KuPS 2–4 Mariehamn — pre-match prediction — Veikkausliiga — August 23, 2026

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Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 14:00 Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio

KuPS

#1 · 43 pts

2 – 4

Final score

Mariehamn

#1 · 16 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction KuPS, result Mariehamn wins

G. Engvall 11'

P. Parzyszek (ast. C. Antwi) 59'

6' (ast. J. Svedberg) A. Larsson

14' J. Svedberg

42' (ast. J. Heyden) L. Richtner

62' (ast. V. Widlund) L. Richtner

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave KuPS a 69% win probability (draw 22%, Mariehamn 8%). The final result was KuPS 2–4 Mariehamn. In 4 previous meetings, KuPS have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Mariehamn.

Match statistics

Match Events

T. Hamalainen

ast. J. Svedberg · A. Larsson⚽

⚽G. Engvall

11'

13'

N. Nurmi

14'

J. Svedberg⚽

19'

F. Gyamfi

42'

ast. J. Heyden · L. Richtner⚽

↕ A. Heinonen / T. Jyry

46'

↕ Jorginho / C. Antwi

46'

A. Huttunen / A. Bergvik ↕

↕ N. Kujasalo / P. Pennanen

46'

⚽P. Parzyszek · ast. C. Antwi

59'

62'

ast. V. Widlund · L. Richtner⚽

↕ A. Puukko / S. Savolainen

65'

T. Jakobsen / V. Widlund ↕

↕ J. Luyeye-Lutumba / J. J. Moreno Ciorciari

71'

77'

L. Andersson / A. Larsson ↕

89'

T. Koivisto / S. Ngulube ↕

Pre-match prediction

69.78%

KuPS

22.06%

8.16%

Mariehamn ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mariehamn) 8.16% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

KuPS

1.53

—

Mariehamn

0.30

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lahti	27	39
1	Mariehamn	10	16
1	KuPS	22	43
1	Inter Turku	29	55
2	FF Jaro	11	16
2	HJK Helsinki	29	52
2	Inter Turku	22	42
2	Ilves	27	38
3	Ilves	5	13
3	Turku PS	27	32
3	HJK Helsinki	22	37
3	KuPS	29	52
4	SJK	27	27
4	AC Oulu	29	43
4	AC Oulu	5	9
4	Gnistan	22	36
5	FF Jaro	27	21
5	SJK	5	8
5	Gnistan	29	42
5	AC Oulu	22	34
6	Lahti	5	7
6	VPS	22	33
6	VPS	29	39
6	Mariehamn	27	19
7	Lahti	22	32
7	Kooteepee	7	7
8	Turku PS	22	31
8	Turku PS	7	7
9	VPS	5	6
9	Ilves	22	25
10	PK-35	1	1
10	SJK	22	19
11	Haka	5	1
11	FF Jaro	22	15
12	Mariehamn	22	14

Lineups

KuPS 4-2-3-1

J. Kreidl G

Jorginho D

A. Lötjönen D

T. Hämäläinen D

Akseli Puukko D

Saikou Touray M

N. Kujasalo M

G. Engvall 1 ⚽ F

A. Heinonen M

J. Luyeye-Lutumba M

P. Parzyszek 1 ⚽ F

Bench

B. Armah D

C. Antwi 1 👟 D

H. Riihimäki G

J. Moreno F

K. Adams D

P. Pennanen M

S. Pasanen M

S. Savolainen D

T. Jyry M

Mariehamn 4-2-3-1

K. Lund G

Samson Ngulube D

Foster Gyamfi D

N. Nurmi D

L. Richtnér 2 ⚽ D

E. Patut M

J. van der Heyden 1 👟 M

Arvid Bergvik M

V. Widlund 1 👟 D

J. Svedberg 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M

A. Larsson 1 ⚽ F

Bench

A. Huttunen M

L. Andersson F

Matias Riikonen G

M. Hyvönen M

T. Jakobsen M

T. Koivisto D

W. Nuñez F

KuPS — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Kreidl	G	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Jorginho	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Lötjönen	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
T. Hämäläinen	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Akseli Puukko	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Saikou Touray	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
N. Kujasalo	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
G. Engvall	F	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Heinonen	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Luyeye-Lutumba	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
P. Parzyszek	F	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Mariehamn — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Lund	G	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Samson Ngulube	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Foster Gyamfi	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
N. Nurmi	D	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
L. Richtnér	D	—	—	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
E. Patut	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. van der Heyden	M	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
Arvid Bergvik	M	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
V. Widlund	D	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Svedberg	M	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Larsson	F	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of KuPS vs Mariehamn?

The final score was KuPS 2–4 Mariehamn.

What did the model predict before KuPS vs Mariehamn?

The model assigned 69% probability to a KuPS win, 22% to a draw, and 8% to an Mariehamn win.