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Premier League · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 13:00 Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara
Krylia Sovetov
#8 · 15 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Fakel
#16 · 6 pts
Martin Kramarič (ast. Kirill Pechenin) 25'
17' (ast. Ilnur Alshin) Clayton Sampaio Pereira
67' (ast. Ilnur Alshin) Matvey Bardachev
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Krylia Sovetov a 45% win probability (draw 32%, Fakel 22%). The final result was Krylia Sovetov 1–2 Fakel.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
4
1.78
Actual xG
0.73
2
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
4
6
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
ast. Ilnur Alshin · Clayton Sampaio Pereira⚽
⚽Martin Kramarič · ast. Kirill Pechenin
25'
45'+2
Vyacheslav Yakimov
45'
Ravil Netfullin / Vyacheslav Yakimov ↕
47'
Albert Gabaraev
↕ Amar Rahmanović / Ilzat Akhmetov
60'
↕ Martin Kramarič / Vitaliy Shitov
60'
Maksim Vityugov
62'
67'
ast. Ilnur Alshin · Matvey Bardachev⚽
69'
Axel Gnapi / Aleksandr Koksharov ↕
69'
Maksim Turishchev / Belajdi Pusi ↕
↕ Maksim Vityugov / Mihajlo Banjac
74'
Sergey Bozhin
85'
↕ Nikolay Rasskazov / Dominik Oroz
86'
↕ Kirill Pechenin / Kirill Stolbov
86'
87'
Anton Kovalev / Darko Todorovic ↕
90'+4
Ilnur Alshin
Pre-match prediction
45.52%
Krylia
32.48%
X
22.0%
Fakel ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fakel) 22.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Krylia
1.02
1.78
+0.76
Fakel
0.41
0.73
+0.32
Krylia Sovetov dominated by xG (1.78 vs 0.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
80 N. Kokarev N. Kokarev G 6.68
2 K. Pechenin K. Pechenin 1 👟 86' D 6.67
47 S. Bozhin S. Bozhin D 6.27
23 N. Chernov N. Chernov D 6.78
15 N. Rasskazov N. Rasskazov 86' D 5.67
4 Y. Gorshkov Y. Gorshkov M 6.84
22 Fernando Costanza Fernando Costanza M 6.99
10 M. Kramarič M. Kramarič 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.26
8 M. Vityugov M. Vityugov 74' M 6.49
14 N. Saltykov N. Saltykov M 6.24
11 A. Rahmanović A. Rahmanović 60' F 7.13
Bench
72 Dani Fernández Dani Fernández D 0.00
77 D. Makarov D. Makarov M 0.00
5 D. Oroz D. Oroz 4' D 6.14
39 E. Frolov E. Frolov G 0.00
97 I. Akhmetov I. Akhmetov 30' M 5.95
17 I. Chesnokov I. Chesnokov M 0.00
18 I. Lepskiy I. Lepskiy D 0.00
26 J. Marín J. Marín M 0.00
20 K. Stolbov K. Stolbov 4' M 6.03
7 M. Banjac M. Banjac 16' M 6.21
3 T. Galdames T. Galdames D 0.00
73 V. Shitov V. Shitov 30' F 6.55
Fakel Fakel 5-3-2
96 I. Obukhov I. Obukhov G 6.94
10 I. Alshin I. Alshin 2 👟 D 7.17
53 M. Bardachev M. Bardachev 1 ⚽ D 7.00
40 Clayton Clayton 1 ⚽ D 7.43
5 A. Gabaraev A. Gabaraev D 6.73
55 D. Todorović D. Todorović 87' D 6.20
8 A. Bagamaev A. Bagamaev M 6.56
23 V. Yakimov V. Yakimov 45' M 6.74
11 A. Sutormin A. Sutormin M 6.30
90 A. Koksharov A. Koksharov 69' F 6.75
19 B. Pusi B. Pusi 69' F 6.36
Bench
9 A. Gnapi Dable A. Gnapi Dable 21' F 6.47
17 A. Kovalev A. Kovalev 3' M 6.28
97 B. Magomedov B. Magomedov M 0.00
1 D. Frolkin D. Frolkin G 0.00
22 H. El Mahasni H. El Mahasni D 0.00
18 K. Simonov K. Simonov M 0.00
7 M. Turishchev M. Turishchev 21' F 6.07
52 R. Netfullin R. Netfullin 45' M 6.53
35 V. Dorovskikh V. Dorovskikh G 0.00
44 Y. Zhuravlev Y. Zhuravlev D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Clayton
Clayton
D · Fakel
7.43
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
M. Kramarič
M. Kramarič
M · Krylia
7.26
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
I. Alshin
I. Alshin
D · Fakel
7.17
2 👟
· 34 pass
A. Rahmanović
A. Rahmanović
F · Krylia
7.13
1 shots · 11 pass
M. Bardachev
M. Bardachev
D · Fakel
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza
M · Krylia
6.99
2 shots · 69 pass
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Kokarev G 90 6.68 — — 0 29 25% 0 — —
K. Pechenin D 86 6.67 — 1 1 44 33% 0 — —
S. Bozhin D 90 6.27 — — 0 62 55% 2 1 —
N. Chernov D 90 6.78 — — 0 92 84% 1 — —
N. Rasskazov D 86 5.67 — — 1 43 29% 0 — —
Y. Gorshkov M 90 6.84 — — 3 55 51% 1 — —
Fernando Costanza M 90 6.99 — — 2 69 65% 1 — —
M. Kramarič M 60 7.26 1 — 3 19 13% 0 — —
M. Vityugov M 74 6.49 — — 3 31 28% 1 1 —
N. Saltykov M 90 6.24 — — 3 24 19% 0 — —
A. Rahmanović F 60 7.13 — — 1 11 9% 0 — —
D. Oroz D 4 6.14 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
I. Akhmetov M 30 5.95 — — 0 18 13% 0 — —
K. Stolbov M 4 6.03 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
M. Banjac M 16 6.21 — — 2 16 10% 0 — —
V. Shitov F 30 6.55 — — 1 6 4% 0 — —
Fakel Fakel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Obukhov G 90 6.94 — — 0 35 20% 0 — —
I. Alshin D 90 7.17 — 2 0 34 21% 2 1 —
M. Bardachev D 90 7.00 1 — 2 35 21% 5 — —
Clayton D 90 7.43 1 — 1 22 21% 0 — —
A. Gabaraev D 90 6.73 — — 0 36 31% 1 1 —
D. Todorović D 87 6.20 — — 2 20 15% 1 — —
A. Bagamaev M 90 6.56 — — 0 24 21% 1 — —
V. Yakimov M 45 6.74 — — 0 20 18% 2 1 —
A. Sutormin M 90 6.30 — — 1 30 20% 4 — —
A. Koksharov F 69 6.75 — — 4 19 13% 2 — —
B. Pusi F 69 6.36 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
A. Gnapi Dable F 21 6.47 — — 0 5 1% 0 — —
A. Kovalev M 3 6.28 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
M. Turishchev F 21 6.07 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
R. Netfullin M 45 6.53 — — 1 15 13% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel?
The final score was Krylia Sovetov 1–2 Fakel.
What did the model predict before Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Krylia Sovetov win, 32% to a draw, and 22% to an Fakel win.