Pro League
· Championship Group - 35
April 26, 2026 16:00
B. Boersma
(ast. T. Koudou)
26'
44'
(ast. R. Ito)
J. Pupe
49'
(ast. K. Goto)
R. Merlen
63'
(ast. R. Merlen)
I. Sebaoui
76'
(ast. I. Sebaoui)
R. Ito
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 37% win probability (draw 32%, KV Mechelen 30%). The final result was KV Mechelen 1–4 St. Truiden. In 3 previous meetings, KV Mechelen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for St. Truiden.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
10
1.23
Actual xG
1.05
5
Saves
1
43%
Possession
57%
4
Corners
7
16
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Boersma
· ast. T. Koudou
26'
44'
ast. R. Ito ·
J. Pupe⚽
46'
A. Sissako
46'
R. Merlen
/
K. Matsuzawa
49'
ast. K. Goto ·
R. Merlen⚽
63'
ast. R. Merlen ·
I. Sebaoui⚽
T. Koudou
/ K. Vanrafelghem
73'
B. Boersma
/ B. Raman
73'
73'
S. Jukleroed
/
J. Pupe
76'
ast. I. Sebaoui ·
R. Ito⚽
83'
S. Shinkawa
/
I. Sebaoui
84'
L. Mbe Soh
/
R. Ito
K. Mrabti
/ B. Bafdili
85'
88'
W. Janssens
/
A. Sissako
F. Hammar
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
30.21%
KV
32.16%
X
37.63%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Truiden)
37.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.87
1.23
+0.36
1.08
1.05
-0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.05).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
88'
G
3
José Marsà
88'
D
José Marsà
88'
D
8
M. Konaté
88'
D
M. Konaté
88'
D
2
Redouane Halhal
88'
D
Redouane Halhal
88'
D
7
T. Koudou
1 👟
73'
M
T. Koudou
1 👟
73'
M
17
Mathis Servais
88'
M
Mathis Servais
88'
M
6
F. Hammar
88'
M
F. Hammar
88'
M
38
B. Antonio
88'
M
B. Antonio
88'
M
19
Kerim Mrabti
86'
F
9
88'
F
28
Bouke Boersma
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bouke Boersma
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
14
B. Raman
15'
F
B. Raman
15'
F
4
Gora Diouf
D
Gora Diouf
D
33
Tommy St Jago
D
Tommy St Jago
D
16
L. Kokubo
88'
G
L. Kokubo
88'
G
23
J. Pupe
1 ⚽
73'
D
J. Pupe
1 ⚽
73'
D
26
88'
D
5
88'
D
60
R. Vanwesemael
88'
D
R. Vanwesemael
88'
D
6
R. Yamamoto
88'
M
R. Yamamoto
88'
M
8
A. Sissako
88'
M
A. Sissako
88'
M
38
K. Matsuzawa
45'
M
K. Matsuzawa
45'
M
13
R. Ito
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
R. Ito
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
10
I. Sebaoui
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
I. Sebaoui
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
42
K. Goto
1 👟
88'
F
K. Goto
1 👟
88'
F
Bench
77
O. Diouf
F
O. Diouf
F
14
R. Merlen
1 ⚽
1 👟
43'
M
R. Merlen
1 ⚽
1 👟
43'
M
3
T. Hata
D
T. Hata
D
Best on the pitch
R. Ito
M · St.
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 52 pass
J. Pupe
D · St.
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
R. Merlen
M · St.
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 19 pass
I. Sebaoui
M · St.
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 39 pass
Mathis Servais
M · KV
7.70
1 shots
· 33 pass
F. Hammar
M · KV
7.70
· 28 pass
KV Mechelen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| José Marsà | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Konaté | D | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Redouane Halhal | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Koudou | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Mathis Servais | M | 88 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Hammar | M | 88 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Antonio | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Kerim Mrabti | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| Bouke Boersma | F | 73 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Raman | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
St. Truiden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kokubo | G | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Pupe | D | 73 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | — | — | — | |
| D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 4 | — | — | |
| R. Vanwesemael | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Yamamoto | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sissako | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Matsuzawa | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Ito | M | 84 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| I. Sebaoui | M | 83 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| K. Goto | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Merlen | M | 43 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
The final score was KV Mechelen 1–4 St. Truiden.
What did the model predict before KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
The model assigned 30% probability to a KV Mechelen win, 32% to a draw, and 37% to an St. Truiden win.