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J1 League · Regular Season - 11 October 21, 2026 12:00 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Kyoto Sanga
#16 · 10 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Kashima
#8 · 20 pts
Haruki Arai (ast. Sung-jun Yoon) 16'
Haruki Arai (ast. Takumi Kato) 90'+7
78' (ast. Yuma Suzuki) José Élber Pimentel da Silva
90'+5 Yuta Matsumura
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kashima a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Kyoto Sanga 28%). The final result was Kyoto Sanga 2–2 Kashima.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
19
3
Shots on target
11
0.37
Actual xG
1.39
9
Saves
1
27%
Possession
73%
2
Corners
5
21
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Haruki Arai · ast. Sung-jun Yoon
16'
Hiroto Morooka
22'
45'
Aleksandar Čavrić / Minato Yoshida ↕
59'
64'
José Élber Pimentel da Silva / Léo Ceará ↕
↕ Takaaki Shichi / Takumi Kato
64'
↕ Hiroto Morooka / João Pedro
64'
↕ Sung-jun Yoon / Weverton Silva de Andrade
64'
73'
Gaku Shibasaki / Kento Misao ↕
73'
Ryuta Koike / Keisuke Tsukui ↕
↕ Alex Souza / Marco Túlio
75'
78'
ast. Yuma Suzuki · José Élber Pimentel da Silva⚽
Takumi Kato
85'
↕ Ryuma Nakano / Hisashi Appiah Tawiah
87'
89'
Homare Tokuda / Yuma Suzuki ↕
90'+5
Yuta Matsumura⚽
⚽Haruki Arai · ast. Takumi Kato
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
28.69%
Kyoto
31.38%
X ←
39.93%
Kashima
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kyoto
0.70
0.37
-0.33
Kashima
0.99
1.39
+0.4
Kashima dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.37). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4-2-1
90 Halls Halls G 7.40
15 K. Nagata K. Nagata D 6.41
50 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki D 6.14
40 Y. Ishida Y. Ishida D 6.21
62 T. Shichi T. Shichi 64' M 6.00
24 H. Morooka H. Morooka 64' M 6.00
25 Yoon Sung-Jun Yoon Sung-Jun 1 👟 64' M 6.36
44 K. Sato K. Sato M 5.93
77 H. Arai H. Arai 2 ⚽ M 8.69
48 R. Nakano R. Nakano 87' M 6.32
17 Alex Negueba Alex Negueba 75' F 6.18
Bench
99 F. Honda F. Honda M 0.00
1 G. Ota G. Ota G 0.00
5 H. Tawiah H. Tawiah 3' D 5.72
6 João Pedro João Pedro 26' M 6.11
11 Marco Túlio Marco Túlio 15' F 6.47
60 R. Yamanaka R. Yamanaka M 0.00
16 T. Hiraoka T. Hiraoka M 0.00
23 T. Kato T. Kato 1 👟 26' F 6.80
43 Weverton Weverton 26' D 5.80
Kashima Kashima 4-4-2
1 T. Hayakawa T. Hayakawa G 6.14
7 R. Ogawa R. Ogawa D 6.78
3 Kim Tae-Hyeon Kim Tae-Hyeon D 7.23
55 N. Ueda N. Ueda D 6.89
23 K. Tsukui K. Tsukui 73' D 6.52
27 Y. Matsumura Y. Matsumura 1 ⚽ M 7.68
8 Matheus Bueno Matheus Bueno M 7.05
6 K. Misao K. Misao 73' M 6.50
30 M. Yoshida M. Yoshida 45' M 6.23
9 Léo Ceará Léo Ceará 64' F 6.42
40 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 1 👟 89' F 6.89
Bench
77 A. Čavrić A. Čavrić 45' F 6.97
17 Élber Élber 1 ⚽ 26' F 8.07
10 G. Shibasaki G. Shibasaki 17' M 6.30
24 H. Hayashu H. Hayashu M 0.00
34 H. Tokuda H. Tokuda 1' F 6.62
5 I. Sekigawa I. Sekigawa D 0.00
25 R. Koike R. Koike 17' D 6.38
21 T. Yamada T. Yamada G 0.00
14 Y. Higuchi Y. Higuchi M 0.00
Best on the pitch
H. Arai
H. Arai
M · Kyoto
8.69
2 ⚽
3 shots · 6 pass
Élber
Élber
F · Kashima
8.07
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Y. Matsumura
Y. Matsumura
M · Kashima
7.68
1 ⚽
4 shots · 44 pass
Halls
Halls
G · Kyoto
7.40
· 33 pass
Kim Tae-Hyeon
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D · Kashima
7.23
3 shots · 76 pass
Matheus Bueno
Matheus Bueno
M · Kashima
7.05
1 shots · 105 pass
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Halls G 90 7.40 — — 0 33 11% 0 — —
K. Nagata D 90 6.41 — — 0 21 16% 4 — —
Y. Suzuki D 90 6.14 — — 0 20 16% 0 — —
Y. Ishida D 90 6.21 — — 0 21 15% 0 — —
T. Shichi M 64 6.00 — — 0 12 7% 1 — —
H. Morooka M 64 6.00 — — 0 15 10% 3 1 —
Yoon Sung-Jun M 64 6.36 — 1 0 29 20% 3 — —
K. Sato M 90 5.93 — — 0 32 19% 4 — —
H. Arai M 90 8.69 2 — 3 6 3% 0 — —
R. Nakano M 87 6.32 — — 0 13 10% 2 — —
Alex Negueba F 75 6.18 — — 0 10 6% 0 — —
H. Tawiah D 3 5.72 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
João Pedro M 26 6.11 — — 0 12 10% 1 — —
Marco Túlio F 15 6.47 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
T. Kato F 26 6.80 — 1 0 7 7% 2 1 —
Weverton D 26 5.80 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
Kashima Kashima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Hayakawa G 90 6.14 — — 0 30 23% 0 — —
R. Ogawa D 90 6.78 — — 2 55 46% 1 — —
Kim Tae-Hyeon D 90 7.23 — — 3 76 68% 0 — —
N. Ueda D 90 6.89 — — 0 82 74% 0 — —
K. Tsukui D 73 6.52 — — 0 48 41% 3 — —
Y. Matsumura M 90 7.68 1 — 4 44 32% 1 — —
Matheus Bueno M 90 7.05 — — 1 105 98% 0 — —
K. Misao M 73 6.50 — — 0 56 54% 3 — —
M. Yoshida M 45 6.23 — — 3 23 18% 2 — —
Léo Ceará F 64 6.42 — — 0 20 14% 0 — —
Y. Suzuki F 89 6.89 — 1 1 37 24% 1 — —
A. Čavrić F 45 6.97 — — 4 13 9% 1 — —
Élber F 26 8.07 1 — 1 15 13% 0 — —
G. Shibasaki M 17 6.30 — — 0 33 29% 1 — —
H. Tokuda F 1 6.62 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
R. Koike D 17 6.38 — — 0 20 19% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
The final score was Kyoto Sanga 2–2 Kashima.
What did the model predict before Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Kyoto Sanga win, 31% to a draw, and 39% to an Kashima win.