← Süper Lig
Süper Lig · Regular Season - 33 May 09, 2026 19:00
Kocaelispor
#11 · 37 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Fatih Karagümrük
#17 · 27 pts
70' (ast. D. Verde) A. Cinar

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kocaelispor a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Fatih Karagümrük 29%). The final result was Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük. In 1 previous meetings, Kocaelispor have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fatih Karagümrük.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
0
Shots on target
1
0.34
Actual xG
0.31
65%
Possession
35%
3
Corners
3
9
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Show
39'
↕ A. Oguz / R. Rivas
46'
↕ J. Nonge / H. Keita
46'
59'
D. Verde / M. Kranevitter ↕
↕ C. Keles / T. Bingol
61'
69'
A. Cinar / Serginho ↕
70'
ast. D. Verde · A. Cinar⚽
↕ M. Susoho / D. Churlinov
73'
T. Bingol
87'
↕ Show / E. Narin
88'
90'+1
B. Kalayci / S. Babicka ↕
Pre-match prediction
38.51%
Kocaelispor
31.76%
X
29.73%
Fatih ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fatih Karagümrük) 29.73% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kocaelispor
0.88
0.34
-0.54
Fatih
0.82
0.31
-0.51
xG dominance was balanced (0.34 – 0.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray 33 77
2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 33 73
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 33 69
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 33 59
5 Göztepe Göztepe 33 55
6 Başakşehir Başakşehir 33 54
7 Samsunspor Samsunspor 33 48
8 Rizespor Rizespor 33 40
9 Konyaspor Konyaspor 33 40
10 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 33 37
11 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 33 37
12 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 33 37
13 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 33 32
14 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 33 32
15 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 31
16 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 33 29
17 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 33 27
18 Kayserispor Kayserispor 33 27
Lineups
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 4-2-3-1
83
G 6.20
21
M. Haidara D 6.30
6
D 7.50
2
D 6.90
22
A. Oguz 45' D 6.90
14
Show 88' M 6.90
20 Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho 73' M 6.60
7
D. Agyei M 6.70
98
J. Nonge 45' M 6.60
70
C. Keles 61' M 6.90
19
S. Dursun F 6.30
Bench
17
D. Churlinov 21' F 6.50
8
H. Keita 49' M 6.30
10
K. Linetty M
3
M. Cinan D
99
R. Rivas 49' F 6.00
75
T. Bingol 33' D 6.30
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-2-3-1
99
G 6.60
33
Çağtay Kurukalıp D 6.90
3
Igor Lichnovsky D 7.30
4
D 7.00
47
D 7.50
6
B. Elmaz M 6.90
5
M. Kranevitter 59' M 6.90
80
S. Babicka M 6.20
8
B. Ozcan M 6.70
70
Serginho 69' M 6.30
21
T. Cukur F 6.70
Bench
94
A. Cinar 1 ⚽ 25' D 7.60
72
B. Kalayci 3' F
10
D. Verde 1 👟 35' F 6.60
23
S. Larsson M
88
T. Ahmed F
Best on the pitch
A. Cinar
D · Fatih
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
D · Kocaelispor
7.50
· 118 pass
D · Fatih
7.50
· 31 pass
Igor Lichnovsky
D · Fatih
7.30
· 32 pass
D · Fatih
7.00
· 27 pass
D · Kocaelispor
6.90
· 97 pass
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.20 — — — 30 24% — — —
M. Haidara D 94 6.30 — — — 46 39% 1 — —
D 94 7.50 — — — 118 107% 1 — —
D 94 6.90 — — — 97 89% 1 — —
A. Oguz D 45 6.90 — — — 27 24% 1 — —
Show M 88 6.90 — — 2 70 67% 1 1 —
Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho M 73 6.60 — — 1 29 26% 1 — —
D. Agyei M 94 6.70 — — — 20 12% — — —
J. Nonge M 45 6.60 — — — 19 17% — — —
C. Keles M 61 6.90 — — 2 13 9% 1 — —
S. Dursun F 94 6.30 — — — 20 16% — — —
D. Churlinov F 21 6.50 — — — 13 9% — — —
H. Keita M 49 6.30 — — 1 34 29% 2 — —
R. Rivas F 49 6.00 — — — 23 21% — — —
T. Bingol D 33 6.30 — — 1 9 9% — 1 —
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.60 — — — 39 27% — — —
Çağtay Kurukalıp D 94 6.90 — — — 22 21% 3 — —
Igor Lichnovsky D 94 7.30 — — — 32 27% — — —
D 94 7.00 — — — 27 21% — — —
D 94 7.50 — — — 31 23% 7 — —
B. Elmaz M 94 6.90 — — 2 41 33% — — —
M. Kranevitter M 59 6.90 — — — 15 15% — — —
S. Babicka M 91 6.20 — — — 17 10% — — —
B. Ozcan M 94 6.70 — — 1 24 21% 1 — —
Serginho M 69 6.30 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
T. Cukur F 94 6.70 — — 1 34 18% 1 — —
A. Cinar D 25 7.60 1 — 1 6 — — — —
B. Kalayci F 3 — — — — — — — — —
D. Verde F 35 6.60 — 1 — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The final score was Kocaelispor 0–1 Fatih Karagümrük.
What did the model predict before Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Kocaelispor win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Fatih Karagümrük win.