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Korona Kielce - Gornik Zabrze

Ekstraklasa September 15, 2026 20:30 Exbud Arena, Kielce
Korona Kielce
#5 · 12 pts
vs
Gornik Zabrze
#1 · 18 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 12.6°C 💨 4 km/h · Kielce
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.93%
Win
Korona Kielce
32.8%
Draw
33.27%
Win
Gornik Zabrze
1.36
Expected xG
1.08

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.08%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Korona Kielce a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Gornik Zabrze. Expected goals are 1.4 for Korona Kielce and 1.1 for Gornik Zabrze (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.08% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Korona Kielce have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Gornik Zabrze.

Season Stats

Korona Kielce
4W 7D 4L
Gornik Zabrze
11W 2D 2L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.9
1.1
Conceded
0.9
3.7
Shots OT
4.8
3.7
Corners
6.1
47%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
20%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
60%
13%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Ekstraklasa. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Korona Kielce
3W 6D 1L · at home
Gornik Zabrze
5W 4D 1L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.1
0.9
Conceded
0.7
30%
Win %
50%
90%
Win or Draw
90%
90%
O 1.5
50%
30%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
20%
80%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 9.5% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.9% 12.8% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.7% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
W Slask Wroclaw 1–2
D Wisla Krakow 1–1
W Wisla Plock 0–2
D Motor Lublin 1–1
W Widzew Łódź 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
W Lech Poznan 2–1
W Cracovia Krakow 0–1
W Raków Częstochowa 1–2
L GKS Katowice 2–3
W Wisla Krakow 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
Attack
27
Defence
60
Form
45
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
Attack
42
Defence
59
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Korona Kielce
1
Draw
1
Gornik Zabrze
18 Apr 2026 Ekstraklasa 0–1
18 Oct 2025 Ekstraklasa 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 7 18
2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 7 16
3 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 7 15
4 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 8 14
5 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 7 12
6 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 7 12
7 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 7 10
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 6 9
9 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 6 9
10 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 6 9
11 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 7 8
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 7 8
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 7 7
14 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 8 6
15 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 8 5
16 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 6 5
17 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 6 4
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 7 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
The model gives Korona Kielce a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Gornik Zabrze win.
How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Expected goals: Korona Kielce 1.4, Gornik Zabrze 1.1 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.08%.