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AFC Champions League · League Phase - 3 October 27, 2026 11:00 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Kyoto Sanga
#6 · 6 pts
5 – 2
Final score
Newcastle Jets
#16 · 0 pts
Hisashi Appiah Tawiah (ast. Takaaki Shichi) 45'+6
Alex Souza (ast. Marco Túlio) 56'
Marco Túlio (ast. Alex Souza) 60'
Rafael Papagaio (ast. Haruki Arai) 67'
Alex Souza (ast. Masaya Okugawa) 84'
(pen.) 13' Patrick Wood
(pen.) 45'+2 Patrick Wood
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kyoto Sanga a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Newcastle Jets 31%). The final result was Kyoto Sanga 5–2 Newcastle Jets.

Match statistics
30
Total shots
7
15
Shots on target
2
3.23
Actual xG
1.80
0
Saves
10
56%
Possession
44%
11
Corners
2
16
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
13'
(pen.) Patrick Wood⚽
João Pedro
21'
37'
Julian Recchia
43'
Takaaki Shichi
45'+1
45'+2
(pen.) Patrick Wood⚽
⚽Hisashi Appiah Tawiah · ast. Takaaki Shichi
45'+6
↕ Everton Maceió / Alex Souza
45'
54'
Joe Shaughnessy
⚽Alex Souza · ast. Marco Túlio
56'
⚽Marco Túlio · ast. Alex Souza
60'
60'
Nikos Vergos / Patrick Wood ↕
60'
Will Dobson / Joe Lolley ↕
↕ Marco Túlio / Haruki Arai
64'
↕ Shimpei Fukuoka / Hiroto Morooka
65'
⚽Rafael Papagaio · ast. Haruki Arai
67'
69'
Ethan Debono / Julian Recchia ↕
↕ João Pedro / Ryuma Nakano
72'
↕ Rafael Papagaio / Masaya Okugawa
72'
82'
Alex Nunes / Xavier Bertoncello ↕
⚽Alex Souza · ast. Masaya Okugawa
84'
90'+4
Zane Schreiber
Pre-match prediction
37.58%
Kyoto ←
31.21%
X
31.2%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Kyoto Sanga) 37.58% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Kyoto
1.08
3.23
+2.15
Newcastle
0.91
1.80
+0.89
Kyoto Sanga dominated by xG (3.23 vs 1.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3 9
2 Johor Darul Takzim FC Johor Darul Takzim FC 3 7
3 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3 7
4 Kashima Kashima 2 6
5 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2 6
6 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3 4
8 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 3 4
9 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3 4
10 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3 4
11 Công An Nhân Dân Công An Nhân Dân 3 3
12 Buriram United Buriram United 2 1
13 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3 1
14 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2 0
15 Port FC Port FC 3 0
16 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3 0
Lineups
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4-2-1
90 Halls Halls G 5.96
62 T. Shichi T. Shichi 1 👟 D 7.10
43 Weverton Weverton D 6.31
5 H. Tawiah H. Tawiah 1 ⚽ D 7.69
44 K. Sato K. Sato M 6.43
6 João Pedro João Pedro 72' M 6.73
10 S. Fukuoka S. Fukuoka 65' M 6.45
25 Yoon Sung-Jun Yoon Sung-Jun M 6.42
11 Marco Túlio Marco Túlio 1 ⚽ 1 👟 64' M 8.57
38 Everton Everton 46' M 5.91
9 Rafael Elias Rafael Elias 1 ⚽ 72' F 8.06
Bench
17 Alex Negueba Alex Negueba 2 ⚽ 1 👟 44' F 9.24
19 David Da Silva Costa David Da Silva Costa F 0.00
1 G. Ota G. Ota G 0.00
77 H. Arai H. Arai 1 👟 26' M 6.56
