Kitchee - Gangwon FC
AFC Champions League Two
September 17, 2026 14:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.41%
Win
Kitchee
28.79%
Draw
28.79%
Win
Gangwon FC
2.74
1.25
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.33%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
29%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
58%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kitchee a 42% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Gangwon FC. Expected goals are 2.7 for Kitchee and 1.3 for Gangwon FC (total 4.0), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.33% probability.
Season Stats
10W
3D
2L
6W
5D
4L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.3
1.5
Conceded
1.1
—
Shots OT
4.0
—
Corners
3.8
—
Poss.
53%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
47%
60%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
8W
1D
1L
· at home
5W
3D
2L
· away
3.0
gls/g
1.4
1.4
Conceded
0.9
80%
Win %
50%
90%
Win or Draw
80%
90%
O 1.5
70%
80%
O 2.5
60%
60%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Kitchee
Gangwon FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Kitchee
Attack
60
Defence
60
Form
62
Gangwon FC
Attack
29
Defence
64
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group H
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gangwon FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Kuching FA
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Kitchee
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Phnom Penh Crown
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group H
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Kitchee | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Gangwon FC | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kitchee vs Gangwon FC?
The model gives Kitchee a 42% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 28% for an Gangwon FC win.
How many goals are expected in Kitchee vs Gangwon FC?
Expected goals: Kitchee 2.7, Gangwon FC 1.3 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Kitchee vs Gangwon FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.33%.