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#15 · 6 pts
1 – 4
Final score
#13 · 8 pts
B. Boersma (ast. T. Koudou) 26'
44' (ast. R. Ito) J. Pupe
49' (ast. K. Goto) R. Merlen
63' (ast. R. Merlen) I. Sebaoui
76' (ast. I. Sebaoui) R. Ito
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 37% win probability (draw 32%, KV Mechelen 30%). The final result was KV Mechelen 1–4 St. Truiden. In 4 previous meetings, KV Mechelen have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for St. Truiden.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
10
1.23
Actual xG
1.05
5
Saves
1
43%
Possession
57%
4
Corners
7
16
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Boersma · ast. T. Koudou
26'
44'
ast. R. Ito · J. Pupe⚽
46'
A. Sissako
46'
R. Merlen / K. Matsuzawa ↕
49'
ast. K. Goto · R. Merlen⚽
63'
ast. R. Merlen · I. Sebaoui⚽
↕ T. Koudou / K. Vanrafelghem
73'
↕ B. Boersma / B. Raman
73'
73'
S. Jukleroed / J. Pupe ↕
76'
ast. I. Sebaoui · R. Ito⚽
83'
S. Shinkawa / I. Sebaoui ↕
84'
L. Mbe Soh / R. Ito ↕
↕ K. Mrabti / B. Bafdili
85'
88'
W. Janssens / A. Sissako ↕
F. Hammar
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
30.21%
KV
32.16%
X
37.63%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden) 37.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
KV
0.87
1.23
+0.36
St.
1.08
1.05
-0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.05). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 9 25
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 9 24
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 9 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2
13
88' G 6.90
3 José Marsà José Marsà 88' D 6.20
8 M. Konaté M. Konaté 88' D 5.60
2 R. Halhal R. Halhal 88' D 6.50
7 Thérence Koudou Thérence Koudou 1 👟 73' M 6.90
17 M. Servais M. Servais 88' M 7.70
6 F. Hammar F. Hammar 88' M 7.70
38 Bill Antonio Bill Antonio 88' M 6.60
19
K. Mrabti 86' F 6.50
9
88' F 6.90
28 Bouke Boersma Bouke Boersma 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.50
Bench
14 Benito Raman Benito Raman 15' F 6.30
4 Gora Diouf Gora Diouf D
33 Tommy St Jago Tommy St Jago D
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
16 Léo Kokubo Léo Kokubo 88' G 6.50
23 Joedrick Pupe Joedrick Pupe 1 ⚽ 73' D 8.20
26
88' D 6.90
5
88' D 7.20
60 R. Vanwesemael R. Vanwesemael 88' D 7.00
6 R. Yamamoto R. Yamamoto 88' M 7.00
8 Abdoulaye Sissako Abdoulaye Sissako 88' M 6.30
38 Kaito Matsuzawa Kaito Matsuzawa 45' M 6.30
13 R. Ito R. Ito 1 ⚽ 1 👟 84' M 8.20
10 I. Sebaoui I. Sebaoui 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' M 7.70
42 K. Goto K. Goto 1 👟 88' F 6.30
Bench
77 Oumar Diouf Oumar Diouf F
14 R. Merlen R. Merlen 1 ⚽ 1 👟 43' M 8.00
3 Taiga Hata Taiga Hata D
Best on the pitch
R. Ito
R. Ito
M · St.
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 52 pass
Joedrick Pupe
Joedrick Pupe
D · St.
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
R. Merlen
R. Merlen
M · St.
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
I. Sebaoui
I. Sebaoui
M · St.
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
M. Servais
M. Servais
M · KV
7.70
1 shots · 33 pass
F. Hammar
F. Hammar
M · KV
7.70
· 28 pass
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 88 6.90 — — — 25 13% — — —
José Marsà D 88 6.20 — — — 52 38% 2 — —
M. Konaté D 88 5.60 — — — 41 34% — — —
R. Halhal D 88 6.50 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
Thérence Koudou M 73 6.90 — 1 1 28 21% — — —
M. Servais M 88 7.70 — — 1 33 28% 4 — —
F. Hammar M 88 7.70 — — — 28 20% 4 — —
Bill Antonio M 88 6.60 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
K. Mrabti F 86 6.50 — — 1 22 16% 1 — —
F 88 6.90 — — — 36 30% 2 — —
Bouke Boersma F 73 7.50 1 — 2 7 5% — — —
Benito Raman F 15 6.30 — — — — — — — —
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Kokubo G 88 6.50 — — — 19 11% — — —
Joedrick Pupe D 73 8.20 1 — 1 34 28% 4 — —
D 88 6.90 — — 1 45 41% — — —
D 88 7.20 — — 1 65 59% 4 — —
R. Vanwesemael D 88 7.00 — — 2 54 45% 2 — —
R. Yamamoto M 88 7.00 — — 1 31 29% 1 — —
Abdoulaye Sissako M 88 6.30 — — 1 40 33% 1 1 —
Kaito Matsuzawa M 45 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
R. Ito M 84 8.20 1 1 1 52 46% — — —
I. Sebaoui M 83 7.70 1 1 1 39 32% — — —
K. Goto F 88 6.30 — 1 2 18 11% 1 — —
R. Merlen M 43 8.00 1 1 2 19 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
The final score was KV Mechelen 1–4 St. Truiden.
What did the model predict before KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
The model assigned 30% probability to a KV Mechelen win, 32% to a draw, and 37% to an St. Truiden win.