Pro League
· Championship Group - 36
May 03, 2026 13:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Gent, result KV Mechelen wins
B. Boersma
(ast. K. Mrabti)
16'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gent a 59% win probability (draw 19%, KV Mechelen 21%). The final result was KV Mechelen 1–0 Gent. In 4 previous meetings, KV Mechelen have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Gent.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.74
Actual xG
1.41
2
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
4
18
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽B. Boersma
· ast. K. Mrabti
16'
46'
H. Goore
/
M. Skoras
46'
I. Cisse
/
W. Kanga
46'
M. Sonko
/
M. Dean
M. Servais
53'
K. Mrabti
/ D. Salifou
56'
61'
A. Kadri
69'
(missed pen.)
A. Kadri⚽
80'
L. Lopes
B. Antonio
/ M. Decoene
80'
83'
Hong Hyun-Seok
/
D. Hashioka
R. Halhal
90'+4
90'+4
S. Van Der Heyden
Pre-match prediction
21.06%
KV ←
19.25%
X
59.7%
Gent
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (KV Mechelen)
21.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
0.74
-0.22
2.25
1.41
-0.84
Gent dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
3
José Marsà
D
José Marsà
D
2
Redouane Halhal
D
Redouane Halhal
D
33
Tommy St Jago
D
Tommy St Jago
D
7
T. Koudou
89'
M
T. Koudou
89'
M
17
Mathis Servais
89'
M
Mathis Servais
89'
M
6
F. Hammar
M
F. Hammar
M
38
B. Antonio
80'
M
B. Antonio
80'
M
19
Kerim Mrabti
1 👟
56'
F
9
F
28
Bouke Boersma
1 ⚽
F
Bouke Boersma
1 ⚽
F
Bench
29
Dikeni Salifou
34'
M
Dikeni Salifou
34'
M
4
Gora Diouf
8'
D
Gora Diouf
8'
D
8
M. Konaté
M
M. Konaté
M
33
G
44
S. Van der Heyden
D
S. Van der Heyden
D
57
D
4
D. Hashioka
83'
D
D. Hashioka
83'
D
20
Tiago Araújo
M
Tiago Araújo
M
22
Leonardo Lopes
M
Leonardo Lopes
M
27
T. De Vlieger
M
T. De Vlieger
M
8
M. Skóraś
45'
M
M. Skóraś
45'
M
37
A. Kadri
70'
F
A. Kadri
70'
F
21
Max Dean
45'
F
7
W. Kanga
45'
F
W. Kanga
45'
F
Bench
10
A. Omgba
20'
M
A. Omgba
20'
M
45
B. Goore
45'
F
B. Goore
45'
F
24
Hong Hyun-Seok
14'
M
Hong Hyun-Seok
14'
M
29
Jean-Kévin Duverne
D
Best on the pitch
G · KV
7.90
· 40 pass
T. De Vlieger
M · Gent
7.90
· 43 pass
José Marsà
D · KV
7.50
· 62 pass
F · KV
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
Bouke Boersma
F · KV
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
T. Koudou
M · KV
7.20
· 33 pass
KV Mechelen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| José Marsà | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| Redouane Halhal | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tommy St Jago | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | — | — | — |
| T. Koudou | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathis Servais | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Hammar | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Antonio | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Kerim Mrabti | F | 56 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bouke Boersma | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Dikeni Salifou | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gora Diouf | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gent — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| S. Van der Heyden | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 53% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 53% | — | — | — | |
| D. Hashioka | D | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Araújo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Leonardo Lopes | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. De Vlieger | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 7 | — | — |
| M. Skóraś | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Kadri | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Max Dean | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| W. Kanga | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Omgba | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Goore | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Hong Hyun-Seok | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of KV Mechelen vs Gent?
The final score was KV Mechelen 1–0 Gent.
What did the model predict before KV Mechelen vs Gent?
The model assigned 21% probability to a KV Mechelen win, 19% to a draw, and 59% to an Gent win.