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← Veikkausliiga

KuPS - HJK Helsinki

Veikkausliiga September 13, 2026 14:00 Vare Areena, Kuopio
#1 · 43 pts
vs
#3 · 37 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 13.5°C 💨 12 km/h 🌧️ 45% · Kuopio
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.5%
Win
KuPS
33.66%
Draw
29.84%
Win
HJK Helsinki
0.83
Expected xG
0.75

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (20.02%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 34%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 64%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 45%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives KuPS a 36% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 29% for HJK Helsinki. Expected goals are 0.8 for KuPS and 0.7 for HJK Helsinki (total 1.6), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 20.02% probability. In 6 previous meetings, KuPS have won 4 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for HJK Helsinki.

Season Stats

KuPS
9W 4D 2L
HJK Helsinki
9W 1D 5L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.8
1.1
Conceded
1.5
2.8
Shots OT
3.8
3.6
Corners
2.5
54%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
73%
67%
BTTS
47%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 15 matches in Veikkausliiga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
KuPS
5W 4D 1L · at home
HJK Helsinki
4W 2D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.5
1.4
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
90%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
20%
80%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ KuPS HJK Helsinki →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.7% 15.5% 5.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 17.1% 12.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2%
2 7.1% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

D Gnistan 1–1
L Inter Turku 1–0
L Mariehamn 2–4
W Lahti 1–2
D Turku PS 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 21%
W Inter Turku 2–1
W Ilves 1–2
L Gnistan 2–3
W FF Jaro 3–0
W AC Oulu 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 31%

Playing profile

KuPS KuPS
Attack
35
Defence
68
Form
57
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
Attack
42
Defence
70
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 KuPS KuPS 22 43
1 Mariehamn Mariehamn 5 11
2 FF Jaro FF Jaro 5 9
2 Inter Turku Inter Turku 22 42
3 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 22 37
3 AC Oulu AC Oulu 5 9
4 Kooteepee Kooteepee 7 7
4 Gnistan Gnistan 22 36
5 Turku PS Turku PS 2 6
5 AC Oulu AC Oulu 22 34
6 VPS VPS 5 6
6 VPS VPS 22 33
7 Haka Haka 5 1
7 Lahti Lahti 22 32
8 Turku PS Turku PS 22 31
9 Ilves Ilves 22 25
10 SJK SJK 22 19
11 FF Jaro FF Jaro 22 15
12 Mariehamn Mariehamn 22 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
The model gives KuPS a 36% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 29% for an HJK Helsinki win.
How many goals are expected in KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
Expected goals: KuPS 0.8, HJK Helsinki 0.7 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.02%.