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Pro League · Regular Season - 8 October 11, 2026 19:15
KV Mechelen
#15 · 6 pts
4 – 3
Final score
St. Truiden
#13 · 8 pts
K. Takai 24' (og)
S. Michez 34'
S. Taniguchi 39' (og)
B. Raman (ast. K. Corbanie) 62'
44' (ast. R. Merlen) S. Bazdar
49' I. Sebaoui
71' F. Soelle
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Truiden a 41% win probability (draw 27%, KV Mechelen 31%). The final result was KV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden. In 4 previous meetings, KV Mechelen have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 4 wins for St. Truiden.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
7
0.74
Actual xG
1.43
4
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
8
23
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
5'
K. Takai
⚽K. Takai (og)
24'
⚽S. Michez
34'
⚽S. Taniguchi (og)
39'
42'
K. Matsuzawa
44'
ast. R. Merlen · S. Bazdar⚽
46'
N. Ishiwatari / K. Matsuzawa ↕
46'
N. Mbuku / R. Araki ↕
49'
I. Sebaoui⚽
M. Decherf
53'
⚽B. Raman · ast. K. Corbanie
62'
↕ B. Raman / C. Van Meirvenne
63'
67'
F. Soelle / S. Bazdar ↕
67'
S. Shinkawa / R. Merlen ↕
71'
F. Soelle⚽
↕ B. Boersma / M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
81'
↕ T. Koudou / B. Antonio
81'
↕ M. Eerdhuijzen / L. Marijnissen
81'
↕ M. Decherf / D. Praet
81'
84'
N. Ishiwatari
88'
S. Taniguchi
F. Hammar
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
31.77%
KV ←
27.15%
X
41.08%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (KV Mechelen) 31.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
KV
1.52
0.74
-0.78
St.
2.10
1.43
-0.67
St. Truiden dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 9 25
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 9 24
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 9 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 3-4-2-1
13 Nacho Miras Nacho Miras G 7.30
3 José Marsà José Marsà D 6.60
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen Mike Eerdhuijzen 81' D 7.20
20 Kobe Corbanie Kobe Corbanie 1 👟 D 7.00
7 Thérence Koudou Thérence Koudou 81' M 6.30
30 Marco Decherf Marco Decherf 81' M 6.60
6 F. Hammar F. Hammar M 7.20
23 Simion Michez Simion Michez 1 ⚽ M 7.20
9 Myron Van Brederode Myron Van Brederode F 6.30
14 Benito Raman Benito Raman 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.70
28 Bouke Boersma Bouke Boersma 81' F 7.00
Bench
29 Bill Antonio Bill Antonio 9' F 6.70
17 Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne 27' F 6.90
26 Dennis Praet Dennis Praet 9' M 6.60
4 Gora Diouf Gora Diouf D
21 Halil Özdemir Halil Özdemir F
2 Luc Marijnissen Luc Marijnissen 9' D 6.90
19 Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi 9' F 6.50
10 Maxim Kireev Maxim Kireev M
1 Ortwin De Wolf Ortwin De Wolf G
15 Tijn Van Ingelgom Tijn Van Ingelgom G
St. Truiden St. Truiden 4-2-3-1
16 Léo Kokubo Léo Kokubo G 5.00
3 Taiga Hata Taiga Hata D 6.00
5 Shogo Taniguchi Shogo Taniguchi 1 ⚽ D 6.70
4 Kota Takai Kota Takai 1 ⚽ D 5.30
60 R. Vanwesemael R. Vanwesemael D 6.50
8 Abdoulaye Sissako Abdoulaye Sissako M 7.20
14 R. Merlen R. Merlen 1 👟 67' M 6.90
10 I. Sebaoui I. Sebaoui 1 ⚽ M 7.70
71 Ryotaro Araki Ryotaro Araki 45' M 6.70
38 Kaito Matsuzawa Kaito Matsuzawa 45' M 6.90
9 S. Baždar S. Baždar 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.30
Bench
19 Frederic Soelle Soelle Frederic Soelle Soelle 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.30
23 Joedrick Pupe Joedrick Pupe D
21 Matt Lendfers Matt Lendfers G
11 Nathanaël Mbuku Nathanaël Mbuku 45' F 6.30
18 N. Ishiwatari N. Ishiwatari 45' M 6.30
77 Oumar Diouf Oumar Diouf F
99 Shion Shinkawa Shion Shinkawa 23' M 6.60
26 Visar Musliu Visar Musliu D
22 Wolke Janssens Wolke Janssens D
35 Yanis Ngoy Yanis Ngoy G
Best on the pitch
I. Sebaoui
I. Sebaoui
M · St.
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 50 pass
Benito Raman
Benito Raman
F · KV
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
Nacho Miras
Nacho Miras
G · KV
7.30
· 19 pass
Frederic Soelle Soelle
Frederic Soelle Soelle
F · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
S. Baždar
S. Baždar
F · St.
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
Mike Eerdhuijzen
Mike Eerdhuijzen
D · KV
7.20
· 33 pass
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nacho Miras G 90 7.30 — — — 19 10% — — —
José Marsà D 90 6.60 — — 1 38 23% 3 — —
Mike Eerdhuijzen D 81 7.20 — — — 33 23% 1 — —
Kobe Corbanie D 90 7.00 — 1 — 35 27% 1 — —
Thérence Koudou M 81 6.30 — — — 14 13% 1 — —
Marco Decherf M 81 6.60 — — — 30 20% 3 1 —
F. Hammar M 90 7.20 — — — 31 26% 5 1 —
Simion Michez M 90 7.20 1 — 2 37 22% 1 — —
Myron Van Brederode F 90 6.30 — — — 42 26% 2 — —
Benito Raman F 63 7.70 1 — 2 15 7% 3 — —
Bouke Boersma F 81 7.00 — — — 23 20% — — —
Bill Antonio F 9 6.70 — — 1 1 — — — —
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne F 27 6.90 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Dennis Praet M 9 6.60 — — — 7 5% 2 — —
Luc Marijnissen D 9 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi F 9 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
St. Truiden St. Truiden — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Kokubo G 90 5.00 — — — 24 24% — — —
Taiga Hata D 90 6.00 — — — 59 45% 2 — —
Shogo Taniguchi D 90 6.70 1 — — 66 60% 4 1 —
Kota Takai D 90 5.30 1 — — 83 76% 1 1 —
R. Vanwesemael D 90 6.50 — — 2 83 62% 1 — —
Abdoulaye Sissako M 90 7.20 — — — 65 51% 1 — —
R. Merlen M 67 6.90 — 1 1 33 26% — — —
I. Sebaoui M 90 7.70 1 — 4 50 37% 1 — —
Ryotaro Araki M 45 6.70 — — 1 18 12% 1 — —
Kaito Matsuzawa M 45 6.90 — — — 17 11% — 1 —
S. Baždar F 67 7.30 1 — 4 19 12% — — —
Frederic Soelle Soelle F 23 7.30 1 — 1 7 4% — — —
Nathanaël Mbuku F 45 6.30 — — 2 21 17% 3 — —
N. Ishiwatari M 45 6.30 — — — 47 43% 2 1 —
Shion Shinkawa M 23 6.60 — — — 5 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
The final score was KV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden.
What did the model predict before KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
The model assigned 31% probability to a KV Mechelen win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an St. Truiden win.