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J1 League · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 12:00 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Kyoto Sanga
#16 · 10 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Machida Zelvia
#1 · 27 pts
86' Takahiro Akimoto
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Machida Zelvia a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Kyoto Sanga 29%). The final result was Kyoto Sanga 0–1 Machida Zelvia.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
0.74
4
Saves
4
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
10
10
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
26'
Tete Yengi
↕ Rafael Papagaio / Alex Souza
29'
58'
Takahiro Akimoto / Takuma Nishimura ↕
58'
Henry Heroki Mochizuki / Hotaka Nakamura ↕
↕ Ren Kato / Everton Maceió
69'
↕ Ryuma Nakano / Sung-jun Yoon
69'
Everton Maceió
70'
Ranko Popović
70'
72'
Neta Lavi / Keiya Sento ↕
72'
Mitchell Duke / Tete Yengi ↕
↕ Hiroto Morooka / Marco Túlio
81'
86'
Takahiro Akimoto⚽
89'
Ibrahim Drešević / Thomas Ouwejan ↕
Pre-match prediction
29.07%
Kyoto
29.16%
X
41.77%
Machida ←
we assigned to the actual result (Machida Zelvia) 41.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kyoto
0.83
1.11
+0.28
Machida
1.38
0.74
-0.65
Kyoto Sanga dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4-2-1
90 Halls Halls G 6.90
15 K. Nagata K. Nagata D 6.86
50 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki D 6.82
40 Y. Ishida Y. Ishida D 6.37
44 K. Sato K. Sato M 6.15
24 H. Morooka H. Morooka 81' M 6.72
10 S. Fukuoka S. Fukuoka M 6.99
26 R. Kato R. Kato 69' M 6.17
77 H. Arai H. Arai M 7.20
48 R. Nakano R. Nakano 69' M 6.58
9 Rafael Elias Rafael Elias 29' F 6.53
Bench
17 Alex Negueba Alex Negueba 61' F 6.31
38 Everton Everton 21' F 6.70
99 F. Honda F. Honda M 0.00
1 G. Ota G. Ota G 0.00
5 H. Tawiah H. Tawiah D 0.00
11 Marco Túlio Marco Túlio 9' F 6.30
62 T. Shichi T. Shichi D 6.50
8 T. Yonemoto T. Yonemoto M 0.00
25 Yoon Sung-Jun Yoon Sung-Jun 21' M 6.48
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1 K. Tani K. Tani G 7.55
2 T. Ouwejan T. Ouwejan 89' D 7.69
50 D. Okamura D. Okamura D 7.51
3 G. Shōji G. Shōji D 7.71
7 Y. Soma Y. Soma M 6.91
8 K. Sento K. Sento 72' M 7.07
16 H. Mae H. Mae M 6.62
88 H. Nakamura H. Nakamura 58' M 6.97
20 T. Nishimura T. Nishimura 58' M 7.12
9 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa M 6.68
99 T. Yengi T. Yengi 72' F 6.39
Bench
34 Futa Tokumura Futa Tokumura F 0.00
6 H. Mochizuki H. Mochizuki 32' D 7.27
5 I. Drešević I. Drešević 1' D 6.99
15 M. Duke M. Duke 18' F 6.55
31 N. Lavi N. Lavi 18' M 6.79
4 R. Kikuchi R. Kikuchi D 0.00
23 R. Shirasaki R. Shirasaki M 0.00
33 T. Akimoto T. Akimoto 1 ⚽ 32' D 8.35
13 T. Morita T. Morita G 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Akimoto
T. Akimoto
D · Machida
8.35
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
G. Shōji
G. Shōji
D · Machida
7.71
2 shots · 56 pass
T. Ouwejan
T. Ouwejan
D · Machida
7.69
1 shots · 68 pass
K. Tani
K. Tani
G · Machida
7.55
· 34 pass
D. Okamura
D. Okamura
D · Machida
7.51
1 shots · 73 pass
H. Mochizuki
H. Mochizuki
D · Machida
7.27
1 shots · 9 pass
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Halls G 90 6.90 — — 0 27 9% 0 — —
K. Nagata D 90 6.86 — — 0 38 31% 1 — —
Y. Suzuki D 90 6.82 — — 0 29 26% 0 — —
Y. Ishida D 90 6.37 — — 2 26 18% 1 — —
K. Sato M 90 6.15 — — 1 38 26% 0 — —
H. Morooka M 81 6.72 — — 0 41 36% 2 — —
S. Fukuoka M 90 6.99 — — 1 41 37% 1 — —
R. Kato M 69 6.17 — — 2 19 12% 0 — —
H. Arai M 90 7.20 — — 1 26 19% 1 — —
R. Nakano M 69 6.58 — — 3 27 23% 1 — —
Rafael Elias F 29 6.53 — — 4 3 3% 0 — —
Alex Negueba F 61 6.31 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
Everton F 21 6.70 — — 1 10 5% 1 1 —
Marco Túlio F 9 6.30 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
Yoon Sung-Jun M 21 6.48 — — 0 7 7% 2 — —
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tani G 90 7.55 — — 0 34 22% 0 — —
T. Ouwejan D 89 7.69 — — 1 68 59% 1 — —
D. Okamura D 90 7.51 — — 1 73 64% 1 — —
G. Shōji D 90 7.71 — — 2 56 49% 0 — —
Y. Soma M 90 6.91 — — 0 62 55% 0 — —
K. Sento M 72 7.07 — — 0 64 59% 0 — —
H. Mae M 90 6.62 — — 0 66 63% 2 — —
H. Nakamura M 58 6.97 — — 0 17 5% 2 — —
T. Nishimura M 58 7.12 — — 1 22 19% 0 — —
Koki Ogawa M 90 6.68 — — 2 24 19% 1 — —
T. Yengi F 72 6.39 — — 4 15 13% 0 1 —
H. Mochizuki D 32 7.27 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
I. Drešević D 1 6.99 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Duke F 18 6.55 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
N. Lavi M 18 6.79 — — 0 15 15% 0 — —
T. Akimoto D 32 8.35 1 — 1 12 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Kyoto Sanga 0–1 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Kyoto Sanga win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Machida Zelvia win.