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Korona Kielce - Legia Warszawa

Ekstraklasa August 08, 2026 20:15 Exbud Arena, Kielce
Korona Kielce
#16 · 0 pts
vs
Legia Warszawa
#1 · 6 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 22.2°C 💨 9 km/h · Kielce
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.46%
Win
Korona Kielce
32.26%
Draw
34.29%
Win
Legia Warszawa
1.5
Expected xG
1.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.36%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Legia Warszawa a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Korona Kielce. Expected goals are 1.5 for Korona Kielce and 1.8 for Legia Warszawa (total 3.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.36% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Korona Kielce have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Legia Warszawa.

Season Stats

Korona Kielce
4W 4D 7L
Legia Warszawa
10W 4D 1L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
0.8
3.1
Shots OT
4.2
3.9
Corners
5.2
47%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
47%
20%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Ekstraklasa. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Korona Kielce
3W 4D 3L · at home
Legia Warszawa
4W 4D 2L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.3
30%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Korona Kielce Legia Warszawa →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.1% 8.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
L Jagiellonia 1–0
D Cracovia Krakow 1–1
W Widzew Łódź 1–0
L Raków Częstochowa 2–0
D Piast Gliwice 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
W Zaglebie Lubin 3–1
W Pogon Szczecin 0–1
W Motor Lublin 4–0
W Lechia Gdansk 1–2
W Nieciecza 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
Attack
19
Defence
35
Form
22
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
Attack
23
Defence
45
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Korona Kielce
0
Draw
1
Legia Warszawa
1 Feb 2026 Ekstraklasa 2–1
27 Jul 2025 Ekstraklasa 0–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 2 6
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 2 6
3 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2 4
4 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2 4
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 2 3
6 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1 3
7 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2 3
8 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2 3
9 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2 3
10 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2 3
11 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2 3
12 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2 3
13 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 2 2
14 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2 1
15 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2 1
16 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1 0
17 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 2 0
18 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 2 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
The model gives Korona Kielce a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Legia Warszawa win.
How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
Expected goals: Korona Kielce 1.5, Legia Warszawa 1.8 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.36%.