70'
(ast. D. Verde)
A. Cinar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kocaelispor a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Fatih Karagümrük 29%). The final result was Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük. In 1 previous meetings, Kocaelispor have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fatih Karagümrük.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
0
Shots on target
1
0.34
Actual xG
0.31
65%
Possession
35%
3
Corners
3
9
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Show
39'
A. Oguz
/ R. Rivas
46'
J. Nonge
/ H. Keita
46'
59'
D. Verde
/
M. Kranevitter
C. Keles
/ T. Bingol
61'
69'
A. Cinar
/
Serginho
70'
ast. D. Verde ·
A. Cinar⚽
M. Susoho
/ D. Churlinov
73'
T. Bingol
87'
Show
/ E. Narin
88'
90'+1
B. Kalayci
/
S. Babicka
Pre-match prediction
38.51%
Kocaelispor
31.76%
X
29.73%
Fatih ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fatih Karagümrük)
29.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
0.34
-0.54
0.82
0.31
-0.51
xG dominance was balanced (0.34 – 0.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
83
G
21
Massadio Haïdara
D
Massadio Haïdara
D
6
D
2
D
22
Ahmet Oğuz
45'
D
Ahmet Oğuz
45'
D
14
Show
88'
M
Show
88'
M
20
Mahamadou Susoho
73'
M
Mahamadou Susoho
73'
M
7
Dan Agyei
M
Dan Agyei
M
98
J. Nonge Boende
45'
M
J. Nonge Boende
45'
M
70
C. Keles
61'
M
19
Serdar Dursun
F
Serdar Dursun
F
Bench
17
D. Churlinov
21'
F
D. Churlinov
21'
F
8
H. Keïta
49'
M
H. Keïta
49'
M
10
K. Linetty
M
K. Linetty
M
3
Muharrem Cinan
D
Muharrem Cinan
D
99
Rigoberto Rivas
49'
F
Rigoberto Rivas
49'
F
75
Tayfur Bingöl
33'
D
Tayfur Bingöl
33'
D
99
G
33
Ç. Kurukalıp
D
Ç. Kurukalıp
D
3
I. Lichnovsky
D
I. Lichnovsky
D
4
D
47
D
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
M
Bartuğ Elmaz
M
5
M. Kranevitter
59'
M
M. Kranevitter
59'
M
80
S. Babicka
M
S. Babicka
M
8
Berkay Özcan
M
Berkay Özcan
M
70
Serginho
69'
M
Serginho
69'
M
21
T. Çukur
F
T. Çukur
F
Bench
94
A. Çınar
1 ⚽
25'
D
A. Çınar
1 ⚽
25'
D
72
Baris Kalayci
3'
F
Baris Kalayci
3'
F
10
D. Verde
1 👟
35'
F
23
S. Larsson
M
S. Larsson
M
88
Traore Ahmed
F
Traore Ahmed
F
Best on the pitch
A. Çınar
D · Fatih
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
D · Kocaelispor
7.50
· 118 pass
D · Fatih
7.50
· 31 pass
I. Lichnovsky
D · Fatih
7.30
· 32 pass
D · Fatih
7.00
· 27 pass
D · Kocaelispor
6.90
· 97 pass
Kocaelispor — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Massadio Haïdara | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 118 | 107% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 97 | 89% | 1 | — | — | |
| Ahmet Oğuz | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Show | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 67% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mahamadou Susoho | M | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Dan Agyei | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Nonge Boende | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Keles | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Serdar Dursun | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D. Churlinov | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| H. Keïta | M | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Rigoberto Rivas | F | 49 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Tayfur Bingöl | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
Fatih Karagümrük — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Ç. Kurukalıp | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Lichnovsky | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 7 | — | — | |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 33% | — | — | — |
| M. Kranevitter | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Babicka | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Berkay Özcan | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Çukur | F | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Çınar | D | 25 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | — | — |
| Baris Kalayci | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Verde | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The final score was Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük.
What did the model predict before Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Kocaelispor win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Fatih Karagümrük win.