Pro League
· Championship Group - 36
May 03, 2026 13:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Gent, result KV Mechelen wins
B. Boersma
(ast. K. Mrabti)
16'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Gent a 59% win probability (draw 19%, KV Mechelen 21%). The final result was KV Mechelen 1–0 Gent. In 4 previous meetings, KV Mechelen have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Gent.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.74
Actual xG
1.41
2
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
4
18
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽B. Boersma
· ast. K. Mrabti
16'
46'
H. Goore
/
M. Skoras
46'
I. Cisse
/
W. Kanga
46'
M. Sonko
/
M. Dean
M. Servais
53'
K. Mrabti
/ D. Salifou
56'
61'
A. Kadri
69'
(missed pen.)
A. Kadri⚽
80'
L. Lopes
B. Antonio
/ M. Decoene
80'
83'
Hong Hyun-Seok
/
D. Hashioka
R. Halhal
90'+4
90'+4
S. Van Der Heyden
Pre-match prediction
21.06%
KV ←
19.25%
X
59.7%
Gent
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (KV Mechelen)
21.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
0.74
-0.22
2.25
1.41
-0.84
Gent dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
3
José Marsà
D
José Marsà
D
2
R. Halhal
D
R. Halhal
D
33
Tommy St Jago
D
Tommy St Jago
D
7
Thérence Koudou
89'
M
Thérence Koudou
89'
M
17
M. Servais
89'
M
M. Servais
89'
M
6
F. Hammar
M
F. Hammar
M
38
Bill Antonio
80'
M
Bill Antonio
80'
M
19
K. Mrabti
1 👟
56'
F
9
F
28
Bouke Boersma
1 ⚽
F
Bouke Boersma
1 ⚽
F
Bench
29
Dikeni Salifou
34'
M
Dikeni Salifou
34'
M
4
Gora Diouf
8'
D
Gora Diouf
8'
D
8
M. Konaté
M
M. Konaté
M
33
G
44
S. Van der Heyden
D
S. Van der Heyden
D
57
D
4
D. Hashioka
83'
D
D. Hashioka
83'
D
20
Tiago Araújo
M
Tiago Araújo
M
22
Leonardo Lopes
M
Leonardo Lopes
M
27
Tibe De Vlieger
M
Tibe De Vlieger
M
8
M. Skóraś
45'
M
M. Skóraś
45'
M
37
Abdelkahar Kadri
70'
F
Abdelkahar Kadri
70'
F
21
Max Dean
45'
F
Max Dean
45'
F
7
W. Kanga
45'
F
W. Kanga
45'
F
Bench
10
Aimé Omgba
20'
M
Aimé Omgba
20'
M
24
Hong Hyun-Seok
14'
M
Hong Hyun-Seok
14'
M
45
Hyllarion Goore
45'
F
Hyllarion Goore
45'
F
29
J. Duverne
D
J. Duverne
D
Best on the pitch
G · KV
7.90
· 40 pass
Tibe De Vlieger
M · Gent
7.90
· 43 pass
José Marsà
D · KV
7.50
· 62 pass
F · KV
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
Bouke Boersma
F · KV
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Thérence Koudou
M · KV
7.20
· 33 pass
KV Mechelen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| José Marsà | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Halhal | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tommy St Jago | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Thérence Koudou | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Servais | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Hammar | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Bill Antonio | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mrabti | F | 56 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bouke Boersma | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Dikeni Salifou | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gora Diouf | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gent — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| S. Van der Heyden | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 53% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 53% | — | — | — | |
| D. Hashioka | D | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Araújo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Leonardo Lopes | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tibe De Vlieger | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 7 | — | — |
| M. Skóraś | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Abdelkahar Kadri | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Max Dean | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| W. Kanga | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Aimé Omgba | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Hong Hyun-Seok | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Hyllarion Goore | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of KV Mechelen vs Gent?
The final score was KV Mechelen 1–0 Gent.
What did the model predict before KV Mechelen vs Gent?
The model assigned 21% probability to a KV Mechelen win, 19% to a draw, and 59% to an Gent win.