Kitchee - Phnom Penh Crown
AFC Champions League Two
November 05, 2026 11:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.81%
Win
Kitchee
32.58%
Draw
30.62%
Win
Phnom Penh Crown
1.82
0.78
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.61%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
33%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kitchee a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Phnom Penh Crown. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kitchee and 0.8 for Phnom Penh Crown (total 2.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.61% probability.
Season Stats
0W
2D
0L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
2.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
2.0
Shots OT
3.0
4.0
Corners
1.0
51%
Poss.
36%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Kitchee
Phnom Penh Crown →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Kitchee
Attack
60
Defence
81
Form
70
Phnom Penh Crown
Attack
41
Defence
59
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group H
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Phnom Penh Crown
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Kitchee
|
2 | 2 |
| 3 |
Kuching FA
|
2 | 1 |
| 4 |
Gangwon FC
|
2 | 1 |
What's at stake · Group H
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #1 |
| → Kitchee | #2 | #1 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Phnom Penh Crown | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
The model gives Kitchee a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 30% for an Phnom Penh Crown win.
How many goals are expected in Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Expected goals: Kitchee 1.8, Phnom Penh Crown 0.8 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.61%.