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← UEFA Nations League

Kosovo - Rep. Of Ireland

#2 · 6 pts
vs
#3 · 0 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 26.2°C 💨 17 km/h 🌧️ 74% · Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.52%
Win
Kosovo
20.67%
Draw
29.81%
Win
Rep. Of Ireland
2.16
Expected xG
1.68

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.44%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 21%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 51%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 83%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kosovo a 49% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Rep. Of Ireland. Expected goals are 2.2 for Kosovo and 1.7 for Rep. Of Ireland (total 3.8), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.44% probability.

Season Stats

Kosovo
6W 0D 2L
Rep. Of Ireland
4W 0D 4L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
0.9
1.1
Conceded
1.8
5.6
Shots OT
3.3
4.4
Corners
3.1
51%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
88%
88%
O 2.5
50%
38%
BTTS
38%
38%
Clean Sht
13%
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Kosovo
3W 0D 1L · at home
Rep. Of Ireland
2W 0D 2L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.2
75%
Win %
50%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
25%
25%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Kosovo Rep. Of Ireland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 3.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.6% 7.8% 6.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.1% 5.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W Iceland 1–3
W Iceland 2–1
W Lithuania 1–0
L Romania 3–0
W Cyprus 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
W Bulgaria 2–1
W Bulgaria 1–2
L England 5–0
W Finland 1–0
L Greece 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Kosovo Kosovo
Attack
43
Defence
69
Form
28
Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
Attack
40
Defence
84
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Play-offs B/C

# Team G Pts
1 Georgia Georgia 2 6
2 Kosovo Kosovo 2 6
3 Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland 2 6
4 Slovenia Slovenia 2 4
5 Slovakia Slovakia 2 1
6 Bulgaria Bulgaria 2 0
7 Iceland Iceland 2 0
8 Armenia Armenia 2 0

What's at stake · Play-offs B/C

Top 2 advance to the next round

Kosovo Rep. Of Ireland
Current #2 #1
Kosovo #1 #3
Draw #1 #2
Rep. Of Ireland #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland?
The model gives Kosovo a 49% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 29% for an Rep. Of Ireland win.
How many goals are expected in Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland?
Expected goals: Kosovo 2.2, Rep. Of Ireland 1.7 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.44%.