9'
N. Rusyn
20'
J. Sery
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Karpaty a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Kolos Kovalivka 29%). The final result was Kolos Kovalivka 0–2 Karpaty. In 2 previous meetings, Kolos Kovalivka have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Karpaty.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
9
1.13
Actual xG
2.39
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
7
Match Events
9'
N. Rusyn⚽
20'
J. Sery⚽
32'
V. Baboglo
A. Salabay
39'
39'
A. Chachua
A. Tahiri
43'
R. Kostyshyn
45'+1
O. Demchenko
/ D. Khrypchuk
46'
A. Tahiri
/ Y. Klymchuk
46'
51'
N. Rusyn
56'
Joaquinete
/
J. Sery
I. Kane
/ D. Ndukve
60'
A. Rrapaj
/ I. Kasalla
69'
75'
D. Miroshnichenko
/
X. Alkain
75'
M. Sapuga
/
Fellipe Vieira
E. Kozik
/ D. Denysenko
77'
90'+2
Y. Karabin
/
N. Rusyn
Pre-match prediction
29.92%
Kolos
32.47%
X
37.61%
Karpaty ←
we assigned to the actual result (Karpaty)
37.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.50
1.13
+0.63
1.10
2.39
+1.29
Karpaty dominated by xG (2.39 vs 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
The final score was Kolos Kovalivka 0–2 Karpaty.
What did the model predict before Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Kolos Kovalivka win, 32% to a draw, and 37% to an Karpaty win.