24 H. Morooka H. Morooka 25' M 6.52
15 K. Nagata K. Nagata D 0.00
29 Ko Sakai Ko Sakai F 0.00
7 M. Okugawa M. Okugawa 1 👟 18' M 6.86
48 R. Nakano R. Nakano 18' M 6.05
93 S. Nagasawa S. Nagasawa F 0.00
40 Y. Ishida Y. Ishida D 0.00
50 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki D 0.00
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 4-1-4-1
1 J. Delianov J. Delianov G 7.26
23 D. Wilmering D. Wilmering D 5.65
39 T. Aquilina T. Aquilina D 5.30
5 J. Shaughnessy J. Shaughnessy D 5.25
22 J. Bertolissio J. Bertolissio D 5.97
14 M. Burgess M. Burgess M 5.96
43 X. Bertoncello X. Bertoncello 82' M 5.56
27
M 0.00
6 Z. Schreiber Z. Schreiber M 6.37
11 J. Lolley J. Lolley 60' M 5.24
8 P. Wood P. Wood 2 ⚽ 60' F 7.14
Bench
2 A. Grant A. Grant D 0.00
24 A. Nunes A. Nunes 8' M 5.87
46 E. Debono E. Debono 21' F 6.15
40 J. Baylis J. Baylis G 0.00
54 J. Goodwin J. Goodwin F 0.00
9 N. Vergos N. Vergos 30' F 6.32
28 W. Dobson W. Dobson 30' M 5.82
Best on the pitch
Alex Negueba
Alex Negueba
F · Kyoto
9.24
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 12 pass
Marco Túlio
Marco Túlio
M · Kyoto
8.57
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 25 pass
Rafael Elias
Rafael Elias
F · Kyoto
8.06
1 ⚽
9 shots · 32 pass
H. Tawiah
H. Tawiah
D · Kyoto
7.69
1 ⚽
2 shots · 49 pass
J. Delianov
J. Delianov
G · Newcastle
7.26
· 25 pass
P. Wood
P. Wood
F · Newcastle
7.14
2 ⚽
5 shots · 11 pass
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Halls G 90 5.96 — — 0 29 14% 0 — —
T. Shichi D 90 7.10 — 1 0 58 47% 2 1 —
Weverton D 90 6.31 — — 0 51 41% 0 — —
H. Tawiah D 90 7.69 1 — 2 49 44% 4 — —
K. Sato M 90 6.43 — — 1 47 36% 0 — —
João Pedro M 72 6.73 — — 1 48 42% 4 1 —
S. Fukuoka M 65 6.45 — — 2 44 35% 1 — —
Yoon Sung-Jun M 90 6.42 — — 2 53 48% 2 — —
Marco Túlio M 64 8.57 1 1 6 25 18% 0 — —
Everton M 46 5.91 — — 0 13 5% 0 — —
Rafael Elias F 72 8.06 1 — 9 32 25% 0 — —
Alex Negueba F 44 9.24 2 1 2 12 12% 0 — —
H. Arai M 26 6.56 — 1 1 13 9% 1 — —
H. Morooka M 25 6.52 — — 0 25 22% 2 — —
M. Okugawa M 18 6.86 — 1 3 12 9% 0 — —
R. Nakano M 18 6.05 — — 1 17 15% 0 — —
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Delianov G 90 7.26 — — 0 25 15% 0 — —
D. Wilmering D 90 5.65 — — 1 30 23% 0 — —
T. Aquilina D 90 5.30 — — 0 33 24% 0 — —
J. Shaughnessy D 90 5.25 — — 0 47 36% 0 1 —
J. Bertolissio D 90 5.97 — — 0 57 51% 0 — —
M. Burgess M 90 5.96 — — 0 71 59% 3 — —
X. Bertoncello M 82 5.56 — — 0 12 9% 0 — —
M 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Z. Schreiber M 90 6.37 — — 1 56 48% 1 1 —
J. Lolley M 60 5.24 — — 0 27 17% 1 — —
P. Wood F 60 7.14 2 — 5 11 10% 1 — —
A. Nunes M 8 5.87 — — 0 9 6% 1 — —
E. Debono F 21 6.15 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
N. Vergos F 30 6.32 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
W. Dobson M 30 5.82 — — 0 9 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle Jets?
The final score was Kyoto Sanga 5–2 Newcastle Jets.
What did the model predict before Kyoto Sanga vs Newcastle Jets?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Kyoto Sanga win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Newcastle Jets win.