KuPS 3–1 VPS — pre-match prediction — Veikkausliiga — July 25, 2026

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Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 17 July 25, 2026 16:00 Vare Areena, Kuopio

KuPS

#1 · 43 pts

3 – 1

Final score

VPS

#5 · 36 pts

✓Model correct — prediction KuPS

jaime moreno (ast. Joslyn Lutumba Luyeye) 1'

Gustav Engvall (ast. jaime moreno) 12'

Joslyn Lutumba Luyeye (ast. Gustav Engvall) 29'

63' (ast. Jayden Turfkruier) Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave KuPS a 64% win probability (draw 17%, VPS 18%). The final result was KuPS 3–1 VPS. In 4 previous meetings, KuPS have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for VPS.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

39%

Possession

61%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽jaime moreno · ast. Joslyn Lutumba Luyeye

⚽Gustav Engvall · ast. jaime moreno

12'

⚽Joslyn Lutumba Luyeye · ast. Gustav Engvall

29'

Miika Nuutinen

40'

45'

Casper Holmelund / Paulo Lima ↕

45'

Miika Niemi / Razak Simpson ↕

↕ jaime moreno / Piotr Parzyszek

60'

↕ Saikou Touray / Valentin Gasc

60'

63'

ast. Jayden Turfkruier · Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi⚽

↕ Saku Savolainen / Akseli Puukko

68'

↕ Arttu Heinonen / Clinton Antwi

68'

↕ Gustav Engvall / Brahima Magassa

77'

Saku Heiskanen

80'

83'

Jonathan Muzinga / Xavier Odhiambo ↕

83'

Akoon Kuek / Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan ↕

90'+1

Yassin Daoussi / Martti Haukioja ↕

Akseli Puukko

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

64.59%

KuPS ←

17.01%

18.4%

VPS

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (KuPS) 64.59% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

KuPS

2.94

—

VPS

1.46

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lahti	25	36
1	KuPS	22	43
1	KuPS	25	48
2	Ilves	25	34
2	Inter Turku	22	42
2	Inter Turku	25	48
3	HJK Helsinki	22	37
3	HJK Helsinki	25	42
3	Turku PS	25	32
4	Gnistan	25	41
4	SJK	25	24
4	Gnistan	22	36
5	AC Oulu	22	34
5	Mariehamn	25	17
5	VPS	25	36
6	FF Jaro	25	17
6	VPS	22	33
6	AC Oulu	25	34
7	Lahti	22	32
8	Turku PS	22	31
9	Ilves	22	25
10	SJK	22	19
11	FF Jaro	22	15
12	Mariehamn	22	14

Lineups

KuPS 4-4-2

H. Riihimäki G 6.38

Saku Heiskanen D 6.75

A. Lötjönen D 6.84

T. Hämäläinen D 7.33

S. Savolainen 68' D 6.87

G. Engvall 1 ⚽ 1 👟 77' M 8.28

S. Touray 60' M 6.59

N. Kujasalo M 6.25

A. Heinonen 68' M 6.44

J. Luyeye-Lutumba 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.62

Bench

A. Puukko 22' D 6.35

B. Magassa 13' D 5.98

C. Antwi 22' D 6.55

Jorginho D 0.00

K. Adams D 0.00

Kasperi Silen G 0.00

P. Parzyszek 30' F 7.16

P. Pennanen M 0.00

V. Gasc 30' M 6.09

VPS 3-1-4-2

Razak Simpson 45' D 6.25

L. Mane M 6.37

M. Haukioja 89' D 6.30

E. Okereke D 6.62

Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi 1 ⚽ M 7.50

K. Kouassivi-Benissan 83' F 6.37

X. Odhiambo 83' F 6.67

J. Turfkruier 1 👟 M 7.64

A. Räisänen M 6.18

Bench

Akon Kuek 7' M 5.75

C. Holmelund 45' F 6.49

Jonathan Muzinga 7' F 6.35

J. Vahtera M 0.00

L. Väyrynen G 0.00

M. Niemi 45' D 5.90

Y. Daoussi 1' D 5.90

Best on the pitch

J. Luyeye-Lutumba

F · KuPS

8.62

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 16 pass

G. Engvall

M · KuPS

8.28

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 20 pass

J. Turfkruier

M · VPS

7.64

1 👟

· 47 pass

Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi

M · VPS

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 57 pass

T. Hämäläinen

D · KuPS

7.33

· 46 pass

P. Parzyszek

F · KuPS

7.16

3 shots · 9 pass

KuPS — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
H. Riihimäki	G	90	6.38	—	—	0	49	31%	0	—	—
Saku Heiskanen	D	90	6.75	—	—	0	31	26%	5	1	—
A. Lötjönen	D	90	6.84	—	—	1	44	34%	1	—	—
T. Hämäläinen	D	90	7.33	—	—	0	46	43%	4	—	—
S. Savolainen	D	68	6.87	—	—	1	24	18%	0	—	—
G. Engvall	M	77	8.28	1	1	2	20	15%	0	—	—
S. Touray	M	60	6.59	—	—	1	26	22%	2	—	—
N. Kujasalo	M	90	6.25	—	—	0	34	24%	0	—	—
A. Heinonen	M	68	6.44	—	—	0	26	18%	3	—	—
J. Luyeye-Lutumba	F	90	8.62	1	1	3	16	14%	2	—	—
A. Puukko	D	22	6.35	—	—	0	5	4%	0	1	—
B. Magassa	D	13	5.98	—	—	0	4	4%	0	—	—
C. Antwi	D	22	6.55	—	—	0	11	11%	0	—	—
P. Parzyszek	F	30	7.16	—	—	3	9	5%	1	—	—
V. Gasc	M	30	6.09	—	—	1	13	13%	0	—	—

VPS — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Razak Simpson	D	45	6.25	—	—	0	38	33%	1	—	—
L. Mane	M	90	6.37	—	—	0	44	39%	2	—	—
M. Haukioja	D	89	6.30	—	—	2	82	72%	1	—	—
E. Okereke	D	90	6.62	—	—	0	72	64%	3	—	—
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi	M	90	7.50	1	—	1	57	50%	2	—	—
K. Kouassivi-Benissan	F	83	6.37	—	—	0	31	26%	0	—	—
X. Odhiambo	F	83	6.67	—	—	1	16	12%	2	—	—
J. Turfkruier	M	90	7.64	—	1	0	47	38%	3	—	—
A. Räisänen	M	90	6.18	—	—	0	44	38%	1	—	—
Akon Kuek	M	7	5.75	—	—	0	4	3%	0	—	—
C. Holmelund	F	45	6.49	—	—	4	15	9%	0	—	—
Jonathan Muzinga	F	7	6.35	—	—	0	2	1%	1	—	—
M. Niemi	D	45	5.90	—	—	0	38	30%	0	—	—
Y. Daoussi	D	1	5.90	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of KuPS vs VPS?

The final score was KuPS 3–1 VPS.

What did the model predict before KuPS vs VPS?

The model assigned 64% probability to a KuPS win, 17% to a draw, and 18% to an VPS win.