — —
A. Gogić D 90 7.36 — — 0 64 57% 0 — —
C. Ramsay D 90 7.81 — — 1 48 45% 4 — —
R. Carr M 90 7.14 — — 1 77 71% 2 — —
P. Nsio M 90 6.66 — — 1 37 29% 5 — —
Ismeal Kabia M 74 6.62 — — 1 23 20% 0 — —
F. Taylor M 74 8.20 1 — 1 61 58% 2 — —
C. Mochrie M 66 6.52 — — 1 25 20% 1 — —
N. Agrafiotis F 61 6.38 — 1 2 16 12% 0 1 —
Eseosa Sule F 16 6.56 — — 1 2 1% 2 — —
J. Richardson D 16 6.73 — — 0 4 3% 1 1 —
J. Young F 29 6.40 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
L. Thomas M 24 7.01 — — 0 8 6% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
The final score was Kilmarnock 0–1 ST Mirren.
What did the model predict before Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Kilmarnock win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an ST Mirren win.